Inside Edge
St. Louis Cardinals85.7% HA O 4.580% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 15.5
Season
All Matthew Liberatore propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
9g44.4%Over: 4-5
14vs O 16.5-116
vs
Pirates5/19
Pirates5/19✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✓
H: 50%(2)A: 50%(2)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 100%(2-0) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Mitch Keller
5/19Pitchers with similar repertoires to Liberatore have an ERA of 4.47 against the Pirates over the last year.
★★★★★vs J.T. Ginn
5/13Athletics hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Liberatore.
★★★★★vs Michael King
5/7Left-handed starters have an ERA of 2.57 against the Padres in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Padres.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-7 Over9g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | vsPirates | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -116 |
| 5/13 | @ Athletics | O 15.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 5/7 | @ Padres | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -124 |
| 5/7 | @Padres | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 5/1 | vs Dodgers | O 15.5 | 17 | W | +118 |
| 4/25 | vs Mariners | O 15.5 | 10 | L | -132 |
| 4/25 | vsMariners | O 16.5 | 10 | L | -135 |
| 4/25 | vsMariners | O 17.5 | 10 | L | -105 |
| 4/19 | @ Astros | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 4/13 | vs Guardians | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 4/7 | @ Nationals | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -131 |
| 3/26 | vs Rays | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -166 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 15.
Is Matthew Liberatore over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Liberatore over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$150 (-16.67% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 15.
What is Matthew Liberatore's outs recorded average this season?
Matthew Liberatore averages 15 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.