Thunder vs Timberwolves Odds & Spread, Dec 25, 2026 | LineTerminal

NBAFRI, DEC 25, 20267:00 PM CDT

Away

ThunderOklahoma City Thunder75-22-162

Home

TimberwolvesMinnesota Timberwolves55-40+136

Spread

Thunder −4.5

Total

233.5

Moneyline

Thunder -162/Timberwolves +136

Analyze with Atom

Probability

Loading probability

Pre-game notes2 notes

Rest advantage+15 days off

Revenge spotRecent loss vs opponent

Consensus lines

Spread

Total

ML

Thunder-4.5(-105)

O233.5

Thunder-162

Timberwolves+4.5(-115)

U233.5

Timberwolves+136

Line movement

DraftKings

Open

Current

Move

ThunderSpread

-4.5-4.5

—

TimberwolvesSpread

+4.5+4.5

—

Total

231.5233.5

+2.0

Over price -115 opened, -110 now

ThunderML

-162-162

—

TimberwolvesML

+136+136

—

Books split on the total232.5 (MGM, TSB) · 233 (BR) · 233.5 (DK, FD, CZR)

Key performers

Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander83g30.5PPG

4.1

RPG

6.8

APG

34

MIN

57.9

eFG%

Last 5: 25.4 ppg·vs Timberwolves: 31.3 ppg (4g)

Chet Holmgren84g16.7PPG

8.8

RPG

1.6

APG

29

MIN

61.5

eFG%

Last 5: 10.8 ppg·vs Timberwolves: 15.5 ppg (4g)

Jalen Williams38g16.7PPG

4.4

RPG

5.1

APG

27

MIN

51.6

eFG%

Last 5: 14.4 ppg·vs Timberwolves: 17 ppg (1g)

Cason Wallace92g8.6PPG

3.2

RPG

2.6

APG

26

MIN

53.5

eFG%

Last 5: 10.2 ppg·vs Timberwolves: 7 ppg (4g)

Ajay Mitchell68g13.8PPG

3.4

RPG

3.7

APG

26

MIN

53.1

eFG%

Last 5: 13.6 ppg·vs Timberwolves: 12.7 ppg (3g)

Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards71g27.8PPG

5.1

RPG

3.6

APG

35

MIN

56.1

eFG%

Last 5: 24.8 ppg·vs Thunder: 25.5 ppg (4g)

Julius Randle91g20.4PPG

6.8

RPG

4.7

APG

33

MIN

51.2

eFG%

Last 5: 11.2 ppg·vs Thunder: 18.5 ppg (4g)

Jaden McDaniels85g15.1PPG

4.5

RPG

2.7

APG

32

MIN

55.9

eFG%

Last 5: 14.6 ppg·vs Thunder: 11.5 ppg (4g)

Rudy Gobert88g10.4PPG

11.2

RPG

1.8

APG

31

MIN

65.9

eFG%

Last 5: 6.6 ppg·vs Thunder: 7.5 ppg (4g)

Donte DiVincenzo86g12.1PPG

4.1

RPG

3.8

APG

30

MIN

55.7

eFG%

Last 5: 9.2 ppg·vs Thunder: 13.3 ppg (4g)

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

PPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Thunder

118.5★

108.0★

+10.5★

Timberwolves

116.4★

114.5★

+1.9★

Edge

Thunder +2.1

Thunder +6.5

Thunder +8.6

Last 10 · Trend

Thunder

113.4avg

Timberwolves

107.5avg

Head to head2025-26 · 4 games

Thunder2

VS

Timberwolves2

Thunder107@112Timberwolves

Timberwolves +5 Jan 29

Thunder111@123Timberwolves

Timberwolves +12 Mar 15

Timberwolves103@116Thunder

Recent formLast 10

Straight-Up

Thunder

6-460%

W

W

W

L

W

W

L

W

L

L

Timberwolves

5-550%

W

W

L

W

W

L

L

W

L

L

Against the Spread

Thunder

5-550%

W

W

L

L

W

W

L

W

L

L

Timberwolves

5-550%

W

W

L

W

W

L

L

W

L

L

Season records2025-26 · 97g / 95g

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Thunder

Overall

77%75-22

48%47-50

57%55-42

Timberwolves

Overall

58%55-40

45%43-52

47%45-50

Matchup venueRoad / Home splits

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Thunder

On Road

74%35-12

49%23-24

57%27-20

Timberwolves

At Home

63%30-18

46%22-26

35%17-31

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Books typically hang them closer to kickoff. Check back before game time.

EV picks