Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays46.7% HRR O 0.540% 1B O 0.538.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Nathan Lukes propsProps — 202620 games with closing lines
Strikeouts
16g35.7%Over: 5-9-2
0vs O 0.5-140
vs
Guardians4/24
Guardians4/24✗✓✗✗✗✗P✗✓✓
H: 33.3%(6)A: 30%(10)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(4%)
Total Matchups
26Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lukes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 35.7%(5-9) | 0%(0-14) | 28.6%(4-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
4/25Lukes has a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.5% in 32 AB's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cantillo over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
4/24Matchup data is limited but favors Lukes.
★★★★★vs Jose Soriano
4/22Lukes has a wOBA of just .241 in his last 40 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Soriano over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-21-4 Over16g · 31 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -140 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +338 |
| 4/22 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -115 |
| 4/22 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +485 |
| 4/21 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +140 |
| 4/21 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +960 |
| 4/19 | @ Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 4/19 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +497 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -105 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +364 |
| 4/17 | @Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -120 |
| 4/17 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +411 |
| 4/16 | @ Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | -118 |
| 4/16 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +561 |
| 4/15 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 4/15 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +358 |
| 4/14 | @Brewers | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -165 |
| 4/14 | @Brewers | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +370 |
| 4/12 | vs Twins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +116 |
| 4/12 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +790 |
| 4/11 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 4/11 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 4/10 | vsTwins | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +115 |
| 4/10 | vsTwins | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +670 |
| 4/8 | vs Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 4/8 | vsDodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +352 |
| 4/5 | @ White Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +100 |
| 4/5 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +650 |
| 4/4 | @White Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -185 |
| 3/31 | vs Rockies | O 0.5 | 2 | W | +125 |
| 3/31 | vsRockies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +710 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 35.7% of the time in 2026, going 5-9-2 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Nathan Lukes over 0.5 strikeouts a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathan Lukes over 0.5 strikeouts at best closing odds has returned -$416 (-26% ROI). The hit rate is 35.7% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Nathan Lukes's strikeouts average this season?
Nathan Lukes averages 0.4 strikeouts per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.