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Players/MLB/Houston Astros/Spencer Arrighetti
Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti

Houston Astros•Pitcher•2026
4.64ERA87K87.3IP9.0K/917G
4.64ERA87K87.3IP9.0K/917G
56.3% BBA O 2.553.8% OUT O 15.543.8% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer

Spencer Arrighetti goes over 2.5 walks allowed 56.3% of the time (9-7)

Props — 202617 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

17g
avg 2.6
41.2%Over: 7-10
3vs O 2.5-122
@White Sox7/24
✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 50%(10)

Hits Allowed

17g
avg 3.9
41.2%Over: 7-10
2vs O 4.5-115
@White Sox7/24
✗✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 55.6%(9)

Outs Recorded

17g
avg 15.5
52.9%Over: 9-8
3vs O 15.5+115
@White Sox7/24
✗✗✗✓✗✓✓✓✗✓
H: 80%(5)A: 37.5%(8)

Pitcher Ks

17g
avg 5.1
41.2%Over: 7-10
0vs O 5.5+115
@White Sox7/24
✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 57.1%(7)A: 30%(10)

Walks Allowed

17g
avg 2.9
58.8%Over: 10-7
2vs O 2.5-116
@White Sox7/24
✗✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✗✗
H: 42.9%(7)A: 66.7%(9)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(25%)
Total Matchups
16
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arrighetti's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Outs RecordedO 15.5Pitcher KsO 5.5Walks AllowedO 2.5
★★★★★25%(1-3)50%(2-2)33.3%(1-2)25%(1-3)75%(3-1)
★★★★★57.1%(4-3)42.9%(3-4)50%(3-3)57.1%(4-3)50%(3-3)
★★★★★50%(1-1)100%(1-0)—0%(0-2)50%(1-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Davis Martin
7/24

Current White Sox hitters are batting .240 against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like like Arrighetti over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
7/18

Current Orioles hitters have struck out 25.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Arrighetti over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Foster Griffin
7/8

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Arrighetti have an ERA of 5.18 against the Nationals over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
110-135 Over245 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 6.50L+235
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 2.50L-1580
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 5.50L+115
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 1.50L—
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 3.50L-375
7/24@White SoxHits AllowedO 4.52L-115
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 7.50L+470
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 8.50L+930
7/24@White SoxEarned RunsO 2.53W-122
7/24@White SoxOuts RecordedO 15.53L+115
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 4.50L-175
7/24@White SoxWalks AllowedO 2.52L-116
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 10.50L—
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 9.50L+1800
7/24@White SoxPitcher KsO 50L—
7/24@White SoxOuts RecordedO 20.53L—
7/24@White SoxOuts RecordedO 11.53L—
7/24@White SoxOuts RecordedO 14.53L—
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 3.56W-650
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 5.56W-138
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 6.56L+154
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 8.56L+630
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 4.56W-295
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 7.56L+310
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 2.56W-3000
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 10.56L—
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 9.56L+1220
7/18vsOriolesPitcher KsO 1.56W—
7/18vsOriolesEarned RunsO 2.51L-105
7/18vsOriolesHits AllowedO 4.51L+105
7/18vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 14.515W-162
7/18vsOriolesOuts RecordedO 15.515L+120
7/18vsOriolesWalks AllowedO 2.54W-123
7/8@NationalsOuts RecordedO 15.512L-108
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 7.52L+690
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 2.52L-700
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 3.52L-275
7/8@NationalsEarned RunsO 3.58W+118
7/8@NationalsHits AllowedO 4.57W-160
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 1.52W—
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 5.52L+172
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 8.52L+1420
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 6.52L+360
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 4.52L-125
7/8@NationalsPitcher KsO 9.52L—
7/8@NationalsHits AllowedO 5.57W+119
7/8@NationalsWalks AllowedO 2.56W+101
7/8@NationalsEarned RunsO 2.58W-164
7/8@NationalsOuts RecordedO 16.512L—
7/3vsRaysPitcher KsO 5.54L+140

Houston Astros Teammates

View all
Yordan AlvarezChristian WalkerCam SmithIsaac ParedesDaulton VarshoJose AltuveYainer DiazTaylor TrammellBrice MatthewsJake MeyersNick AllenLaMonte Wade Jr.Joey LoperfidoCarlos CorreaBraden Shewmake

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-10 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$370.
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 43.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-9 with an average actual of 3.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$278.
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6 with an average actual of 15.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$31.
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 41.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-10 with an average actual of 5.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$337.
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 56.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-7 with an average actual of 2.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$146.
What are Spencer Arrighetti's best prop bets in 2026?
Spencer Arrighetti's highest-hitting props in 2026: Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 56.3% (9-7); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 53.8% (7-6); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 43.8% (7-9).

Spencer Arrighetti 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.17 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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