Inside Edge
St. Louis Cardinals85.7% HA O 4.580% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
Best Performer
Matthew Liberatore goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(2-0) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Mitch Keller
5/19Pitchers with similar repertoires to Liberatore have an ERA of 4.47 against the Pirates over the last year.
★★★★★vs J.T. Ginn
5/13Athletics hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Liberatore.
★★★★★vs Michael King
5/7Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.57 against the Padres in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Padres.
Game Log
Bet
$
58-59 Over117 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vs Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 9 | W | +620 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 9 | W | -750 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +325 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 9 | W | -275 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 9 | W | +1180 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -125 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +164 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 9 | W | -3300 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -116 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -142 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +112 |
| 5/13 | @ Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -210 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +920 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +209 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +105 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +451 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -550 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +114 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -143 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -135 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -3000 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1800 |
| 5/7 | @ Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -351 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +163 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -139 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +361 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +770 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +1620 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -124 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -1280 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -124 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -129 |
| 5/1 | vs Dodgers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +118 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -115 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -1240 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -295 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +195 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +380 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +820 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +1660 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -107 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +127 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -153 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 4/25 | vs Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +116 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 4.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$142.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on earned runs 2.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$40.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 85.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-1 with an average actual of 6.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$314.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 8-2 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$419.
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 15. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$9.
What are Matthew Liberatore's best prop bets in 2026?
Matthew Liberatore's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 85.7% (6-1); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 80% (8-2); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 50% (2-2).