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Players/MLB/Toronto Blue Jays/Nathan Lukes
Nathan Lukes

Nathan Lukes

Toronto Blue Jays•2026
.260AVG8HR26RBI33R81H1SB93G
.260AVG8HR26RBI33R81H1SB93G
60% H O 0.551.7% 1B O 0.542.7% SO O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Nathan Lukes goes over 0.5 hits 60% of the time (54-36-7)

Props — 202697 games with closing lines

Hits

97g
avg 0.7
60%Over: 54-36-7
2vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✓P
H: 48.9%(47)A: 62%(50)

Home Runs

97g
avg 0.1
8.9%Over: 8-82-7
1vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗P
H: 4.3%(47)A: 12%(50)

RBIs

97g
avg 0.3
22.2%Over: 20-70-7
2vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✓✓✗✗✓✗✗P
H: 14.9%(47)A: 26%(50)

Runs Scored

97g
avg 0.3
31.1%Over: 28-62-7
1vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✓✗✓✗✗✗✗P
H: 19.1%(47)A: 38%(50)

Total Bases

96g
avg 1.1
32.6%Over: 29-60-7
5vs O 1.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✓✗✗✗✗✗✗P
H: 24.4%(45)A: 36.7%(49)

Stolen Bases

94g
avg 0
1.1%Over: 1-87-6
0vs O 0.5+1450
@Yankees8/21
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗
H: 0%(46)A: 2.1%(48)

Doubles

94g
avg 0.1
9.2%Over: 8-79-7
0vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/22
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P
H: 6.7%(45)A: 10.2%(49)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

94g
avg 1.3
40.2%Over: 35-52-7
5vs O 1.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✓✗✓✗✓✗✗P
H: 31.1%(45)A: 42.9%(49)

Singles

94g
avg 0.5
51.7%Over: 45-42-7
1vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/22
✓✗✗✗✓✗✓✗✓P
H: 44.4%(45)A: 51%(49)

Walks

89g
avg 0.2
17.9%Over: 15-69-5
0vs O 0.5+252
@Yankees8/21
✗✗✗✓✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 18.2%(44)A: 15.6%(45)

Strikeouts

89g
avg 0.6
42.2%Over: 35-48-6
0vs O 0.5-223
@Yankees8/21
✗✓✓✓✗✗✗✗P✓
H: 43.9%(41)A: 36.2%(47)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.1★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(2%)
Total Matchups
105
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Lukes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★50%(1-1)0%(0-2)50%(1-1)
★★★★★75%(3-1)0%(0-4)25%(1-3)
★★★★★53.8%(7-6)15.4%(2-11)23.1%(3-10)
★★★★★55.4%(31-25)8.9%(5-51)17.9%(10-46)
★★★★★52.4%(11-10)4.8%(1-20)23.8%(5-16)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
8/23

Lukes is batting just .208 (5-for-24) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Rodon over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
8/22

Lukes is batting just .167 (4-for-24) against left-handers who rely heavily on the cutter like Weathers over the last 2 seasons.

★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
8/21

Lukes is batting just .167 (2-12) against Schlittler.

Game Log

Bet
$
520-2390-201 Over3111 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/22@YankeesDoublesO 0.50L—
8/22@YankeesHitsO 1.52W—
8/22@YankeesHitsO 0.52W—
8/22@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.55W—
8/22@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.55W—
8/22@YankeesHome RunsO 1.51L+40000
8/22@YankeesHome RunsO 0.51W—
8/22@YankeesRBIsO 0.52W—
8/22@YankeesRBIsO 1.52W—
8/22@YankeesRuns ScoredO 0.51W—
8/22@YankeesSinglesO 0.51W—
8/22@YankeesTotal BasesO 3.55W—
8/22@YankeesTotal BasesO 1.55W—
8/22@YankeesTotal BasesO 4.55W—
8/22@YankeesTotal BasesO 2.55W—
8/22@YankeesHitsO 2.52L—
8/22@YankeesTotal BasesO 0.55W—
8/22@YankeesRuns ScoredO 1.51L+2200
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.50L—
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+1100
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+650
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+300
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+140
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-195
8/21@YankeesSinglesO 0.50L+100
8/21@YankeesWalksO 0.50L+252
8/21@YankeesHitsO 0.50L-155
8/21@YankeesHome RunsO 0.50L+960
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 0.50L+313
8/21@YankeesRuns ScoredO 0.50L+195
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 0.50L-200
8/21@YankeesDoublesO 0.50L+600
8/21@YankeesHitsO 2.50L+2500
8/21@YankeesHitsO 1.50L+390
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 1.50L+1000
8/21@YankeesSinglesO 1.50L+548
8/21@YankeesRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1600
8/21@YankeesStrikeoutsO 2.50L—
8/21@YankeesStrikeoutsO 1.50L+269
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 3.50L+700
8/21@YankeesHome RunsO 1.50L+12500
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 5.50L—
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 4.50L+1600
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 2.50L+470
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 1.50L+200
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 2.50L+3500
8/21@YankeesStrikeoutsO 0.50L-223
8/21@YankeesHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/21@YankeesRuns ScoredO 2.50L+4000
8/21@YankeesHitsO 3.50L+15000

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on hits 0.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on hits 0.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 54-36-7 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$589.
How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.9% of the time in 2026, going 8-82-7 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$830.
How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on rbis 0.5 22.2% of the time in 2026, going 20-70-7 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,659.
How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on runs scored 0.5 31.1% of the time in 2026, going 28-62-7 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,687.
How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on total bases 1.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 29-58-7 with an average actual of 1.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,396.
What are Nathan Lukes's best prop bets in 2026?
Nathan Lukes's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits O 0.5 at 60% (54-36); Singles O 0.5 at 51.7% (45-42); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 42.7% (35-47).

Nathan Lukes 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.97 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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