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Players/MLB/St. Louis Cardinals/Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore

Matthew Liberatore

St. Louis Cardinals•Pitcher•2026
5.19ERA125K121.5IP9.3K/925G
5.19ERA125K121.5IP9.3K/925G
87.5% OUT O 14.564% BBA O 1.558.3% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer

Matthew Liberatore goes over 14.5 outs recorded 87.5% of the time (7-1)

Props — 202626 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

26g
avg 4.8
48%Over: 12-13-1
9vs O 4.5-250
@Reds8/19
āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—
H: 25%(12)A: 64.3%(14)

Earned Runs

26g
avg 2.7
60%Over: 15-10-1
3vs O 2.5-110
@Reds8/19
āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“
H: 58.3%(12)A: 53.8%(13)

Hits Allowed

25g
avg 5.4
48%Over: 12-13
4vs O 4.5-138
@Reds8/19
āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ—āœ“
H: 55.6%(9)A: 36.4%(11)

Walks Allowed

25g
avg 1.8
64%Over: 16-9
0vs O 1.5-130
@Reds8/19
āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ“āœ“
H: 66.7%(12)A: 61.5%(13)

Outs Recorded

23g
avg 14.7
47.8%Over: 11-12
18vs O 14.5
@Reds8/19
āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ“āœ—āœ“āœ—āœ—āœ“āœ—
H: 75%(4)A: 100%(4)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.4ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
24
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…75%(3-1)75%(3-1)50%(1-1)50%(2-2)100%(3-0)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…33.3%(2-4)50%(3-3)40%(2-3)66.7%(4-2)100%(2-0)
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…22.2%(2-7)66.7%(6-3)37.5%(3-5)62.5%(5-3)—
ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…80%(4-1)25%(1-3)50%(2-2)60%(3-2)100%(1-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Chase Burns
8/19

Current Reds hitters have struck out 24.6% of the time against pitchers similar to Liberatore over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Clay Holmes
8/14

Current Cubs hitters are batting .313 against bottom-tier left-handed pitchers like Liberatore over the last two years.

ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…ā˜…vs Kyle Freeland
8/8

Current Rockies hitters have struck out 23.6% of the time against bottom-tier left-handed pitchers like Liberatore over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet
$
174-172-8 Over354 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/19@RedsOuts RecordedO 15.518W+119
8/19@RedsHits AllowedO 4.54L-138
8/19@RedsEarned RunsO 2.53W-110
8/19@RedsWalks AllowedO 1.50L-130
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 5.59W-118
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 6.59W+174
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 3.59W-600
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 9.59L+1600
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 8.59W+760
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 7.59W+363
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 2.59W-2300
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 4.59W-250
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 1.59W—
8/19@RedsPitcher KsO 10.59L—
8/19@RedsOuts RecordedO 14.518W—
8/19@RedsOuts RecordedO 20.518L—
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 2.56W-610
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 6.56L+500
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 3.56W-222
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 5.56W+231
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 4.56W+106
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 9.56L—
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 8.56L—
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 7.56L+1100
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 1.56W-2700
8/14@CubsEarned RunsO 2.52L-102
8/14@CubsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-137
8/14@CubsOuts RecordedO 15.516W+136
8/14@CubsHits AllowedO 5.52L+110
8/14@CubsPitcher KsO 46W—
8/14@CubsHits AllowedO 4.52L-132
8/14@CubsOuts RecordedO 14.516W—
8/14@CubsOuts RecordedO 11.516W—
8/14@CubsOuts RecordedO 20.516L—
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 4.53L-160
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 3.53L-325
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 7.53L+470
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 2.53W-900
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 6.53L+240
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 5.53L+122
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 1.53W—
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 8.53L+970
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 10.53L—
8/8vsRockiesPitcher KsO 9.53L—
8/8vsRockiesOuts RecordedO 17.515L-112
8/8vsRockiesEarned RunsO 2.55W+120
8/8vsRockiesHits AllowedO 5.59W+100
8/8vsRockiesOuts RecordedO 14.515W—
8/8vsRockiesOuts RecordedO 20.515L—
8/8vsRockiesWalks AllowedO 1.52W+163

St. Louis Cardinals Teammates

View all
Jordan WalkerJJ WetherholtAlec BurlesonMasyn WinnNathan ChurchLars NootbaarBlaze JordanVictor Scott IINolan GormanJimmy CrooksBryan TorresEverson PereiraThomas SaggeseYohel PozoKyle Leahy

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 48% of the time in 2026, going 12-13-1 with an average actual of 4.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$4.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on earned runs 2.5 58.3% of the time in 2026, going 14-10-1 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$427.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 45% of the time in 2026, going 9-11 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$190.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 64% of the time in 2026, going 16-9 with an average actual of 1.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$415.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 87.5% of the time in 2026, going 7-1 with an average actual of 15.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$180.
What are Matthew Liberatore's best prop bets in 2026?
Matthew Liberatore's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 14.5 at 87.5% (7-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 64% (16-9); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 58.3% (14-10).

Matthew Liberatore 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.26 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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