Nuggets vs Warriors Odds & Spread, Dec 25, 2026 | LineTerminal

NBAFRI, DEC 25, 20269:30 PM CDT

Away

NuggetsDenver Nuggets56-32-132

Home

WarriorsGolden State Warriors39-46+112

Spread

Nuggets −2.5

Total

238.5

Moneyline

Nuggets -132/Warriors +112

Analyze with Atom

Probability

Loading probability

Pre-game notes2 notes

Rest advantage+13 days off

Revenge spotRecent loss vs opponent

Consensus lines

Spread

Total

ML

Nuggets-2.5(-110)

O238.5

Nuggets-132

Warriors+2.5(-110)

U238.5

Warriors+112

Line movement

DraftKings

Open

Current

Move

NuggetsSpread

-2.5-2.5

—

WarriorsSpread

+2.5+2.5

—

Total

233.5238.5

+5.0

Over price -110 opened, -110 now

NuggetsML

-135-135

—

WarriorsML

+114+114

—

Books split on the total233.5 (TSB) · 234.5 (BR) · 238.5 (DK, MGM, CZR) · 239.5 (FD)

Key performers

Nuggets

Jamal Murray81g25.3PPG

4.4

RPG

7

APG

36

MIN

55.8

eFG%

Last 5: 22.4 ppg·vs Warriors: 22.3 ppg (4g)

Nikola Jokić62g27.9PPG

12.9

RPG

10.9

APG

35

MIN

62.2

eFG%

Last 5: 27.2 ppg·vs Warriors: 26.8 ppg (4g)

Christian Braun50g11.5PPG

4.6

RPG

2.6

APG

32

MIN

56.8

eFG%

Last 5: 7.6 ppg·vs Warriors: 12 ppg (4g)

Cameron Johnson60g12.4PPG

3.8

RPG

2.4

APG

31

MIN

59.5

eFG%

Last 5: 14.6 ppg·vs Warriors: 5 ppg (4g)

Peyton Watson54g14.6PPG

4.9

RPG

2.1

APG

30

MIN

56.0

eFG%

Last 5: 11.6 ppg·vs Warriors: 7.3 ppg (3g)

Warriors

Jimmy Butler III38g20PPG

5.6

RPG

4.9

APG

31

MIN

55.4

eFG%

Last 5: 22 ppg·vs Nuggets: 18.5 ppg (2g)

Stephen Curry45g26.5PPG

3.5

RPG

4.7

APG

31

MIN

58.5

eFG%

Last 5: 20.8 ppg·vs Nuggets: 42 ppg (1g)

Brandin Podziemski84g14PPG

5.2

RPG

3.6

APG

29

MIN

54.5

eFG%

Last 5: 19.4 ppg·vs Nuggets: 14.8 ppg (4g)

Draymond Green70g8.3PPG

5.5

RPG

5.6

APG

28

MIN

52.2

eFG%

Last 5: 4.4 ppg·vs Nuggets: 14.3 ppg (3g)

Moses Moody60g12.1PPG

3.3

RPG

1.6

APG

26

MIN

57.5

eFG%

Last 5: 16.6 ppg·vs Nuggets: 12.5 ppg (2g)

ScoringSeason · per game

Team

PPG

Scored

OPP

Allowed

MARGIN

Per game

Nuggets

121.1★

116.6★

+4.5★

Warriors

114.5★

114.8★

-0.4★

Edge

Nuggets +6.6

Warriors +1.8

Nuggets +4.9

Last 10 · Trend

Nuggets

117.3avg

Warriors

109.6avg

Head to head2025-26 · 4 games

Nuggets2

VS

Warriors2

Warriors104@129Nuggets

Nuggets +25 Feb 22

Nuggets117@128Warriors

Warriors +11 Mar 29

Warriors93@116Nuggets

Recent formLast 10

Straight-Up

Nuggets

6-460%

W

W

W

W

W

L

L

L

W

L

Warriors

2-820%

L

L

L

L

W

L

L

L

W

L

Against the Spread

Nuggets

4-640%

L

L

W

W

W

L

L

L

W

L

Warriors

4-640%

L

W

W

W

L

L

L

L

W

L

Season records2025-26 · 88g / 85g

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Nuggets

Overall

64%56-32

52%46-42

60%53-35

Warriors

Overall

46%39-46

44%37-48

58%49-36

Matchup venueRoad / Home splits

Team

SU

ATS

O/U

Nuggets

On Road

59%26-18

55%24-20

66%29-15

Warriors

At Home

54%22-19

44%18-23

61%25-16

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