Inside Edge
San Diego Padres75% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Nestor Cortes propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g50%Over: 4-4
6vs O 2.5+125
vs
Orioles9/3
Orioles9/3✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(25%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cortes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/3Current Orioles hitters have struck out 26.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Cortes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★
8/29Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Cortes have an ERA of 4.72 against the Twins since last year.
★★★★★
8/23Current Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cortes over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-4 Over8g · 10 props
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-4 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Nestor Cortes over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Nestor Cortes over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$7 (+0.88% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Nestor Cortes's earned runs average this season?
Nestor Cortes averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.