Inside Edge
Houston Astros85.7% K O 3.585.7% BBA O 2.560% OUT O 15.5
Season
All Spencer Arrighetti propsProps — 20267 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
7g28.6%Over: 2-5
2vs O 4.5+105
@
Cubs5/22
Cubs5/22✗✗✓✗✗✓✗
H: 0%(3)A: 66.7%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(33%)
Total Matchups
6Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arrighetti's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | — | — | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Jameson Taillon
5/22Cubs hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Arrighetti.
★★★★★vs Jack Leiter
5/15Pitchers with similar repertoires to Arrighetti have an ERA of 2.70 against the Rangers over the last year.
★★★★★vs Chase Burns
5/9Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.29 against the Reds in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-6 Over7g · 9 props
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4 with an average actual of 3.
Is Spencer Arrighetti over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 7 games in 2026, betting $100 on Spencer Arrighetti over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$300 (-42.86% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 3.
What is Spencer Arrighetti's hits allowed average this season?
Spencer Arrighetti averages 3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 7 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.