Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays60% HRR O 0.553.8% H O 0.552% 1B O 0.5
Props — 202636 games with closing lines
Home Runs
34g15.4%Over: 4-22-8
0vs O 0.5+900
@
Yankees5/21
Yankees5/21✗✗P✗✗P✗✗✗✗
H: 21.4%(14)A: 5%(20)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(5%)
Total Matchups
41Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valenzuela's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | Home RunsO 0.5 | HitsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 6.7%(1-14) | 26.7%(4-11) | 6.7%(1-14) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(3-6) | 66.7%(6-3) | 33.3%(3-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Bubba Chandler
5/22Matchup data is limited but favors Valenzuela.
★★★★★vs Carlos Rodon
5/21Valenzuela batted just .233 (7-for-30) when hitting on the road the last 30 days.
★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
5/20Valenzuela is batting just .143 (3-for-21) against hard-throwing right-handed pitchers like Schlittler over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-52-16 Over34g · 72 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/21 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/21 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/20 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +850 |
| 5/20 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/19 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/19 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +720 |
| 5/18 | @Yankees | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/18 | @Yankees | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +760 |
| 5/17 | @ Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/17 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +820 |
| 5/16 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +17500 |
| 5/16 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1020 |
| 5/15 | @Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/15 | @Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 5/13 | vs Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 5/13 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +5000 |
| 5/12 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +710 |
| 5/12 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/11 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 5/11 | vsRays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +980 |
| 5/10 | vs Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 5/10 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +970 |
| 5/9 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +12500 |
| 5/9 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +890 |
| 5/8 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/8 | vsAngels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +800 |
| 5/6 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +750 |
| 5/6 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +5500 |
| 5/5 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/5 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/4 | @Rays | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 5/4 | @Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +22500 |
| 5/2 | @ Twins | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +900 |
| 5/2 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +8300 |
| 4/30 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/30 | @Twins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +875 |
| 4/29 | vs Red Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +15000 |
| 4/29 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +960 |
| 4/26 | vs Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +920 |
| 4/26 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +10000 |
| 4/24 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +760 |
| 4/21 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +17500 |
| 4/21 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1060 |
| 4/19 | @ Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 4/19 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1100 |
| 4/18 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +20000 |
| 4/17 | @Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 4/16 | @ Brewers | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Brandon Valenzuela hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Brandon Valenzuela hits the over on home runs 0.5 15.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-22-8 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Brandon Valenzuela over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 34 games in 2026, betting $100 on Brandon Valenzuela over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned +$1,260 (+37.06% ROI). The hit rate is 15.4% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Brandon Valenzuela's home runs average this season?
Brandon Valenzuela averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 34 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.