Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays69.2% BBA O 1.557.1% K O 5.554.5% HA O 4.5
Season
All Ryan Pepiot propsProps — 202531 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
29g62.1%Over: 18-11
1vs O 1.5-132
@
Orioles9/23
Orioles9/23✗✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✗✗
H: 71.4%(14)A: 66.7%(12)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(32%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pepiot's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 28.6%(2-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 70%(7-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(4-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 60%(3-2) | 75%(3-1) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 100%(3-0) | 20%(1-4) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/23Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/16Blue Jays hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/4Pitchers with similar repertoires to Pepiot have an ERA of 3.91 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
Game Log
Bet
$
18-11 Over29g · 29 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -132 |
| 9/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +118 |
| 9/4 | vs Guardians | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 8/30 | @ Nationals | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 8/17 | @ Giants | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -160 |
| 8/11 | @ Athletics | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +130 |
| 8/5 | @ Angels | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 7/26 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -135 |
| 7/20 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -140 |
| 7/13 | @ Red Sox | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -125 |
| 7/8 | @ Tigers | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -150 |
| 7/2 | vsAthletics | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -125 |
| 6/27 | @Orioles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -135 |
| 6/21 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -140 |
| 6/16 | vsOrioles | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -165 |
| 6/10 | @Red Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -150 |
| 6/5 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -115 |
| 5/30 | @ Astros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -130 |
| 5/25 | vsBlue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -110 |
| 5/14 | @Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -175 |
| 5/8 | vs Phillies | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -195 |
| 5/2 | @ Yankees | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +125 |
| 4/26 | @ Padres | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 4/20 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +135 |
| 4/15 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -145 |
| 4/9 | vsAngels | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -170 |
| 4/2 | vs Pirates | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -125 |
| 3/28 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +100 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 69.2% of the time in 2025, going 18-8 with an average actual of 2.
Is Ryan Pepiot over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 29 games in 2025, betting $100 on Ryan Pepiot over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned +$189 (+6.52% ROI). The hit rate is 69.2% with an average actual of 2.
What is Ryan Pepiot's walks allowed average this season?
Ryan Pepiot averages 2 walks allowed per game in 2025 across 29 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.