Nathan Church

St. Louis CardinalsPosition Player•2026

Reg0.250 / 8 HR / 28 RBI / 56 H / 5 SB / 68G

67.2% HRR O 0.560.9% TB O 0.560% H O 0.5

Season

All Nathan Church props

Props — 202672 games with closing lines

Home Runs

72g

avg 0.1

10.8%Over: 7-58-7

0vs O 0.5+1180

Brewers7/7

✗✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗

H: 5.9%(34)A: 13.2%(38)

SeasonalityAll lines

18%

29%

Mar
0-4

Apr
4-18

May
0-19

Jun
1-19

Jul
2-5

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.4★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Church's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	20%(1-4)	20%(1-4)	20%(1-4)
★★★★★	54.2%(13-11)	8.3%(2-22)	12.5%(3-21)
★★★★★	58.8%(20-14)	11.8%(4-30)	23.5%(8-26)
★★★★★	42.9%(3-4)	0%(0-7)	28.6%(2-5)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski

7/7

Matchup data is limited but favors Church.

★★★★★vs Jacob Misiorowski

7/7

Church is batting just .083 (5-for-60) against right-handers with high strikeout rates over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Shane Drohan

7/6

Church slugged just .391 in 115 AB's when hitting at home over the last year.

Game Log

Bet

8-141-15 Over72g · 164 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/7	vsBrewers	O 1.5	0	L	+25000
7/7	vsBrewers	O 0.5	0	L	+1180
7/7	vsBrewers	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/6	vsBrewers	O 0.5	0	L	+1060
7/6	vsBrewers	O 1.5	0	L	+40000
7/6	vsBrewers	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/5	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	+1000
7/5	@Cubs	O 1.5	0	L	+15000
7/5	@Cubs	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/4	@Cubs	O 0.5	0	L	+1000
7/4	@Cubs	O 1.5	0	L	+17500
7/4	@Cubs	O 2.5	0	L	—
7/3	@Cubs	O 0.5	1	W	+920
7/3	@Cubs	O 1.5	1	L	+12500
7/3	@Cubs	O 2.5	1	L	—
7/2	@Braves	O 0.5	1	W	+830
7/2	@Braves	O 1.5	1	L	+15000
7/2	@Braves	O 2.5	1	L	—
7/1	@Braves	O 1.5	0	L	+10000
7/1	@Braves	O 0.5	0	L	+860
7/1	@Braves	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/30	@Braves	O 0.5	1	W	+1140
6/30	@Braves	O 1.5	1	L	+17500
6/30	@Braves	O 2.5	1	L	—
6/28	vsMarlins	O 0.5	0	L	+900
6/28	vsMarlins	O 1.5	0	L	+25000
6/28	vsMarlins	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/27	vsMarlins	O 1.5	0	L	+17500
6/27	vsMarlins	O 0.5	0	L	+920
6/27	vsMarlins	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/26	vsMarlins	O 1.5	0	L	+15000
6/26	vsMarlins	O 0.5	0	L	+900
6/26	vsMarlins	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/25	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	0	P	+870
6/25	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	0	P	+15000
6/25	vsDiamondbacks	O 2.5	0	P	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	0	L	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	0	L	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/23	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	0	L	+1200
6/23	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	0	L	+25000
6/23	vsDiamondbacks	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/22	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	0	L	+920
6/22	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	0	L	+12500
6/22	vsDiamondbacks	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/21	@Royals	O 1.5	0	L	+17500
6/21	@Royals	O 0.5	0	L	+1120
6/21	@Royals	O 2.5	0	L	—
6/19	@Royals	O 0.5	0	L	+900
6/19	@Royals	O 1.5	0	L	+12500

St. Louis Cardinals Teammates

View all

Jordan Walker JJ Wetherholt Alec Burleson Masyn Winn Victor Scott II Nolan Gorman Lars Nootbaar Blaze Jordan Jimmy Crooks Thomas Saggese Bryan Torres Yohel Pozo Matthew Liberatore Kyle Leahy Dustin May

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Nathan Church hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Nathan Church hits the over on home runs 0.5 10.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-58-7 with an average actual of 0.1.

Is Nathan Church over 0.5 home runs a good bet?

Based on 72 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathan Church over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$939 (+13.04% ROI). The hit rate is 10.8% with an average actual of 0.1.

What is Nathan Church's home runs average this season?

Nathan Church averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 72 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.