Houston Astros78.6% K O 3.563.6% OUT O 16.553.8% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Spencer Arrighetti propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
14g35.7%Over: 5-9
1vs O 2.5-120
vs
Rays7/3
Rays7/3✗✓✓✓✓✓✗✗✗✗
H: 33.3%(6)A: 37.5%(8)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(31%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arrighetti's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 80%(4-1) | 100%(5-0) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
7/3Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Arrighetti.
★★★★★vs Keider Montero
6/26Tigers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Arrighetti.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
6/20Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.10 against the Guardians in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
5-11 Over14g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 6/26 | @ Tigers | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -118 |
| 6/20 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 6/14 | @ Royals | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -113 |
| 6/8 | @ Angels | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +102 |
| 6/3 | vs Pirates | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -103 |
| 5/28 | @ Rangers | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 5/22 | @ Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +105 |
| 5/22 | @Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -169 |
| 5/15 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -110 |
| 5/9 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -145 |
| 5/2 | @ Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -119 |
| 4/26 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -104 |
| 4/20 | @Guardians | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +111 |
| 4/15 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -163 |
| 4/15 | vsRockies | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on earned runs 2.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-9 with an average actual of 2.4.
Is Spencer Arrighetti over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Spencer Arrighetti over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$413 (-29.5% ROI). The hit rate is 35.7% with an average actual of 2.4.
What is Spencer Arrighetti's earned runs average this season?
Spencer Arrighetti averages 2.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge