Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox73.2% HRR O 0.565.9% H O 0.548.8% 1B O 0.5
Season
All Trevor Story propsProps — 202646 games with closing lines
Total Bases
46g26.8%Over: 11-30-5
0vs O 1.5+166
@
Braves5/16
Braves5/16PP✗✓✗✓P✗✗✗
H: 21.7%(23)A: 26.1%(23)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(9%)
Total Matchups
45Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Story's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(4-0) | 0%(0-4) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 56.3%(9-7) | 0%(0-16) | 12.5%(2-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 70%(7-3) | 30%(3-7) | 60%(6-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 45.5%(5-6) | 0%(0-11) | 9.1%(1-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bryce Elder
5/16Story is slugging .460 in his last 125 PA's against right-handers with high groundball rates like Elder over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Spencer Strider
5/15Story has an OPS of .905 over his last 5 games but is batting just .209 (14-for-67) against right-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like Strider.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/14Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .504 against right-handed batters who hit for high average like Story over the last 2 years.
Game Log
Bet
$
45-157-24 Over46g · 226 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +1220 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +551 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +166 |
| 5/16 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +361 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +575 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +400 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +1200 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +200 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -150 |
| 5/14 | vs Phillies | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1600 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +430 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +191 |
| 5/14 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -165 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 5 | W | +135 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +1000 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +280 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 3.5 | 5 | W | +450 |
| 5/13 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 5 | W | -220 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +170 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +370 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +600 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +1300 |
| 5/12 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -165 |
| 5/10 | vs Rays | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +470 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +1100 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +280 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +130 |
| 5/10 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -220 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +1100 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +140 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 3.5 | 0 | P | +500 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +320 |
| 5/9 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -210 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +125 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +300 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1100 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +500 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -220 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +150 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +330 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +550 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +1200 |
| 5/7 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -190 |
| 5/6 | @ Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +160 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 5/6 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -175 |
| 5/5 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +150 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Trevor Story hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Trevor Story hits the over on total bases 1.5 26.8% of the time in 2026, going 11-30-5 with an average actual of 1.1.
Is Trevor Story over 1.5 total bases a good bet?
Based on 46 games in 2026, betting $100 on Trevor Story over 1.5 total bases at best closing odds has returned -$1,499 (-32.59% ROI). The hit rate is 26.8% with an average actual of 1.1.
What is Trevor Story's total bases average this season?
Trevor Story averages 1.1 total bases per game in 2026 across 46 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.