Spencer Arrighetti

Houston AstrosPitcher•2026

Reg3.84 ERA / 79 K / 77.3 IP / 9.2 K/9 / 14G

78.6% K O 3.563.6% OUT O 16.553.8% BBA O 2.5

Season

Best Performer

Spencer Arrighetti goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (13-0)

Props — 202614 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

14g

avg 2.4

35.7%Over: 5-9

1vs O 2.5-120

Rays7/3

✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✗

H: 33.3%(6)A: 37.5%(8)

Hits Allowed

14g

avg 4.1

42.9%Over: 6-8

2vs O 4.5-149

Rays7/3

✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓

H: 33.3%(6)A: 57.1%(7)

Outs Recorded

14g

avg 16.7

64.3%Over: 9-5

18vs O 16.5-102

Rays7/3

✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✓✓

H: 75%(4)A: 57.1%(7)

Pitcher Ks

14g

avg 5.6

78.6%Over: 11-3

4vs O 3.5-365

Rays7/3

✓✓✓✓✓✗✗✓✓✓

H: 83.3%(6)A: 75%(8)

Walks Allowed

14g

avg 2.7

57.1%Over: 8-6

1vs O 2.5+112

Rays7/3

✗✓✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✓

H: 33.3%(6)A: 71.4%(7)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.8★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(31%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arrighetti's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Walks AllowedO 2.5
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	50%(2-2)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(2-2)	75%(3-1)
★★★★★	60%(3-2)	60%(3-2)	80%(4-1)	100%(5-0)	50%(2-2)
★★★★★	50%(1-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)	50%(1-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	—	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Nick Martinez

7/3

Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Arrighetti.

★★★★★vs Keider Montero

6/26

Tigers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Arrighetti.

★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo

6/20

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.10 against the Guardians in the past 30 days.

Game Log

Bet

96-100 Over196 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	4	L	+140
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	4	L	-155
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	4	L	+610
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	4	L	+293
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	4	W	-1060
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	4	W	-365
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	4	L	+1340
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	4	W	—
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	4	L	—
7/3	vsRays	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	2	L	-149
7/3	vsRays	Earned Runs	O 2.5	1	L	-120
7/3	vsRays	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	18	W	-102
7/3	vsRays	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	4	L	—
7/3	vsRays	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	18	W	-130
7/3	vsRays	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	1	L	+112
7/3	vsRays	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	2	L	+120
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	7	L	+400
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	+198
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	7	W	-210
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	7	W	-105
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-500
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	-2100
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	7	L	+1520
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	7	W	—
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	7	L	+770
6/26	@Tigers	Earned Runs	O 2.5	8	W	-118
6/26	@Tigers	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	5	W	-120
6/26	@Tigers	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	9	L	-109
6/26	@Tigers	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	9	L	-122
6/26	@Tigers	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	7	L	—
6/26	@Tigers	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	5	W	+118
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	8	W	+142
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	8	W	-145
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	8	W	-2500
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	8	W	-312
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	8	W	-770
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	8	W	+286
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 1.5	8	W	—
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	8	L	+580
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	8	L	+1120
6/20	vsGuardians	Outs Recorded	O 15.5	18	W	-128
6/20	vsGuardians	Earned Runs	O 2.5	6	W	+115
6/20	vsGuardians	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	+126
6/20	vsGuardians	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	8	L	—
6/20	vsGuardians	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	18	W	-110
6/20	vsGuardians	Walks Allowed	O 2.5	0	L	-147
6/20	vsGuardians	Hits Allowed	O 3.5	6	W	-172
6/14	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	+325
6/14	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-315
6/14	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	-800

Houston Astros Teammates

View all

Yordan Alvarez Christian Walker Cam Smith Isaac Paredes Jose Altuve Brice Matthews Yainer Diaz Jake Meyers Taylor Trammell Joey Loperfido Carlos Correa Nick Allen Braden Shewmake Zach Cole Zach Dezenzo

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on earned runs 2.5?

Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on earned runs 2.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-9 with an average actual of 2.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$413.

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7 with an average actual of 4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$141.

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?

Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 63.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-4 with an average actual of 16.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$209.

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 78.6% of the time in 2026, going 11-3 with an average actual of 5.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$67.

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on walks allowed 2.5?

Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on walks allowed 2.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-6 with an average actual of 2.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$64.

What are Spencer Arrighetti's best prop bets in 2026?

Spencer Arrighetti's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 78.6% (11-3); Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 63.6% (7-4); Walks Allowed O 2.5 at 53.8% (7-6).