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Players/MLB/Cleveland Guardians/Parker Messick/Earned Runs
Parker Messick

Parker Messick

Cleveland Guardians•Pitcher•2026
2.65ERA152K142.7IP9.6K/925G
2.65ERA152K142.7IP9.6K/925G
52.2% BBA O 1.550% HA O 4.547.4% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Parker Messick props

Props — 202625 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

25g
avg 1.7
44%Over: 11-14
1vs O 1.5-126
vsGiants8/19
✗✓✓✗✗✗✗✗✓✓
H: 27.3%(11)A: 71.4%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
33%
33%
100%
0%
50%
Apr
1-2
May
1-2
Jun
4-0
Jul
0-4
Aug
2-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
8(33%)
Total Matchups
24
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 6.5Earned RunsO 1.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 17.5
★★★★★50%(4-4)62.5%(5-3)62.5%(5-3)42.9%(3-4)62.5%(5-3)
★★★★★25%(2-6)40%(2-3)42.9%(3-4)42.9%(3-4)20%(1-4)
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-1)—100%(2-0)50%(1-1)
★★★★★25%(1-3)33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)75%(3-1)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★0%(0-2)—100%(1-0)0%(0-2)0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Matt Wilkinson
8/19

Current Giants hitters have struck out 29.1% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Keider Montero
8/13

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.72 against the Tigers in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Tigers.

★★★★★vs Noah Schultz
8/7

Current White Sox hitters have struck out 23.3% of the time against top-tier left-handed pitchers like Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
13-22 Over25g · 35 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/19vsGiantsO 1.51L-126
8/13@TigersO 2.52L+119
8/13@TigersO 1.52W-160
8/7@White SoxO 2.52L+120
8/7@White SoxO 1.52W-165
8/1vsDiamondbacksO 2.51L+123
8/1vsDiamondbacksO 1.51L—
7/26@RaysO 1.51L-128
7/21vsTwinsO 2.51L+130
7/21vsTwinsO 1.51L-149
7/10@MarlinsO 1.51L-175
7/10@MarlinsO 2.51L+126
7/4vsWhite SoxO 1.51L-155
6/29vsRangersO 2.54W+130
6/29vsRangersO 1.54W-168
6/23@White SoxO 1.52W-154
6/18@BrewersO 1.52W—
6/18@BrewersO 2.52L+120
6/10vsYankeesO 2.54W+125
6/5@RangersO 2.53W+125
6/5@RangersO 1.53W-185
5/30vsRed SoxO 1.51L-135
5/24@PhilliesO 2.50L+110
5/19@TigersO 2.52L+123
5/13vsAngelsO 1.52W-139
5/8vsTwinsO 1.51L-145
5/3@AthleticsO 2.54W+105
4/27vsRaysO 2.51L+127
4/27vsRaysO 1.51L-173
4/21vsAstrosO 2.53W+123
4/16vsOriolesO 2.52L+125
4/16vsOriolesO 1.52W-155
4/11@BravesO 2.50L+113
4/5vsCubsO 1.51L-158
3/30@DodgersO 2.50L-112

Cleveland Guardians Teammates

View all
Jo AdellBrayan RocchioSteven KwanChase DeLauterTravis BazzanaPatrick BaileyKyle ManzardoNathaniel LoweRhys HoskinsDaniel SchneemannAustin HedgesGabriel AriasPetey HalpinDavid FryKahlil Watson

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Parker Messick hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on earned runs 1.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 8-10 with an average actual of 1.6.
Is Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 25 games in 2026, betting $100 on Parker Messick over 1.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$509 (-20.36% ROI). The hit rate is 44.4% with an average actual of 1.6.
What is Parker Messick's earned runs average this season?
Parker Messick averages 1.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 25 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.

Parker Messick 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.25 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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