Nathan Church

Nathan Church

St. Louis CardinalsPosition Player2026
Reg0.250 / 8 HR / 28 RBI / 56 H / 5 SB / 68G
67.2% HRR O 0.560.9% TB O 0.560% H O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Nathan Church goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 67.2% of the time (43-21-6)

Props — 202672 games with closing lines

Hits

72g
avg 0.7
60%Over: 39-26-7
0vs O 0.5-105
vsBrewers7/7
H: 52.9%(34)A: 55.3%(38)
avg 0.1
10.8%Over: 7-58-7
0vs O 0.5+1180
vsBrewers7/7
H: 5.9%(34)A: 13.2%(38)

RBIs

72g
avg 0.3
23.1%Over: 15-50-7
0vs O 0.5+373
vsBrewers7/7
H: 20.6%(34)A: 21.1%(38)
avg 0.4
40%Over: 26-39-7
0vs O 0.5+310
vsBrewers7/7
H: 29.4%(34)A: 42.1%(38)
avg 0.6
52.3%Over: 34-31-7
1vs O 0.5-479
vsBrewers7/7
H: 35.3%(34)A: 57.9%(38)
avg 1.2
60%Over: 39-26-7
0vs O 0.5-120
vsBrewers7/7
H: 54.5%(33)A: 56.8%(37)
avg 0
7.7%Over: 5-60-6
0vs O 0.5+1380
vsBrewers7/7
H: 9.1%(33)A: 5.3%(38)
avg 0.1
14.1%Over: 9-55-6
0vs O 0.5+650
vsBrewers7/7
H: 11.8%(34)A: 13.9%(36)
avg 1.5
67.2%Over: 43-21-6
0vs O 0.5-128
vsBrewers7/7
H: 55.9%(34)A: 66.7%(36)
avg 0.5
45.3%Over: 29-35-6
0vs O 0.5+154
vsBrewers7/7
H: 44.1%(34)A: 38.9%(36)
avg 0.2
19%Over: 12-51-5
0vs O 0.5+359
vsBrewers7/7
H: 9.4%(32)A: 25%(36)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.4
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
77
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Church's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
20%(1-4)20%(1-4)20%(1-4)
54.2%(13-11)8.3%(2-22)12.5%(3-21)
58.8%(20-14)11.8%(4-30)23.5%(8-26)
42.9%(3-4)0%(0-7)28.6%(2-5)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7

Matchup data is limited but favors Church.

vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7

Church is batting just .083 (5-for-60) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.

vs Shane Drohan
7/6

Church slugged just .391 in 115 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
420-1666-186 Over2272 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/7vsBrewersHitsO 1.50L+565
7/7vsBrewersDoublesO 0.50L+650
7/7vsBrewersHitsO 0.50L-105
7/7vsBrewersHome RunsO 1.50L+25000
7/7vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+195
7/7vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-128
7/7vsBrewersRBIsO 1.50L+1200
7/7vsBrewersRBIsO 0.50L+373
7/7vsBrewersRuns ScoredO 0.50L+310
7/7vsBrewersHome RunsO 0.50L+1180
7/7vsBrewersRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1700
7/7vsBrewersSinglesO 0.50L+154
7/7vsBrewersTotal BasesO 1.50L+270
7/7vsBrewersTotal BasesO 2.50L+600
7/7vsBrewersTotal BasesO 3.50L+1000
7/7vsBrewersTotal BasesO 4.50L+2500
7/7vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+1300
7/7vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+900
7/7vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+430
7/7vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L
7/7vsBrewersHitsO 2.50L+3500
7/7vsBrewersTotal BasesO 0.50L-120
7/7vsBrewersHome RunsO 2.50L
7/7vsBrewersStrikeoutsO 0.51W-479
7/7vsBrewersStrikeoutsO 2.51L+740
7/7vsBrewersStrikeoutsO 1.51L+139
7/7vsBrewersSinglesO 1.50L+1020
7/7vsBrewersWalksO 0.50L+359
7/7vsBrewersRBIsO 3.50L+10000
7/7vsBrewersRBIsO 2.50L+3500
7/7vsBrewersStolen BasesO 0.50L+1380
7/7vsBrewersHitsO 3.50L+5500
7/7vsBrewersRBIsO 4.50L+6000
7/7vsBrewersRuns ScoredO 2.50L+5500
7/7vsBrewersStolen BasesO 1.50L+10000
7/7vsBrewersRuns ScoredO 3.50L
7/7vsBrewersDoublesO 1.50L
7/6vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+135
7/6vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.51L
7/6vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-191
7/6vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.51L+1120
7/6vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+650
7/6vsBrewersHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+300
7/6vsBrewersHitsO 0.51W-150
7/6vsBrewersHitsO 2.51L+2700
7/6vsBrewersHitsO 1.51L+420
7/6vsBrewersHome RunsO 0.50L+1060
7/6vsBrewersRBIsO 0.50L+254
7/6vsBrewersRBIsO 1.50L+1000
7/6vsBrewersRBIsO 2.50L+3000

St. Louis Cardinals Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on hits 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on hits 0.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 39-26-7 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$99.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on home runs 0.5 10.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-58-7 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$939.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on rbis 0.5 23.1% of the time in 2026, going 15-50-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$970.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 26-39-7 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1,148.
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 52.3% of the time in 2026, going 34-31-7 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$699.
What are Nathan Church's best prop bets in 2026?
Nathan Church's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 67.2% (43-21); Total Bases O 0.5 at 60.9% (39-25); Hits O 0.5 at 60% (39-26).

Nathan Church 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.72 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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