Heat vs Celtics Odds & Spread, Dec 25, 2026 | LineTerminal

NBAFRI, DEC 25, 20261:30 PM CDT

Away

HeatMiami Heat43-40+162

Home

CelticsBoston Celtics59-30-194

Spread

Celtics −5.5

Total

231.5

Moneyline

Heat +162/Celtics -194

Analyze with Atom

Probability

Loading probability

Pre-game notes5 notes

Rest advantage+18 days off

Covered 3 straightHeat covering against the spread

Lost 3 straightCeltics cold

Lost ATS 3 straightCeltics hasn't covered in 3

Revenge spotRecent loss vs opponent

Consensus lines

Spread

Total

ML

Heat+5.5(-115)

O231.5

Heat+162

Celtics-5.5(-105)

U231.5

Celtics-194

Line movement

DraftKings

Open

Current

Move

HeatSpread

+5.5+5.5

—

CelticsSpread

-5.5-5.5

—

Total

228.5230.5

+2.0

Over price -115 opened, -110 now

HeatML

+154+164

+10

CelticsML

-185-198

-13

Books split on the total229.5 (TSB) · 230.5 (DK, CZR, BR) · 231.5 (FD, MGM)

Key performers

Heat

Bam Adebayo74g19.9PPG

9.9

RPG

3.1

APG

32

MIN

49.9

eFG%

Last 5: 16.4 ppg·vs Celtics: 20.8 ppg (4g)

Tyler Herro34g20.6PPG

4.7

RPG

4.2

APG

31

MIN

55.8

eFG%

Last 5: 15 ppg·vs Celtics: 20 ppg (2g)

Andrew Wiggins69g15.5PPG

4.9

RPG

2.7

APG

31

MIN

56.1

eFG%

Last 5: 14.2 ppg·vs Celtics: 18.3 ppg (3g)

Norman Powell59g21.6PPG

3.5

RPG

2.4

APG

30

MIN

55.8

eFG%

Last 5: 14.4 ppg·vs Celtics: 22.7 ppg (3g)

Davion Mitchell71g9.6PPG

2.7

RPG

6.5

APG

29

MIN

57.5

eFG%

Last 5: 15.2 ppg·vs Celtics: 17 ppg (2g)

Celtics

Jaylen Brown78g28.4PPG

6.8

RPG

5

APG

35

MIN

52.2

eFG%

Last 5: 23.6 ppg·vs Heat: 32.3 ppg (4g)

Derrick White84g16PPG

4.3

RPG

5.2

APG

34

MIN

48.4

eFG%

Last 5: 12 ppg·vs Heat: 17 ppg (4g)

Jayson Tatum22g22.2PPG

10.1

RPG

5.7

APG

34

MIN

51.3

eFG%

Last 5: 23 ppg·vs Heat: 25 ppg (1g)

Payton Pritchard86g16.8PPG

3.9

RPG

5.2

APG

33

MIN

55.7

eFG%

Last 5: 17.2 ppg·vs Heat: 12.3 ppg (4g)

Neemias Queta83g10.1PPG

8.4

RPG

1.6

APG

25

MIN

65.9

eFG%

Last 5: 8.8 ppg·vs Heat: 9.3 ppg (4g)

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

PPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Heat

120.9★

118.6★

+2.3★

Celtics

114.2★

106.9★

+7.3★

Edge

Heat +6.7

Celtics +11.7

Celtics +5.0

Last 10 · Trend

Heat

126.4avg

Celtics

110.9avg

Head to head2025-26 · 4 games

Heat0

VS

Celtics4

Celtics119@114Heat

Celtics +5 Feb 6

Heat96@98Celtics

Celtics +2 Apr 1

Celtics147@129Heat

Recent formLast 10

Straight-Up

Heat

4-640%

L

L

W

L

W

L

L

W

W

L

CelticsL3

5-550%

L

W

W

W

L

W

W

L

L

L

Against the Spread

Heat3 cover

4-640%

L

L

W

L

L

L

L

W

W

W

Celtics3 fail

4-640%

L

W

W

W

L

L

W

L

L

L

Season records2025-26 · 83g / 89g

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Heat

Overall

52%43-40

57%47-36

58%48-35

Celtics

Overall

66%59-30

57%51-38

36%32-57

Matchup venueRoad / Home splits

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Heat

On Road

40%17-25

57%24-18

57%24-18

Celtics

At Home

69%31-14

53%24-21

36%16-29

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Books typically hang them closer to kickoff. Check back before game time.

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