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Players/MLB/St. Louis Cardinals/Nathan Church
Nathan Church

Nathan Church

St. Louis Cardinals•2026
.239AVG9HR41RBI41R79H7SB102G
.239AVG9HR41RBI41R79H7SB102G
57.3% TB O 0.556.1% H O 0.550.5% SO O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Nathan Church goes over 0.5 total bases 57.3% of the time (55-41-10)

Props — 2026109 games with closing lines

Hits

109g
avg 0.7
56.1%Over: 55-43-11
2vs O 0.5-154
@Phillies8/22
✓✓✓P✗✗✓P✓✓
H: 46.2%(52)A: 55.4%(56)

Home Runs

109g
avg 0
8.2%Over: 8-90-11
0vs O 0.5+910
@Phillies8/22
✗✗✗P✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 3.8%(52)A: 10.7%(56)

RBIs

109g
avg 0.4
23.5%Over: 23-75-11
0vs O 0.5+278
@Phillies8/22
✗✗✓P✗✗✓P✗✗
H: 23.1%(52)A: 19.6%(56)

Runs Scored

109g
avg 0.3
35.7%Over: 35-63-11
1vs O 0.5+182
@Phillies8/22
✓✗✓P✗✗✗P✗✓
H: 26.9%(52)A: 37.5%(56)

Total Bases

109g
avg 0.9
56.1%Over: 55-43-11
4vs O 0.5-185
@Phillies8/22
✓✓✓P✗✗✓P✓✓
H: 47.1%(51)A: 57.4%(54)

Strikeouts

108g
avg 0.5
50.5%Over: 49-48-11
0vs O 0.5-168
@Phillies8/22
✗✓✓P✗✗✗P✗✓
H: 37.3%(51)A: 52.7%(55)

Stolen Bases

108g
avg 0.1
7.1%Over: 7-91-10
0vs O 0.5+1000
@Phillies8/22
✗✗✗P✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 7.8%(51)A: 5.4%(56)

Doubles

107g
avg 0
10.3%Over: 10-87-10
0vs O 0.5+550
@Phillies8/22
✗✗✗P✗✗✓P✗✗
H: 9.6%(52)A: 9.3%(54)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

107g
avg 1.5
38.1%Over: 37-60-10
3vs O 1.5+130
@Phillies8/22
✓✗✓P✗✗✓P✗✓
H: 32.7%(52)A: 37%(54)

Singles

107g
avg 0.6
45.4%Over: 44-53-10
1vs O 0.5+110
@Phillies8/22
✓✓✓P✗✗✗P✓✓
H: 38.5%(52)A: 44.4%(54)

Walks

102g
avg 0.2
18.1%Over: 17-77-8
0vs O 0.5+299
@Phillies8/22
✗✗✗P✓✗✗P✗✗
H: 10.4%(48)A: 22.6%(53)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
118
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Church's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★25%(2-6)12.5%(1-7)25%(2-6)
★★★★★50%(15-15)6.7%(2-28)13.3%(4-26)
★★★★★53.8%(28-24)7.7%(4-48)21.2%(11-41)
★★★★★47.1%(8-9)5.9%(1-16)29.4%(5-12)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Cristopher Sánchez
8/23

Left-handed batters who hit the ball on the ground often like Church are batting just .062 (1-for-16) against Sanchez over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Andrew Painter
8/22

Church has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.4% in his last 35 AB's; League avg: 19.1%.

★★★★★vs Jesús Luzardo
8/21

Church has a Well-Hit Rate of just 7.7% in 13 AB's over the last 5 days; League Avg: 19.2%.

Game Log

Bet
$
579-2691-316 Over3586 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W+130
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-193
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.53L—
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 6.53L—
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.53L+1040
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.53W+272
8/22@PhilliesHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.53L+543
8/22@PhilliesSinglesO 0.51W+110
8/22@PhilliesWalksO 0.50L+299
8/22@PhilliesHitsO 0.52W-154
8/22@PhilliesHome RunsO 0.50L+910
8/22@PhilliesRBIsO 0.50L+278
8/22@PhilliesStolen BasesO 0.50L+1000
8/22@PhilliesRuns ScoredO 0.51W+182
8/22@PhilliesTotal BasesO 0.54W-185
8/22@PhilliesHitsO 2.52L+1900
8/22@PhilliesHitsO 1.52W+364
8/22@PhilliesHome RunsO 1.50L+12500
8/22@PhilliesRBIsO 2.50L+2500
8/22@PhilliesRBIsO 1.50L+850
8/22@PhilliesRuns ScoredO 1.51L+1400
8/22@PhilliesTotal BasesO 1.54W+194
8/22@PhilliesTotal BasesO 5.54L—
8/22@PhilliesTotal BasesO 4.54L+1400
8/22@PhilliesTotal BasesO 2.54W+429
8/22@PhilliesTotal BasesO 3.54W+660
8/22@PhilliesDoublesO 0.50L+550
8/22@PhilliesSinglesO 1.51L+670
8/22@PhilliesStrikeoutsO 1.50L+366
8/22@PhilliesStrikeoutsO 0.50L-168
8/22@PhilliesStolen BasesO 1.50L—
8/22@PhilliesRuns ScoredO 2.51L+8000
8/22@PhilliesHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/22@PhilliesHitsO 3.52L+12500
8/22@PhilliesRBIsO 4.50L+5500
8/22@PhilliesRBIsO 3.50L+7000
8/22@PhilliesDoublesO 1.50L—
8/20@RedsDoublesO 0.50L+475
8/20@RedsHitsO 1.51L+284
8/20@RedsHitsO 0.51W-192
8/20@RedsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-237
8/20@RedsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+101
8/20@RedsHome RunsO 1.50L+8100
8/20@RedsHome RunsO 0.50L+593
8/20@RedsRBIsO 0.50L+212
8/20@RedsRBIsO 1.50L+630
8/20@RedsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+150
8/20@RedsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1100
8/20@RedsSinglesO 0.51W-102
8/20@RedsTotal BasesO 2.51L+304

St. Louis Cardinals Teammates

View all
Jordan WalkerJJ WetherholtAlec BurlesonMasyn WinnLars NootbaarBlaze JordanVictor Scott IINolan GormanJimmy CrooksBryan TorresEverson PereiraThomas SaggeseYohel PozoMatthew LiberatoreKyle Leahy

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on hits 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on hits 0.5 56.1% of the time in 2026, going 55-43-11 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$457.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.2% of the time in 2026, going 8-90-11 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,081.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on rbis 0.5 23.5% of the time in 2026, going 23-75-11 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,222.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on runs scored 0.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 35-63-11 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$659.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on total bases 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on total bases 0.5 57.3% of the time in 2026, going 55-41-10 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$239.
What are Nathan Church's best prop bets in 2026?
Nathan Church's highest-hitting props in 2026: Total Bases O 0.5 at 57.3% (55-41); Hits O 0.5 at 56.1% (55-43); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 50.5% (49-48).

Nathan Church 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.109 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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