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Players/MLB/Toronto Blue Jays/Brandon Valenzuela
Brandon Valenzuela

Brandon Valenzuela

Toronto Blue Jays•2026
.230AVG8HR21RBI24R48H1SB68G
.230AVG8HR21RBI24R48H1SB68G
62.9% HRR O 0.562.7% SO O 0.556.7% TB O 0.5
Best Performer

Brandon Valenzuela goes over 0.5 hits+runs+rbis 62.9% of the time (39-23-23)

Props — 202686 games with closing lines

Hits+Runs+RBIs

85g
avg 0.8
62.9%Over: 39-23-23
1vs O 0.5-121
@Yankees8/21
✓✓✓P✗✓P✓✗P
H: 41.9%(43)A: 50%(42)

Home Runs

83g
avg 0
12.7%Over: 8-55-20
0vs O 0.5+860
@Yankees8/21
✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✗P
H: 14.6%(41)A: 4.8%(42)

Hits

83g
avg 0.5
55.6%Over: 35-28-20
1vs O 0.5+100
@Yankees8/21
✓✓✗P✗✓P✗✗P
H: 36.6%(41)A: 47.6%(42)

RBIs

83g
avg 0.1
20.6%Over: 13-50-20
0vs O 0.5+353
@Yankees8/21
✗✗✗P✗✗P✗✗P
H: 22%(41)A: 9.5%(42)

Runs Scored

83g
avg 0.2
28.6%Over: 18-45-20
0vs O 0.5+236
@Yankees8/21
✗✓✓P✗✗P✓✗P
H: 26.8%(41)A: 16.7%(42)

Singles

83g
avg 0.4
41.9%Over: 26-36-21
0vs O 0.5+170
@Yankees8/21
✗✓✗P✗✗P✗✗P
H: 24.4%(41)A: 38.1%(42)

Total Bases

82g
avg 0.7
56.5%Over: 35-27-20
2vs O 0.5
@Yankees8/21
✓✓✗P✗✓P✗✗P
H: 38.9%(36)A: 48.8%(41)

Doubles

82g
avg 0.1
11.3%Over: 7-55-20
1vs O 0.5+680
@Yankees8/21
✓✗✗P✗✓P✗✗P
H: 10%(40)A: 7.1%(42)

Stolen Bases

75g
avg 0
1.7%Over: 1-59-15
0vs O 0.5+2300
@Yankees8/21
✗✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗✗
H: 2.8%(36)A: 0%(39)

Strikeouts

75g
avg 1.1
62.7%Over: 37-22-16
1vs O 0.5-620
@Yankees8/21
✓✓✓P✗✗✓✓PP
H: 51.5%(33)A: 55.6%(36)

Walks

72g
avg 0.2
31.7%Over: 19-41-12
0vs O 0.5+232
@Yankees8/21
✗✗✗✗✗✓✗PP✗
H: 38.2%(34)A: 15.8%(38)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(2%)
Total Matchups
123
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Valenzuela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHome RunsO 0.5HitsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★0%(0-2)50%(1-1)0%(0-2)
★★★★★8.3%(1-11)58.3%(7-5)16.7%(2-10)
★★★★★9.4%(3-29)28.1%(9-23)15.6%(5-27)
★★★★★15.4%(4-22)53.8%(14-12)23.1%(6-20)
★★★★★0%(0-9)33.3%(3-6)0%(0-9)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Carlos Rodón
8/23

Valenzuela is batting .312 (5-for-16) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Rodon over the last two years but is batting just .182 in his last 25 PA's.

★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
8/22

Matchup data is limited but favors Valenzuela.

★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
8/21

Valenzuela has a Well-Hit Rate of just 6.9% in 29 AB's against top tier right-handers like Schlittler over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.

Game Log

Bet
$
373-1634-566 Over2573 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
8/21@YankeesDoublesO 0.51W+680
8/21@YankeesHitsO 0.51W+100
8/21@YankeesHitsO 1.51L+610
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-121
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+203
8/21@YankeesHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
8/21@YankeesHome RunsO 0.50L+860
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 0.50L+353
8/21@YankeesRuns ScoredO 1.50L+2000
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 1.50L+1100
8/21@YankeesRuns ScoredO 0.50L+236
8/21@YankeesSinglesO 0.50L+170
8/21@YankeesStolen BasesO 0.50L+2300
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 3.52L+700
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 2.52L+532
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 4.52L+1800
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 1.52W+270
8/21@YankeesDoublesO 1.51L—
8/21@YankeesHitsO 2.51L+4000
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 2.50L+3000
8/21@YankeesSinglesO 1.50L+1180
8/21@YankeesStrikeoutsO 1.51L+114
8/21@YankeesStrikeoutsO 0.51W-620
8/21@YankeesWalksO 0.50L+232
8/21@YankeesTotal BasesO 0.52W—
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+770
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+390
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.51L—
8/21@YankeesStrikeoutsO 2.51L+600
8/21@YankeesRBIsO 3.50L+10000
8/21@YankeesHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.51L—
8/21@YankeesHome RunsO 2.50L—
8/21@YankeesRuns ScoredO 2.50L—
8/19@RaysHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.52L+375
8/19@RaysHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.52L+1200
8/19@RaysHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.52L+740
8/19@RaysHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.52W+183
8/19@RaysHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.52W-133
8/19@RaysHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.52L—
8/19@RaysWalksO 0.50L+325
8/19@RaysTotal BasesO 0.51W-105
8/19@RaysHome RunsO 0.50L+940
8/19@RaysHitsO 0.51W-105
8/19@RaysRBIsO 0.50L+328
8/19@RaysRuns ScoredO 0.51W+245
8/19@RaysSinglesO 0.51W+165
8/19@RaysRBIsO 1.50L+1000
8/19@RaysStrikeoutsO 1.51L+253
8/19@RaysDoublesO 0.50L+625
8/19@RaysTotal BasesO 3.51L+750

Toronto Blue Jays Teammates

View all
Kazuma OkamotoErnie ClementVladimir Guerrero Jr.Daulton VarshoGeorge SpringerNathan LukesAlejandro KirkMyles StrawTyler HeinemanYohendrick PinangoJosh SmithDavis SchneiderLenyn SosaCharles McAdooBrett Bateman

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 0.5 62.9% of the time in 2026, going 39-23-23 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$2.
How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on home runs 0.5 12.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-55-20 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$960.
How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on hits 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on hits 0.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 35-28-20 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$96.
How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on rbis 0.5 20.6% of the time in 2026, going 13-50-20 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,910.
How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on runs scored 0.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 18-45-20 with an average actual of 0.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,357.
What are Brandon Valenzuela's best prop bets in 2026?
Brandon Valenzuela's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 62.9% (39-23); Strikeouts O 0.5 at 62.7% (37-22); Total Bases O 0.5 at 56.7% (34-26).

Brandon Valenzuela 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.86 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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