Inside Edge
San Diego Padres75% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Nestor Cortes propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
8g62.5%Over: 5-3
7vs O 4.5-120
vs
Orioles9/3
Orioles9/3✓✓✗✓✓✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(25%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cortes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/3Current Orioles hitters have struck out 26.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Cortes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★
8/29Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Cortes have an ERA of 4.72 against the Twins since last year.
★★★★★
8/23Current Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cortes over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-4 Over8g · 9 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 4-3 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Nestor Cortes over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Nestor Cortes over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned +$116 (+14.5% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Nestor Cortes's hits allowed average this season?
Nestor Cortes averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.