Trevor Story

Boston Red SoxPosition Player•2026

Reg0.206 / 3 HR / 19 RBI / 34 H / 4 SB / 41G

73.2% HRR O 0.565.9% H O 0.548.8% 1B O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Trevor Story goes over 0.5 strikeouts 75% of the time (27-9-4)

Props — 202646 games with closing lines

Hits

46g

avg 0.7

65.9%Over: 27-14-5

0vs O 0.5-153

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✓✓P✗✓✗

H: 56.5%(23)A: 60.9%(23)

Home Runs

46g

avg 0.1

7.3%Over: 3-38-5

0vs O 0.5+760

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✗✗P✗✗✗

H: 4.3%(23)A: 8.7%(23)

RBIs

46g

avg 0.2

26.8%Over: 11-30-5

0vs O 0.5+240

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✗✗P✗✗✗

H: 21.7%(23)A: 26.1%(23)

Runs Scored

46g

avg 0.4

31.7%Over: 13-28-5

0vs O 0.5+160

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✗✓P✗✓✗

H: 26.1%(23)A: 30.4%(23)

Stolen Bases

46g

avg 0.1

9.8%Over: 4-37-5

0vs O 0.5+580

Braves5/16

PP✗✗✗✗P✗✓✗

H: 8.7%(23)A: 8.7%(23)

Total Bases

46g

avg 1

26.8%Over: 11-30-5

0vs O 1.5+166

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✗✓P✗✗✗

H: 21.7%(23)A: 26.1%(23)

Doubles

46g

avg 0.1

17.1%Over: 7-34-5

0vs O 0.5+400

Braves5/16

PP✗✗✗✓P✗✗✗

H: 13%(23)A: 17.4%(23)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

46g

avg 1.3

73.2%Over: 30-11-5

0vs O 0.5-200

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✓✓P✗✓✗

H: 60.9%(23)A: 69.6%(23)

Singles

46g

avg 0.5

48.8%Over: 20-21-5

0vs O 0.5+133

Braves5/16

PP✗✓✓✗P✗✓✗

H: 43.5%(23)A: 43.5%(23)

Strikeouts

45g

avg 1.2

46.3%Over: 19-22-4

0vs O 1.5+109

Braves5/15

P✓✗✗✓P✓✓✓✗

H: 43.5%(23)A: 40.9%(22)

Walks

42g

avg 0.3

20.5%Over: 8-31-3

0vs O 0.5+236

Braves5/15

P✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗P

H: 20%(20)A: 18.2%(22)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(9%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Story's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	100%(4-0)	0%(0-4)	0%(0-4)
★★★★★	56.3%(9-7)	0%(0-16)	12.5%(2-14)
★★★★★	70%(7-3)	30%(3-7)	60%(6-4)
★★★★★	45.5%(5-6)	0%(0-11)	9.1%(1-10)
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-4)	25%(1-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bryce Elder

5/16

Story is slugging .460 in his last 125 PA's against right-handers with high groundball rates like Elder over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Spencer Strider

5/15

Story has an OPS of .905 over his last 5 games but is batting just .209 (14-for-67) against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Strider.

★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo

5/14

Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .504 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Story over the last 2 years.

Game Log

Bet

272-1015-150 Over1437 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Result	Odds
5/16	@Braves	Doubles	O 0.5	P	+400
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 0.5	P	-153
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 2.5	P	+1860
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 1.5	P	+371
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	P	+253
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	P	+930
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	P	+125
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	P	+487
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	-200
5/16	@Braves	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	+760
5/16	@Braves	Home Runs	O 1.5	P	+10000
5/16	@Braves	RBIs	O 1.5	P	+760
5/16	@Braves	RBIs	O 0.5	P	+240
5/16	@Braves	Singles	O 1.5	P	+860
5/16	@Braves	Singles	O 0.5	P	+133
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 4.5	P	+1220
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 3.5	P	+551
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 1.5	P	+166
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 2.5	P	+361
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 3.5	P	+7000
5/16	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	+1100
5/16	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	+160
5/16	@Braves	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	P	+580
5/16	@Braves	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	P	+5500
5/15	@Braves	Doubles	O 0.5	P	+490
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 0.5	P	-150
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 1.5	P	+377
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 2.5	P	+2000
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	P	+900
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	P	-190
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	P	+130
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	P	+500
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	P	+270
5/15	@Braves	Home Runs	O 0.5	P	+800
5/15	@Braves	Home Runs	O 1.5	P	+8000
5/15	@Braves	RBIs	O 0.5	P	+240
5/15	@Braves	RBIs	O 1.5	P	+725
5/15	@Braves	Singles	O 1.5	P	+910
5/15	@Braves	Singles	O 0.5	P	+134
5/15	@Braves	Total Bases	O 3.5	P	+575
5/15	@Braves	Total Bases	O 2.5	P	+400
5/15	@Braves	Total Bases	O 4.5	P	+1200
5/15	@Braves	Total Bases	O 1.5	P	+200
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 3.5	P	+12500
5/15	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 1.5	P	+1300
5/15	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 0.5	P	+185
5/15	@Braves	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	P	+520
5/15	@Braves	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	P	+5000
5/15	@Braves	Strikeouts	O 0.5	P	-579
5/15	@Braves	Strikeouts	O 2.5	P	+531

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all

Wilyer Abreu Willson Contreras Caleb Durbin Ceddanne Rafaela Jarren Duran Marcelo Mayer Roman Anthony Masataka Yoshida Andruw Monasterio Connor Wong Isiah Kiner-Falefa Mickey Gasper Connelly Early Nick Sogard Ranger Suarez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on hits 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on hits 0.5 65.9% of the time in 2026, going 27-14-5 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$16.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-38-5 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,150.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on rbis 0.5 26.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-30-5 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$982.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on runs scored 0.5 31.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-28-5 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$864.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 9.8% of the time in 2026, going 4-37-5 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,860.

What are Trevor Story's best prop bets in 2026?

Trevor Story's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 73.2% (30-11); Hits O 0.5 at 65.9% (27-14); Singles O 0.5 at 48.8% (20-21).