Inside Edge
St. Louis Cardinals66.7% HRR O 0.561.5% TB O 0.560% H O 0.5
Season
All Nathan Church propsProps — 202644 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
44g37.5%Over: 15-25-4
0vs O 0.5+220
vs
Pirates5/21
Pirates5/21P✗✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 36.4%(22)A: 31.8%(22)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.5★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
50Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Church's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 62.5%(10-6) | 6.3%(1-15) | 12.5%(2-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 52.6%(10-9) | 10.5%(2-17) | 26.3%(5-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Chris Paddack
5/22Church is batting just .151 (8-for-53) against right-handers with avg flyball rates like Paddack over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Braxton Ashcraft
5/21Church is batting just .132 (9-for-68) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Ashcraft over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Carmen Mlodzinski
5/20Church is batting just .121 (8-for-66) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Mlodzinski over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
17-85-8 Over44g · 110 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +1450 |
| 5/21 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +220 |
| 5/21 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +5000 |
| 5/20 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +195 |
| 5/20 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 5/20 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/17 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/17 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 5/16 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +195 |
| 5/16 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
| 5/16 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/15 | vsRoyals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
| 5/15 | vsRoyals | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +175 |
| 5/15 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/14 | @ Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 5/14 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/14 | @Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +150 |
| 5/13 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/12 | @Athletics | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/12 | @Athletics | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/12 | @Athletics | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 5/10 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/10 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +180 |
| 5/10 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +4500 |
| 5/9 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/9 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/9 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/8 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +200 |
| 5/8 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1600 |
| 5/8 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +4500 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/6 | vs Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1500 |
| 5/6 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +200 |
| 5/6 | vsBrewers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/4 | vsBrewers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +180 |
| 5/4 | vsBrewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 5/3 | vs Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +190 |
| 5/3 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/2 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 5/2 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +175 |
| 5/2 | vsDodgers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1900 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +210 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nathan Church hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nathan Church hits the over on runs scored 0.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 15-25-4 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Nathan Church over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 44 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathan Church over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$518 (+11.77% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Nathan Church's runs scored average this season?
Nathan Church averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 44 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.