Inside Edge
Tampa Bay Rays69.2% BBA O 1.557.1% K O 5.554.5% HA O 4.5
Season
All Ryan Pepiot propsProps — 202531 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
31g54.8%Over: 17-14
3vs O 4.5-114
@
Orioles9/23
Orioles9/23✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✗✓
H: 60%(10)A: 54.5%(11)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(32%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pepiot's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 28.6%(2-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 70%(7-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(4-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 60%(3-2) | 75%(3-1) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 100%(3-0) | 20%(1-4) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/23Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/16Blue Jays hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/4Pitchers with similar repertoires to Pepiot have an ERA of 3.91 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
Game Log
Bet
$
20-18 Over31g · 38 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/23 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -114 |
| 9/16 | vs Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +132 |
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -155 |
| 9/4 | vs Guardians | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -105 |
| 8/30 | @ Nationals | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 8/24 | vs Cardinals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -110 |
| 8/17 | @ Giants | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +118 |
| 8/11 | @ Athletics | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +102 |
| 8/5 | @ Angels | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +124 |
| 8/5 | @Angels | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -160 |
| 7/31 | @ Yankees | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -148 |
| 7/26 | @ Reds | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -118 |
| 7/20 | vsOrioles | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +118 |
| 7/20 | vsOrioles | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -160 |
| 7/13 | @ Red Sox | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +100 |
| 7/8 | @ Tigers | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -115 |
| 7/2 | vsAthletics | O 6.5 | 9 | W | +110 |
| 7/2 | vsAthletics | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -155 |
| 6/27 | @Orioles | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +110 |
| 6/21 | vsTigers | O 5.5 | 7 | W | -130 |
| 6/16 | vsOrioles | O 5.5 | 11 | W | -116 |
| 6/10 | @Red Sox | O 5.5 | 9 | W | +118 |
| 6/10 | @Red Sox | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -154 |
| 6/5 | vs Rangers | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +120 |
| 5/30 | @ Astros | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +114 |
| 5/25 | vsBlue Jays | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +104 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +135 |
| 5/14 | @Blue Jays | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +114 |
| 5/8 | vs Phillies | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -166 |
| 5/8 | vsPhillies | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +140 |
| 5/2 | @Yankees | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +108 |
| 4/26 | @ Padres | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 4/20 | vsYankees | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 4/15 | vsRed Sox | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +116 |
| 4/9 | vsAngels | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -160 |
| 4/9 | vsAngels | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +110 |
| 4/2 | vs Pirates | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +110 |
| 3/28 | vs Rockies | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +100 |
Tampa Bay Rays Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 57.1% of the time in 2025, going 12-9 with an average actual of 5.6.
Is Ryan Pepiot over 5.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 31 games in 2025, betting $100 on Ryan Pepiot over 5.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$235 (+7.58% ROI). The hit rate is 57.1% with an average actual of 5.6.
What is Ryan Pepiot's pitcher ks average this season?
Ryan Pepiot averages 5.6 pitcher ks per game in 2025 across 31 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.