Toronto Blue Jays61.7% HRR O 0.556.3% H O 0.544.7% 1B O 0.5
Props — 202665 games with closing lines
Home Runs
62g14.6%Over: 7-41-14
0vs O 0.5+800
@
Mariners7/4
Mariners7/4✗✗✗✗✗✗P✗P✗
H: 15.6%(32)A: 6.7%(30)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(4%)
Total Matchups
83Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valenzuela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | Home RunsO 0.5 | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 10%(1-9) | 60%(6-4) | 20%(2-8) |
| ★★★★★ | 7.7%(2-24) | 30.8%(8-18) | 15.4%(4-22) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(4-12) | 56.3%(9-7) | 31.3%(5-11) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-6) | 33.3%(2-4) | 0%(0-6) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Trevor McDonald
7/7Valenzuela does not have a well hit in his last 16 AB's.
★★★★★vs Landen Roupp
7/6Valenzuela does not have a well hit in his last 16 AB's.
★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
7/5Valenzuela is batting just .176 (3-for-17) against right-handers who rely heavily on the slider like Hancock over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-99-28 Over62g · 134 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/4 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/4 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 7/4 | @Mariners | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/29 | vs Mets | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +594 |
| 6/29 | vsMets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/29 | vsMets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/26 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 6/26 | vsRangers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 6/26 | vsRangers | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/23 | vs Astros | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 6/23 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 6/23 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/20 | @ Cubs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +9100 |
| 6/20 | @Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +680 |
| 6/20 | @Cubs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/18 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/18 | @Red Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 6/18 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 6/14 | vs Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 6/14 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +680 |
| 6/13 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 6/13 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8800 |
| 6/12 | vsYankees | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +475 |
| 6/12 | vsYankees | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3500 |
| 6/10 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7400 |
| 6/10 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +630 |
| 6/9 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/9 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +740 |
| 6/8 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5500 |
| 6/8 | vsPhillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 6/7 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 6/7 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +680 |
| 6/6 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +790 |
| 6/6 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 6/5 | vsOrioles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +720 |
| 6/5 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 6/4 | @ Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +875 |
| 6/4 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5500 |
| 6/3 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +12500 |
| 6/3 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +920 |
| 6/2 | @Braves | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 6/2 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/31 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/31 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1080 |
| 5/30 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +600 |
| 5/30 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +4500 |
| 5/29 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/29 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/28 | @Orioles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +960 |
| 5/28 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on home runs 0.5 14.6% of the time in 2026, going 7-41-14 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Brandon Valenzuela over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 62 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brandon Valenzuela over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$1,680 (+27.1% ROI). The hit rate is 14.6% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Brandon Valenzuela's home runs average this season?
Brandon Valenzuela averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 62 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.
Inside Edge