San Diego Padres75% BBA O 1.557.1% HA O 4.542.9% ER O 2.5
Season
All Nestor Cortes propsProps — 20258 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
8g50%Over: 4-4
6vs O 2.5+125
vs
Orioles9/3
Orioles9/3✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 50%(4)A: 33.3%(3)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(25%)
Total Matchups
8Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Cortes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 33.3%(1-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/3Current Orioles hitters have struck out 26.8% of the time against pitchers similar to Cortes over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★
8/29Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Cortes have an ERA of 4.72 against the Twins since last year.
★★★★★
8/23Current Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .853 against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cortes over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-4 Over8g · 10 props
San Diego Padres Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nestor Cortes hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Nestor Cortes hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2025, going 3-4 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Nestor Cortes over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2025, betting $100 on Nestor Cortes over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned +$7 (+0.88% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Nestor Cortes's earned runs average this season?
Nestor Cortes averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2025 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge