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Players/MLB/Tampa Bay Rays/Ryan Pepiot
Ryan Pepiot

Ryan Pepiot

Tampa Bay Rays•Pitcher•2025
3.94ERA167K164.4IP9.1K/931G
3.94ERA167K164.4IP9.1K/931G
77.8% OUT O 16.569.2% BBA O 1.557.1% K O 5.5
Season
Best Performer

Ryan Pepiot goes over 16.5 outs recorded 77.8% of the time (7-2)

Props — 202531 games with closing lines

Earned Runs

31g
avg 2.4
51.6%Over: 16-15
3vs O 1.5-156
@Orioles9/23
✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✓✗
H: 41.7%(12)A: 50%(14)

Hits Allowed

31g
avg 4.3
48.4%Over: 15-16
3vs O 3.5-119
@Orioles9/23
✗✗✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✗
H: 41.7%(12)A: 70%(10)

Pitcher Ks

31g
avg 5.3
54.8%Over: 17-14
3vs O 4.5-114
@Orioles9/23
✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 60%(10)A: 54.5%(11)

Walks Allowed

29g
avg 2
62.1%Over: 18-11
1vs O 1.5-132
@Orioles9/23
✗✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗
H: 71.4%(14)A: 66.7%(12)

Outs Recorded

28g
avg 16.7
67.9%Over: 19-9
5vs O 14.5-160
vsBlue Jays9/16
✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(3)A: 83.3%(6)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(32%)
Total Matchups
31
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Pepiot's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsEarned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 4.5Pitcher KsO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5Outs RecordedO 16.5
★★★★★28.6%(2-5)28.6%(2-5)62.5%(5-3)70%(7-3)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)100%(4-0)100%(1-0)
★★★★★33.3%(2-4)60%(3-2)75%(3-1)60%(3-2)100%(2-0)
★★★★★50%(2-2)66.7%(2-1)100%(2-0)60%(3-2)50%(1-1)
★★★★★80%(4-1)100%(3-0)20%(1-4)50%(1-1)100%(2-0)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★
9/23

Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Pepiot.

★★★★★
9/16

Blue Jays hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Pepiot.

★★★★★
9/4

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Pepiot have an ERA of 3.91 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.

Game Log

Bet
$
92-75 Over167 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
9/23@OriolesPitcher KsO 4.53L-114
9/23@OriolesEarned RunsO 1.53W-156
9/23@OriolesHits AllowedO 3.53L-119
9/23@OriolesWalks AllowedO 1.51L-132
9/16vsBlue JaysPitcher KsO 4.53L+132
9/16vsBlue JaysPitcher KsO 3.53L-155
9/16vsBlue JaysEarned RunsO 2.54W+107
9/16vsBlue JaysHits AllowedO 4.54L+105
9/16vsBlue JaysWalks AllowedO 1.53W+118
9/16vsBlue JaysOuts RecordedO 14.55L-160
9/4vsGuardiansPitcher KsO 5.56W-105
9/4vsGuardiansEarned RunsO 1.50L-165
9/4vsGuardiansHits AllowedO 3.50L-155
9/4vsGuardiansWalks AllowedO 1.52W-145
9/4vsGuardiansEarned RunsO 2.50L+100
9/4vsGuardiansHits AllowedO 4.50L-130
9/4vsGuardiansOuts RecordedO 15.515L+134
8/30@NationalsPitcher KsO 5.56W+105
8/30@NationalsEarned RunsO 2.50L+115
8/30@NationalsHits AllowedO 4.51L-120
8/30@NationalsWalks AllowedO 1.53W-150
8/30@NationalsOuts RecordedO 16.515L-130
8/24vsCardinalsPitcher KsO 5.53L-110
8/24vsCardinalsEarned RunsO 2.50L+100
8/24vsCardinalsHits AllowedO 4.51L-155
8/17@GiantsPitcher KsO 5.58W+118
8/17@GiantsEarned RunsO 2.54W+110
8/17@GiantsHits AllowedO 4.56W-140
8/17@GiantsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-160
8/17@GiantsOuts RecordedO 16.517W-125
8/11@AthleticsPitcher KsO 5.54L+102
8/11@AthleticsEarned RunsO 2.54W-140
8/11@AthleticsHits AllowedO 5.55L+115
8/11@AthleticsWalks AllowedO 2.52L+130
8/11@AthleticsHits AllowedO 4.55W-165
8/11@AthleticsOuts RecordedO 16.519W-110
8/5@AngelsPitcher KsO 6.56L+124
8/5@AngelsPitcher KsO 5.56W-160
8/5@AngelsEarned RunsO 2.52L-110
8/5@AngelsHits AllowedO 4.55W-130
8/5@AngelsWalks AllowedO 1.52W-145
8/5@AngelsOuts RecordedO 16.517W+100
7/31@YankeesPitcher KsO 5.54L-148
7/31@YankeesEarned RunsO 2.57W+100
7/31@YankeesHits AllowedO 4.56W-120
7/26@RedsPitcher KsO 5.56W-118
7/26@RedsEarned RunsO 2.50L-115
7/26@RedsHits AllowedO 5.52L+120
7/26@RedsWalks AllowedO 1.54W-135
7/26@RedsOuts RecordedO 17.518W-105

Tampa Bay Rays Teammates

View all
Junior CamineroBrandon LoweJosh LoweJake MangumChandler SimpsonJonathan ArandaTaylor WallsHa-Seong KimDanny JansenChristopher MorelCurtis MeadNick FortesKameron MisnerMatt ThaissBen Rortvedt

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.2% of the time in 2025, going 12-14 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$221.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 54.5% of the time in 2025, going 12-10 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$9.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 12-9 with an average actual of 5.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$181.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 69.2% of the time in 2025, going 18-8 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$489.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 77.8% of the time in 2025, going 7-2 with an average actual of 17.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$416.
What are Ryan Pepiot's best prop bets in 2025?
Ryan Pepiot's highest-hitting props in 2025: Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 77.8% (7-2); Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 69.2% (18-8); Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 57.1% (12-9).

Ryan Pepiot 2025 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.31 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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