Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians90% K O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Parker Messick propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
8g62.5%Over: 5-3
20vs O 17.5-132
vs
Angels5/13
Angels5/13✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(22%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | — | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Keider Montero
5/19Tigers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Messick.
★★★★★vs Reid Detmers
5/13Pitchers with similar repertoires to Messick have an ERA of 2.11 against the Angels over the last year.
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/8Current Twins hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
9-6 Over8g · 15 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/13 | vsAngels | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -132 |
| 5/8 | vs Twins | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 5/3 | @ Athletics | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -106 |
| 5/3 | @Athletics | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -135 |
| 4/27 | vs Rays | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -125 |
| 4/21 | vs Astros | O 17.5 | 15 | L | +128 |
| 4/21 | vsAstros | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +132 |
| 4/21 | vsAstros | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +120 |
| 4/16 | vs Orioles | O 15.5 | 24 | W | -126 |
| 4/16 | vsOrioles | O 16.5 | 24 | W | -115 |
| 4/16 | vsOrioles | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -105 |
| 4/11 | @ Braves | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -110 |
| 4/11 | @Braves | O 17.5 | 20 | W | +105 |
| 4/11 | @Braves | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -108 |
| 3/30 | @ Dodgers | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -145 |
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 18.5.
Is Parker Messick over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Parker Messick over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$140 (+17.5% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 18.5.
What is Parker Messick's outs recorded average this season?
Parker Messick averages 18.5 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.