Parker Messick

Cleveland GuardiansPitcher•2026

Reg2.54 ERA / 64 K / 56.8 IP / 10.1 K/9 / 10G

90% K O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.5

Season

All Parker Messick props

Props — 202610 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

10g

avg 1.6

30%Over: 3-7

2vs O 2.5+123

Tigers5/19

✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗

H: 33.3%(3)A: 25%(4)

Seasonality

Mar

0%0-1

Apr

25%1-3

May

50%1-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.3★★★★★

5-Star Games

2(22%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-2)	100%(1-0)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	0%(0-2)	—	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	50%(1-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Keider Montero

5/19

Tigers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Messick.

★★★★★vs Reid Detmers

5/13

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Messick have an ERA of 2.11 against the Angels over the last year.

★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp

5/8

Current Twins hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet

4-8 Over10g · 12 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/19	@Tigers	O 2.5	2	L	+123
5/13	vsAngels	O 1.5	2	W	-139
5/8	vsTwins	O 1.5	1	L	-145
5/3	@Athletics	O 2.5	4	W	+105
4/27	vsRays	O 2.5	1	L	+127
4/27	vsRays	O 1.5	1	L	-173
4/21	vsAstros	O 2.5	3	W	+123
4/16	vsOrioles	O 2.5	2	L	+125
4/16	vsOrioles	O 1.5	2	W	-155
4/11	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	+113
4/5	vsCubs	O 1.5	1	L	-158
3/30	@Dodgers	O 2.5	0	L	-112

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

View all

Chase DeLauter Steven Kwan Brayan Rocchio Daniel Schneemann Patrick Bailey Kyle Manzardo Rhys Hoskins Bo Naylor Travis Bazzana David Fry Austin Hedges Juan Brito George Valera Gabriel Arias Joey Cantillo

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Parker Messick hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Parker Messick hits the over on earned runs 2.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 1.7.

Is Parker Messick over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?

Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Parker Messick over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$400 (-40% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 1.7.

What is Parker Messick's earned runs average this season?

Parker Messick averages 1.7 earned runs per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.