St. Louis Cardinals72.2% BBA O 1.558.8% ER O 2.546.7% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Matthew Liberatore goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (16-0)
Props — 202619 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 22.2%(2-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 37.5%(3-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
7/5Current Cubs hitters are batting .279 against bottom-tier left-handed pitchers like Liberatore over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Martín Pérez
6/30Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Liberatore have an ERA of 4.90 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★vs Mitch Bratt
6/24Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Diamondbacks.
Game Log
Bet
$
109-120-8 Over237 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @ Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +240 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -210 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +108 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +520 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -525 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -2900 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +1020 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +103 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -159 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +128 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -147 |
| 6/30 | @ Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | +102 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 9 | W | -185 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +104 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 9 | W | -2200 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 9 | W | -450 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | +132 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +290 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +640 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 9 | W | +1280 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 9 | W | — |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 9 | L | — |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -135 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 9 | W | — |
| 6/24 | vs Diamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -110 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -118 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -110 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 16 | W | +114 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | +124 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -210 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +640 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +290 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 0.5 | 3 | W | — |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -780 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +1380 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 16 | W | -165 |
| 6/18 | @ Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +139 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 2 | L | +660 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -400 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +306 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -160 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-12-1 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$494.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on earned runs 2.5 58.8% of the time in 2026, going 10-7-1 with an average actual of 2.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$336.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 46.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-8 with an average actual of 5.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$98.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 72.2% of the time in 2026, going 13-5 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$513.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-8 with an average actual of 14. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$395.
What are Matthew Liberatore's best prop bets in 2026?
Matthew Liberatore's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 72.2% (13-5); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 58.8% (10-7); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 46.7% (7-8).
Inside Edge