Tampa Bay Rays69.2% BBA O 1.568.8% OUT O 17.557.1% K O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Ryan Pepiot goes over 16.5 outs recorded 77.8% of the time (7-2)
Props — 202531 games with closing lines
avg 16.7
67.9%Over: 19-9
5vs O 14.5-160
vs
Blue Jays9/16
Blue Jays9/16✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(9)A: 71.4%(7)
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(32%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pepiot's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 28.6%(2-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 70%(7-3) | 75%(6-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(4-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 60%(3-2) | 75%(3-1) | 60%(3-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 100%(3-0) | 20%(1-4) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/23Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/16Blue Jays hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/4Pitchers with similar repertoires to Pepiot have an ERA of 3.91 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
Game Log
Bet
$
92-75 Over167 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23 | @ Orioles | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -114 |
| 9/23 | @Orioles | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -156 |
| 9/23 | @Orioles | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -119 |
| 9/23 | @Orioles | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -132 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +132 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +107 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +105 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +118 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 5 | L | -160 |
| 9/4 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 9/4 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -165 |
| 9/4 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 3.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 9/4 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 9/4 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 9/4 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 9/4 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +134 |
| 8/30 | @ Nationals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 8/30 | @Nationals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +115 |
| 8/30 | @Nationals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 8/30 | @Nationals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 8/30 | @Nationals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -130 |
| 8/24 | vs Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 8/24 | vsCardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +100 |
| 8/24 | vsCardinals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 1 | L | -155 |
| 8/17 | @ Giants | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +118 |
| 8/17 | @Giants | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +110 |
| 8/17 | @Giants | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -140 |
| 8/17 | @Giants | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 8/17 | @Giants | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -125 |
| 8/11 | @ Athletics | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +102 |
| 8/11 | @Athletics | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -140 |
| 8/11 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +115 |
| 8/11 | @Athletics | Walks Allowed | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +130 |
| 8/11 | @Athletics | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -165 |
| 8/11 | @Athletics | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 19 | W | -110 |
| 8/5 | @ Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +124 |
| 8/5 | @Angels | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -160 |
| 8/5 | @Angels | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -110 |
| 8/5 | @Angels | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -130 |
| 8/5 | @Angels | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 8/5 | @Angels | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 17 | W | +100 |
| 7/31 | @ Yankees | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -148 |
| 7/31 | @Yankees | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +100 |
| 7/31 | @Yankees | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 7/26 | @ Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -118 |
| 7/26 | @Reds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -115 |
| 7/26 | @Reds | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +120 |
| 7/26 | @Reds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 7/26 | @Reds | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -105 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on earned runs 2.5 46.2% of the time in 2025, going 12-14 with an average actual of 2.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$221.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 54.5% of the time in 2025, going 12-10 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$9.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 12-9 with an average actual of 5.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$181.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 69.2% of the time in 2025, going 18-8 with an average actual of 2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$489.
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 68.8% of the time in 2025, going 11-5 with an average actual of 17.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$421.
What are Ryan Pepiot's best prop bets in 2025?
Ryan Pepiot's highest-hitting props in 2025: Walks Allowed O 1.5 at 69.2% (18-8); Outs Recorded O 17.5 at 68.8% (11-5); Pitcher Ks O 5.5 at 57.1% (12-9).
Inside Edge