Inside Edge
Toronto Blue Jays46.7% HRR O 0.540% 1B O 0.538.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Nathan Lukes propsProps — 202620 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
20g22.2%Over: 4-14-2
0vs O 0.5+120
vs
Guardians4/24
Guardians4/24✗✓✗✗✓✓✗P✗✗
H: 11.1%(9)A: 27.3%(11)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(4%)
Total Matchups
26Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Lukes's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 0%(0-4) | 25%(1-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 35.7%(5-9) | 0%(0-14) | 28.6%(4-10) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
4/25Lukes has a Well-Hit Rate of just 12.5% in 32 AB's against soft-throwing left-handed pitchers like Cantillo over the last 2 seasons; League Avg: 20.1%.
★★★★★vs Gavin Williams
4/24Matchup data is limited but favors Lukes.
★★★★★vs Jose Soriano
4/22Lukes has a wOBA of just .241 in his last 40 PA's against right-handers who rely heavily on both the slider and curve like Soriano over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-40-5 Over20g · 49 props
Toronto Blue Jays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Nathan Lukes hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Nathan Lukes hits the over on runs scored 0.5 22.2% of the time in 2026, going 4-14-2 with an average actual of 0.2.
Is Nathan Lukes over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 20 games in 2026, betting $100 on Nathan Lukes over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned -$940 (-47% ROI). The hit rate is 22.2% with an average actual of 0.2.
What is Nathan Lukes's runs scored average this season?
Nathan Lukes averages 0.2 runs scored per game in 2026 across 20 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.