St. Louis Cardinals67.2% HRR O 0.560.9% TB O 0.560% H O 0.5
Season
All Nathan Church propsProps — 202672 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
71g7.7%Over: 5-60-6
0vs O 0.5+1380
vs
Brewers7/7
Brewers7/7✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗
H: 9.1%(33)A: 5.3%(38)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
77Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Church's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 54.2%(13-11) | 8.3%(2-22) | 12.5%(3-21) |
| ★★★★★ | 58.8%(20-14) | 11.8%(4-30) | 23.5%(8-26) |
| ★★★★★ | 42.9%(3-4) | 0%(0-7) | 28.6%(2-5) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7Matchup data is limited but favors Church.
★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski
7/7Church is batting just .083 (5-for-60) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Shane Drohan
7/6Church slugged just .391 in 115 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-115-10 Over71g · 130 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/7 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1380 |
| 7/7 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 7/6 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 7/5 | @ Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/4 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/4 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 7/3 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +960 |
| 7/3 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 7/2 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 7/2 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 7/1 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/1 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1080 |
| 6/30 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/28 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 6/28 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/27 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/27 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/26 | vsMarlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +810 |
| 6/26 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/25 | vs Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +750 |
| 6/25 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/23 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/23 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 6/22 | vsDiamondbacks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +850 |
| 6/22 | vsDiamondbacks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 6/21 | @ Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 6/21 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5900 |
| 6/19 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1080 |
| 6/19 | @Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1220 |
| 6/17 | vs Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 6/17 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/16 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 6/16 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/15 | vsPadres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 6/15 | vsPadres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 6/14 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +825 |
| 6/14 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/13 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 6/13 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/12 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 6/12 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7000 |
| 6/11 | @ Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/11 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 6/10 | @Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 7.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-60-6 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Nathan Church over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 71 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathan Church over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$821 (-11.56% ROI). The hit rate is 7.7% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Nathan Church's stolen bases average this season?
Nathan Church averages 0.1 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 71 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge