Inside Edge
San Diego Padres75% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer
Nestor Cortes goes over 1.5 walks allowed 75% of the time (6-2)
Props — 20258 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(25%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cortes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/3Current Orioles hitters have struck out 26.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Cortes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★
8/29Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Cortes have an ERA of 4.72 against the Twins since last year.
★★★★★
8/23Current Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cortes over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
20-17 Over37 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/3 | vs Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 9/3 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -175 |
| 9/3 | vsOrioles | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -120 |
| 9/3 | vsOrioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +120 |
| 9/3 | vsOrioles | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 8/29 | @ Twins | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -120 |
| 8/29 | @Twins | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +105 |
| 8/29 | @Twins | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -140 |
| 8/29 | @Twins | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -105 |
| 8/29 | @Twins | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +120 |
| 8/23 | vs Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +130 |
| 8/23 | vsDodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -135 |
| 8/23 | vsDodgers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 8/23 | vsDodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -180 |
| 8/18 | vs Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +115 |
| 8/18 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +120 |
| 8/18 | vsGiants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +110 |
| 8/18 | vsGiants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -125 |
| 8/18 | vsGiants | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -185 |
| 8/12 | @Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 8/12 | @Giants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 8/12 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 8/12 | @Giants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -150 |
| 8/6 | @ Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +130 |
| 8/6 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -165 |
| 8/6 | @Diamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 8/6 | @Diamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 8/6 | @Diamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -125 |
| 4/3 | vs Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 4/3 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +130 |
| 4/3 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 4/3 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -160 |
| 4/3 | vsReds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 3/29 | @ Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -113 |
| 3/29 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -175 |
| 3/29 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -165 |
| 3/29 | @Yankees | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2025, going 2-4 with an average actual of 3.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$254.
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-4 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$50.
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 4-3 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$56.
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 75% of the time in 2025, going 6-2 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$311.
What are Nestor Cortes's best prop bets in 2025?
Nestor Cortes's highest-hitting props in 2025: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 75% (6-2); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 57.1% (4-3); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 42.9% (3-4).