Matthew Liberatore

St. Louis CardinalsPitcher•2026

Reg5.50 ERA / 82 K / 85.1 IP / 8.7 K/9 / 18G

72.2% BBA O 1.558.8% ER O 2.546.7% HA O 5.5

Season

All Matthew Liberatore props

Props — 202619 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

19g

avg 4.3

33.3%Over: 6-12-1

3vs O 4.5+108

Cubs7/5

✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✓P✓

H: 11.1%(9)A: 50%(10)

SeasonalityAll lines

20%

57%

20%

Mar
0-1

Apr
1-4

May
4-3

Jun
1-4

Jul
0-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

0(0%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5	Outs RecordedO 15.5
★★★★★	20%(1-4)	60%(3-2)	50%(2-2)	80%(4-1)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	22.2%(2-7)	66.7%(6-3)	37.5%(3-5)	62.5%(5-3)	28.6%(2-5)
★★★★★	75%(3-1)	33.3%(1-2)	66.7%(2-1)	75%(3-1)	0%(0-2)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Javier Assad

7/5

Current Cubs hitters are batting .279 against bottom-tier left-handed pitchers like Liberatore over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Martín Pérez

6/30

Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Liberatore have an ERA of 4.90 against the Braves since last year.

★★★★★vs Mitch Bratt

6/24

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Diamondbacks.

Game Log

Bet

61-77-7 Over19g · 145 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/5	@Cubs	O 5.5	3	L	+240
7/5	@Cubs	O 3.5	3	L	-210
7/5	@Cubs	O 4.5	3	L	+108
7/5	@Cubs	O 6.5	3	L	+520
7/5	@Cubs	O 2.5	3	W	-525
7/5	@Cubs	O 1.5	3	W	-2900
7/5	@Cubs	O 7.5	3	L	+1020
7/5	@Cubs	O 0.5	3	W	—
7/5	@Cubs	O 9.5	3	L	—
7/5	@Cubs	O 8.5	3	L	—
6/30	@Braves	O 3.5	9	W	-185
6/30	@Braves	O 1.5	9	W	-2200
6/30	@Braves	O 2.5	9	W	-450
6/30	@Braves	O 4.5	9	W	+132
6/30	@Braves	O 5.5	9	W	+290
6/30	@Braves	O 6.5	9	W	+640
6/30	@Braves	O 7.5	9	W	+1280
6/30	@Braves	O 8.5	9	W	—
6/30	@Braves	O 9.5	9	L	—
6/30	@Braves	O 0.5	9	W	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 3.5	3	L	+124
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 2.5	3	W	-210
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 5.5	3	L	+640
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 4.5	3	L	+290
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 0.5	3	W	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 1.5	3	W	-780
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 6.5	3	L	+1380
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 7.5	3	L	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 8.5	3	L	—
6/24	vsDiamondbacks	O 9.5	3	L	—
6/18	@Royals	O 4.5	2	L	+139
6/18	@Royals	O 6.5	2	L	+660
6/18	@Royals	O 2.5	2	L	-400
6/18	@Royals	O 5.5	2	L	+306
6/18	@Royals	O 3.5	2	L	-160
6/18	@Royals	O 7.5	2	L	+1460
6/18	@Royals	O 1.5	2	W	-1820
6/18	@Royals	O 8.5	2	L	—
6/18	@Royals	O 9.5	2	L	—
6/18	@Royals	O 0.5	2	W	—
6/13	@Twins	O 4.5	4	L	+102
6/13	@Twins	O 2.5	4	W	-640
6/13	@Twins	O 5.5	4	L	+223
6/13	@Twins	O 6.5	4	L	+485
6/13	@Twins	O 3.5	4	W	-229
6/13	@Twins	O 8.5	4	L	+1700
6/13	@Twins	O 7.5	4	L	+1000
6/13	@Twins	O 1.5	4	W	-2900
6/6	vsReds	O 4.5	4	L	-140
6/6	vsReds	O 5.5	4	L	+145

St. Louis Cardinals Teammates

View all

Jordan Walker JJ Wetherholt Alec Burleson Masyn Winn Nathan Church Victor Scott II Nolan Gorman Lars Nootbaar Blaze Jordan Jimmy Crooks Thomas Saggese Bryan Torres Yohel Pozo Kyle Leahy Dustin May

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Matthew Liberatore hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-12-1 with an average actual of 4.3.

Is Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 19 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Liberatore over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$494 (-26% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 4.3.

What is Matthew Liberatore's pitcher ks average this season?

Matthew Liberatore averages 4.3 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 19 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.