Houston Astros78.6% K O 3.563.6% OUT O 16.553.8% BBA O 2.5
Season
All Spencer Arrighetti propsProps — 202614 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
14g42.9%Over: 6-8
2vs O 4.5-149
vs
Rays7/3
Rays7/3✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✗✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 57.1%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(31%)
Total Matchups
13Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Arrighetti's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Walks AllowedO 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(2-2) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 80%(4-1) | 100%(5-0) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | — | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
7/3Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Arrighetti.
★★★★★vs Keider Montero
6/26Tigers hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Arrighetti.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
6/20Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.10 against the Guardians in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
9-10 Over14g · 19 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -149 |
| 7/3 | vsRays | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 6/26 | @ Tigers | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -120 |
| 6/20 | vs Guardians | O 4.5 | 6 | W | +126 |
| 6/20 | vsGuardians | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -172 |
| 6/14 | @ Royals | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +118 |
| 6/14 | @Royals | O 4.5 | 8 | W | -150 |
| 6/8 | @ Angels | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -135 |
| 6/3 | vs Pirates | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 5/28 | @ Rangers | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -120 |
| 5/22 | @ Cubs | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +105 |
| 5/15 | vsRangers | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 5/9 | @ Reds | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -125 |
| 5/2 | @ Red Sox | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +117 |
| 4/26 | vs Yankees | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +120 |
| 4/20 | @Guardians | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +120 |
| 4/20 | @Guardians | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -154 |
| 4/15 | vs Rockies | O 4.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 4/15 | vsRockies | O 3.5 | 2 | L | -165 |
Houston Astros Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Spencer Arrighetti hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Spencer Arrighetti hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 46.2% of the time in 2026, going 6-7 with an average actual of 4.
Is Spencer Arrighetti over 4.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 14 games in 2026, betting $100 on Spencer Arrighetti over 4.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$241 (-17.21% ROI). The hit rate is 46.2% with an average actual of 4.
What is Spencer Arrighetti's hits allowed average this season?
Spencer Arrighetti averages 4 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 14 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.
Inside Edge