How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 6.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 62.5%(5-3) | 62.5%(5-3) | 42.9%(3-4) | 62.5%(5-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(2-6) | 40%(2-3) | 42.9%(3-4) | 42.9%(3-4) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
Current Giants hitters have struck out 29.1% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.72 against the Tigers in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Tigers.
Current White Sox hitters have struck out 23.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/19 | vs | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -175 |
| 8/19 | vs | O 18.5 | 20 | W | — |
| 8/19 | vs | O 23.5 | 20 | L | — |
| 8/13 | @ | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -144 |
| 8/13 | @ | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/13 | @ | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/13 | @ | O 23.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/7 | @ | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -158 |
| 8/7 | @ | O 23.5 | 21 | L | — |
| 8/7 | @ | O 20.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 8/7 | @ | O 14.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 8/1 | vs | O 17.5 | 13 | L | -130 |
| 8/1 | vs | O 20.5 | 13 | L | — |
| 8/1 | vs | O 14.5 | 13 | L | — |
| 7/26 | @ | O 17.5 | 23 | W | -130 |
| 7/26 | @ | O 16.5 | 23 | W | — |
| 7/26 | @ | O 14.5 | 23 | W | — |
| 7/26 | @ | O 20.5 | 23 | W | — |
| 7/10 | @ | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 7/10 | @ | O 16.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 7/4 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -172 |
| 6/29 | vs | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -164 |
| 6/23 | @ | O 16.5 | 23 | W | -125 |
| 6/23 | @ | O 17.5 | 23 | W | -102 |
| 6/18 | @ | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 6/18 | @ | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -106 |
| 6/10 | vs | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -126 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -130 |
| 6/5 | @ | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -114 |
| 5/30 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -118 |
| 5/24 | @ | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -109 |
| 5/13 | vs | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -132 |
| 5/8 | vs | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -105 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -106 |
| 5/3 | @ | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -135 |
| 4/27 | vs | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -125 |
| 4/21 | vs | O 17.5 | 15 | L | +128 |
| 4/21 | vs | O 16.5 | 15 | L | +132 |
| 4/21 | vs | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +120 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 15.5 | 24 | W | -126 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 16.5 | 24 | W | -115 |
| 4/16 | vs | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -105 |
| 4/11 | @ | O 16.5 | 20 | W | -110 |
| 4/11 | @ | O 17.5 | 20 | W | +105 |
| 4/11 | @ | O 15.5 | 20 | W | -108 |
| 3/30 | @ | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -145 |