St. Louis Cardinals72.2% BBA O 1.558.8% ER O 2.546.7% HA O 5.5
Season
All Matthew Liberatore propsProps — 202619 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
17g35.3%Over: 6-11
15vs O 15.5+128
@
Cubs7/5
Cubs7/5✗✗✓✗✗✗✓✗✗✗
H: 60%(5)A: 14.3%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 22.2%(2-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 37.5%(3-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
7/5Current Cubs hitters are batting .279 against bottom-tier left-handed pitchers like Liberatore over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Martín Pérez
6/30Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Liberatore have an ERA of 4.90 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★vs Mitch Bratt
6/24Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Diamondbacks.
Game Log
Bet
$
8-16 Over17g · 24 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Cubs | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +128 |
| 6/30 | @ Braves | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +104 |
| 6/24 | vs Diamondbacks | O 15.5 | 16 | W | +114 |
| 6/24 | vsDiamondbacks | O 14.5 | 16 | W | -165 |
| 6/18 | @ Royals | O 16.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 6/18 | @Royals | O 15.5 | 5 | L | -110 |
| 6/13 | @ Twins | O 15.5 | 13 | L | -122 |
| 6/13 | @Twins | O 16.5 | 13 | L | -115 |
| 6/6 | vs Reds | O 15.5 | 13 | L | +111 |
| 5/31 | vsCubs | O 15.5 | 16 | W | -122 |
| 5/31 | vsCubs | O 16.5 | 16 | L | -110 |
| 5/25 | @ Brewers | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 5/19 | vs Pirates | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -116 |
| 5/13 | @ Athletics | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 5/7 | @ Padres | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -124 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 5/1 | vs Dodgers | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +118 |
| 4/25 | vs Mariners | O 15.5 | 10 | L | -132 |
| 4/25 | vsMariners | O 16.5 | 10 | L | -135 |
| 4/25 | vsMariners | O 17.5 | 10 | L | -105 |
| 4/19 | @ Astros | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 4/13 | vs Guardians | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 4/7 | @ Nationals | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -131 |
| 3/26 | vs Rays | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -166 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-8 with an average actual of 14.
Is Matthew Liberatore over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Liberatore over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$554 (-32.59% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 14.
What is Matthew Liberatore's outs recorded average this season?
Matthew Liberatore averages 14 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.
Inside Edge