Inside Edge
Cleveland Guardians90% K O 4.562.5% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Parker Messick propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
8g62.5%Over: 5-3
3vs O 1.5-136
@
Tigers5/19
Tigers5/19✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✗
H: 75%(4)A: 50%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(22%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Messick's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | — | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Keider Montero
5/19Tigers hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Messick.
★★★★★vs Reid Detmers
5/13Pitchers with similar repertoires to Messick have an ERA of 2.11 against the Angels over the last year.
★★★★★vs Connor Prielipp
5/8Current Twins hitters have struck out 24.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Messick over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
Game Log
Bet
$
5-3 Over8g · 8 props
Cleveland Guardians Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Parker Messick hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Parker Messick hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 1.6.
Is Parker Messick over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Parker Messick over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned +$46 (+5.75% ROI). The hit rate is 62.5% with an average actual of 1.6.
What is Parker Messick's walks allowed average this season?
Parker Messick averages 1.6 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.