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Players/MLB/Houston Astros/Spencer Arrighetti/Earned Runs
Spencer Arrighetti

Spencer Arrighetti

Houston Astros•Pitcher•2026
4.64ERA87K87.3IP9.0K/917G
4.64ERA87K87.3IP9.0K/917G
56.3% BBA O 2.553.8% OUT O 15.543.8% HA O 4.5
Season
All Spencer Arrighetti props

Props — 202617 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

17g
avg 2.6
41.2%Over: 7-10
3vs O 2.5-122
@White Sox7/24
✓✗✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✗
H: 28.6%(7)A: 50%(10)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
0%
100%
50%
Apr
0-3
May
0-5
Jun
5-0
Jul
2-2
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(25%)
Total Matchups
16
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Arrighetti's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Outs RecordedO 15.5Pitcher KsO 5.5Walks AllowedO 2.5
★★★★★25%(1-3)50%(2-2)33.3%(1-2)25%(1-3)75%(3-1)
★★★★★57.1%(4-3)42.9%(3-4)50%(3-3)57.1%(4-3)50%(3-3)
★★★★★50%(1-1)100%(1-0)—0%(0-2)50%(1-1)
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
★★★★★50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Davis Martin
7/24

Current White Sox hitters are batting .240 against right-handers who rely heavily on the changeup like like Arrighetti over the the last two years.

★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
7/18

Current Orioles hitters have struck out 25.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Arrighetti over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Foster Griffin
7/8

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Arrighetti have an ERA of 5.18 against the Nationals over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
8-12 Over17g · 20 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
7/24@White SoxO 2.53W-122
7/18vsOriolesO 2.51L-105
7/8@NationalsO 3.58W+118
7/8@NationalsO 2.58W-164
7/3vsRaysO 2.51L-120
6/26@TigersO 2.58W-118
6/20vsGuardiansO 2.56W+115
6/14@RoyalsO 2.54W-113
6/8@AngelsO 2.53W+102
6/3vsPiratesO 2.54W-103
5/28@RangersO 2.51L+115
5/22@CubsO 2.50L+105
5/22@CubsO 1.50L-169
5/15vsRangersO 2.50L-110
5/9@RedsO 2.51L-145
5/2@Red SoxO 2.51L-119
4/26vsYankeesO 2.51L-104
4/20@GuardiansO 2.52L+111
4/15vsRockiesO 1.51L-163
4/15vsRockiesO 2.51L+125

Houston Astros Teammates

View all
Yordan AlvarezChristian WalkerCam SmithIsaac ParedesDaulton VarshoJose AltuveYainer DiazTaylor TrammellBrice MatthewsJake MeyersNick AllenLaMonte Wade Jr.Joey LoperfidoCarlos CorreaBraden Shewmake

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on earned runs 2.5 41.2% of the time in 2026, going 7-10 with an average actual of 2.6.
Is Spencer Arrighetti over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Spencer Arrighetti over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$370 (-21.76% ROI). The hit rate is 41.2% with an average actual of 2.6.
What is Spencer Arrighetti's earned runs average this season?
Spencer Arrighetti averages 2.6 earned runs per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.

Spencer Arrighetti 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.17 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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