Nathan Church

St. Louis CardinalsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.252 / 5 HR / 18 RBI / 36 H / 4 SB / 42G

66.7% HRR O 0.561.5% TB O 0.560% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Nathan Church goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 66.7% of the time (26-13-3)

Props — 202644 games with closing lines

Hits

44g

avg 0.9

60%Over: 24-16-4

0vs O 0.5-140

Pirates5/21

P✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 59.1%(22)A: 50%(22)

Home Runs

44g

avg 0.1

10%Over: 4-36-4

0vs O 0.5+1050

Pirates5/21

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗

H: 9.1%(22)A: 9.1%(22)

RBIs

44g

avg 0.4

25%Over: 10-30-4

0vs O 0.5+250

Pirates5/21

P✗✗✗✗✗✗✓✗✗

H: 22.7%(22)A: 22.7%(22)

Runs Scored

44g

avg 0.3

37.5%Over: 15-25-4

0vs O 0.5+220

Pirates5/21

P✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗

H: 36.4%(22)A: 31.8%(22)

Strikeouts

44g

avg 0.7

52.5%Over: 21-19-4

0vs O 0.5-193

Pirates5/21

P✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✓

H: 36.4%(22)A: 59.1%(22)

Total Bases

44g

avg 1.5

60%Over: 24-16-4

0vs O 0.5-140

Pirates5/21

P✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 61.9%(21)A: 50%(22)

Stolen Bases

43g

avg 0.1

10%Over: 4-36-3

0vs O 0.5+750

Pirates5/21

P✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗

H: 9.5%(21)A: 9.1%(22)

Doubles

42g

avg 0.2

15.4%Over: 6-33-3

0vs O 0.5+550

Pirates5/21

P✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗

H: 18.2%(22)A: 10%(20)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

42g

avg 1.6

66.7%Over: 26-13-3

0vs O 0.5-190

Pirates5/21

P✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 63.6%(22)A: 60%(20)

Singles

42g

avg 0.6

48.7%Over: 19-20-3

0vs O 0.5+105

Pirates5/21

P✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 45.5%(22)A: 45%(20)

Walks

41g

avg 0.1

15.4%Over: 6-33-2

0vs O 0.5+180

Pirates5/21

P✗✗✗✗✓✗✗✗✗

H: 5%(20)A: 23.8%(21)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.5★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Church's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)	25%(1-3)
★★★★★	62.5%(10-6)	6.3%(1-15)	12.5%(2-14)
★★★★★	52.6%(10-9)	10.5%(2-17)	26.3%(5-14)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	0%(0-4)	25%(1-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Chris Paddack

5/22

Church is batting just .151 (8-for-53) against right-handers with avg flyball rates like Paddack over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft

5/21

Church is batting just .132 (9-for-68) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ashcraft over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Carmen Mlodzinski

5/20

Church is batting just .121 (8-for-66) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Mlodzinski over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

258-949-85 Over1292 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/21	vsPirates	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+550
5/21	vsPirates	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-140
5/21	vsPirates	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+390
5/21	vsPirates	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+1850
5/21	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+140
5/21	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-190
5/21	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+600
5/21	vsPirates	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+6600
5/21	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+310
5/21	vsPirates	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+1050
5/21	vsPirates	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+250
5/21	vsPirates	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+875
5/21	vsPirates	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1450
5/21	vsPirates	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+220
5/21	vsPirates	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+750
5/21	vsPirates	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+105
5/21	vsPirates	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+8000
5/21	vsPirates	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+525
5/21	vsPirates	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+800
5/21	vsPirates	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+230
5/21	vsPirates	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+1450
5/21	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+1150
5/21	vsPirates	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	+800
5/21	vsPirates	Hits	O 3.5	0	P	+5500
5/21	vsPirates	Strikeouts	O 1.5	0	P	+311
5/21	vsPirates	Strikeouts	O 0.5	0	P	-193
5/21	vsPirates	Walks	O 0.5	0	P	+180
5/21	vsPirates	RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+6000
5/21	vsPirates	RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+4500
5/21	vsPirates	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+2500
5/21	vsPirates	Runs Scored	O 2.5	0	P	+5000
5/21	vsPirates	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	-140
5/20	vsPirates	Hits	O 3.5	1	L	+17500
5/20	vsPirates	Doubles	O 0.5	0	L	+550
5/20	vsPirates	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-150
5/20	vsPirates	Hits	O 2.5	1	L	+2500
5/20	vsPirates	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+400
5/20	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	1	W	-203
5/20	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	1	L	+125
5/20	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	1	L	+600
5/20	vsPirates	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+1050
5/20	vsPirates	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	1	L	+270
5/20	vsPirates	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+15000
5/20	vsPirates	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+800
5/20	vsPirates	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+239
5/20	vsPirates	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	L	+195
5/20	vsPirates	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	L	+1800
5/20	vsPirates	Singles	O 0.5	1	W	+104
5/20	vsPirates	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+920
5/20	vsPirates	Total Bases	O 3.5	1	L	+800

St. Louis Cardinals Teammates

View all

Jordan Walker JJ Wetherholt Alec Burleson Masyn Winn Victor Scott II Nolan Gorman Thomas Saggese Yohel Pozo Dustin May Matthew Liberatore Michael McGreevy Kyle Leahy Andre Pallante César Prieto

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on hits 0.5?

Nathan Church hits the over on hits 0.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 24-16-4 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$18.

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Nathan Church hits the over on home runs 0.5 10% of the time in 2026, going 4-36-4 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$149.

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Nathan Church hits the over on rbis 0.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 10-30-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$303.

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Nathan Church hits the over on runs scored 0.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 15-25-4 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$518.

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?

Nathan Church hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 52.5% of the time in 2026, going 21-19-4 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$315.

What are Nathan Church's best prop bets in 2026?

Nathan Church's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 66.7% (26-13); Total Bases O 0.5 at 61.5% (24-15); Hits O 0.5 at 60% (24-16).