St. Louis Cardinals72.2% BBA O 1.558.8% ER O 2.546.7% HA O 5.5
Season
All Matthew Liberatore propsProps — 202619 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
18g50%Over: 9-9
4vs O 5.5+115
@
Cubs7/5
Cubs7/5✗✗✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓
H: 50%(6)A: 44.4%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Liberatore's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 60%(3-2) | 50%(2-2) | 80%(4-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 22.2%(2-7) | 66.7%(6-3) | 37.5%(3-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Javier Assad
7/5Current Cubs hitters are batting .279 against bottom-tier left-handed pitchers like Liberatore over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Martín Pérez
6/30Left-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Liberatore have an ERA of 4.90 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★vs Mitch Bratt
6/24Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.23 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days, but other matchup data favors the Diamondbacks.
Game Log
Bet
$
15-11 Over18g · 26 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | @Cubs | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 7/5 | @Cubs | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -147 |
| 6/30 | @ Braves | O 5.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/24 | vs Diamondbacks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -110 |
| 6/18 | @ Royals | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -107 |
| 6/18 | @Royals | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -165 |
| 6/13 | @ Twins | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -101 |
| 6/13 | @Twins | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 6/6 | vs Reds | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +115 |
| 6/6 | vsReds | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -164 |
| 5/31 | vsCubs | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +101 |
| 5/25 | @ Brewers | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +111 |
| 5/19 | vs Pirates | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -140 |
| 5/19 | vsPirates | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +112 |
| 5/13 | @ Athletics | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -135 |
| 5/7 | @ Padres | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 5/1 | vs Dodgers | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +127 |
| 5/1 | vsDodgers | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -145 |
| 4/25 | vs Mariners | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 4/19 | @ Astros | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +125 |
| 4/13 | vs Guardians | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +107 |
| 4/13 | vsGuardians | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -155 |
| 4/7 | @ Nationals | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +114 |
| 4/7 | @Nationals | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -135 |
| 4/1 | vs Mets | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -143 |
| 3/26 | vs Rays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -138 |
St. Louis Cardinals Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Matthew Liberatore hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Matthew Liberatore hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 46.7% of the time in 2026, going 7-8 with an average actual of 5.4.
Is Matthew Liberatore over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Matthew Liberatore over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$63 (-3.5% ROI). The hit rate is 46.7% with an average actual of 5.4.
What is Matthew Liberatore's hits allowed average this season?
Matthew Liberatore averages 5.4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.
Inside Edge