Trevor Story

Boston Red Sox•2026

.206AVG3HR19RBI16R34H4SB41G

.206AVG3HR19RBI16R34H4SB41G

65.9% H O 0.548.8% 1B O 0.546.3% HRR O 1.5

Season

Best Performer

Trevor Story goes over 0.5 hits 65.9% of the time (27-14-6)

Props — 202647 games with closing lines

Hits

47g

avg 0.7

65.9%Over: 27-14-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✓✓P✗✓

H: 54.2%(24)A: 60.9%(23)

Home Runs

47g

avg 0.1

7.3%Over: 3-38-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✗✗P✗✗

H: 4.2%(24)A: 8.7%(23)

RBIs

47g

avg 0.2

26.8%Over: 11-30-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✗✗P✗✗

H: 20.8%(24)A: 26.1%(23)

Runs Scored

47g

avg 0.4

31.7%Over: 13-28-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✗✓P✗✓

H: 25%(24)A: 30.4%(23)

Stolen Bases

47g

avg 0.1

9.8%Over: 4-37-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✗✗✗P✗✓

H: 8.3%(24)A: 8.7%(23)

Total Bases

47g

avg 1

26.8%Over: 11-30-6

0vs O 1.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✗✓P✗✗

H: 20.8%(24)A: 26.1%(23)

Doubles

47g

avg 0.1

17.1%Over: 7-34-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✗✗✓P✗✗

H: 12.5%(24)A: 17.4%(23)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

47g

avg 1.3

46.3%Over: 19-22-6

0vs O 1.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✗✓P✗✓

H: 41.7%(24)A: 39.1%(23)

Singles

47g

avg 0.5

48.8%Over: 20-21-6

0vs O 0.5

vs

Rays7/17

PPP✗✓✓✗P✗✓

H: 41.7%(24)A: 43.5%(23)

Strikeouts

45g

avg 1.2

46.3%Over: 19-22-4

0vs O 1.5+109

@

Braves5/15

P✓✗✗✓P✓✓✓✗

H: 43.5%(23)A: 40.9%(22)

Walks

42g

avg 0.3

20.5%Over: 8-31-3

0vs O 0.5+236

@

Braves5/15

P✗✗✓✗✗✗✗✗P

H: 20%(20)A: 18.2%(22)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.1★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(9%)

Total Matchups

45

Distribution

5

4

3

2

1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Story's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	100%(4-0)	0%(0-4)	0%(0-4)
★★★★★	56.3%(9-7)	0%(0-16)	12.5%(2-14)
★★★★★	70%(7-3)	30%(3-7)	60%(6-4)
★★★★★	45.5%(5-6)	0%(0-11)	9.1%(1-10)
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-4)	25%(1-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Bryce Elder

5/16

Story is slugging .460 in his last 125 PA's against right-handers with high groundball rates like Elder over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Spencer Strider

5/15

Story has an OPS of .905 over his last 5 games but is batting just .209 (14-for-67) against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Strider.

★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo

5/14

Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .504 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Story over the last 2 years.

Game Log

Bet

$

272-1015-170 Over1457 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/17	vsRays	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Total Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Doubles	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	—
7/17	vsRays	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	—
5/16	@Braves	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+400
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-153
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+1860
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+371
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+253
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+930
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+125
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+487
5/16	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-200
5/16	@Braves	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+760
5/16	@Braves	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+10000
5/16	@Braves	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+760
5/16	@Braves	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+240
5/16	@Braves	Singles	O 1.5	0	P	+860
5/16	@Braves	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+133
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 4.5	0	P	+1220
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 3.5	0	P	+551
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+166
5/16	@Braves	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+361
5/16	@Braves	Hits	O 3.5	0	P	+7000
5/16	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1100
5/16	@Braves	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+160
5/16	@Braves	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+580
5/16	@Braves	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	P	+5500
5/15	@Braves	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+490
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-150
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+377
5/15	@Braves	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+2000
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	0	P	+900
5/15	@Braves	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-190

Boston Red Sox Teammates

Wilyer Abreu Willson Contreras Jarren Duran Ceddanne Rafaela Caleb Durbin Adley Rutschman Masataka Yoshida Curtis Mead Andruw Monasterio Connor Wong Marcelo Mayer Anthony Seigler Eli White Jake Rogers Mickey Gasper

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on hits 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on hits 0.5 65.9% of the time in 2026, going 27-14-6 with an average actual of 0.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$16.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-38-6 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2,150.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on rbis 0.5 26.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-30-6 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$982.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on runs scored 0.5 31.7% of the time in 2026, going 13-28-6 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$864.

How often does Trevor Story hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?

Trevor Story hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 9.8% of the time in 2026, going 4-37-6 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,860.

What are Trevor Story's best prop bets in 2026?

Trevor Story's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits O 0.5 at 65.9% (27-14); Singles O 0.5 at 48.8% (20-21); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 1.5 at 46.3% (19-22).