Tampa Bay Rays69.2% BBA O 1.568.8% OUT O 17.557.1% K O 5.5
Season
All Ryan Pepiot propsProps — 202531 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
28g67.9%Over: 19-9
5vs O 14.5-160
vs
Blue Jays9/16
Blue Jays9/16✗✗✗✓✓✓✓✓✓✓
H: 66.7%(9)A: 71.4%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(32%)
Total Matchups
31Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Pepiot's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 28.6%(2-5) | 28.6%(2-5) | 62.5%(5-3) | 70%(7-3) | 75%(6-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(4-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(2-4) | 60%(3-2) | 75%(3-1) | 60%(3-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 100%(3-0) | 20%(1-4) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★
9/23Orioles hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/16Blue Jays hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Pepiot.
★★★★★
9/4Pitchers with similar repertoires to Pepiot have an ERA of 3.91 against the Guardians over the last year, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
Game Log
Bet
$
22-10 Over28g · 32 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/16 | vsBlue Jays | O 14.5 | 5 | L | -160 |
| 9/4 | vs Guardians | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +134 |
| 8/30 | @ Nationals | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -130 |
| 8/17 | @ Giants | O 16.5 | 17 | W | -125 |
| 8/11 | @ Athletics | O 16.5 | 19 | W | -110 |
| 8/5 | @ Angels | O 16.5 | 17 | W | +100 |
| 7/26 | @ Reds | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -105 |
| 7/26 | @Reds | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -125 |
| 7/20 | vs Orioles | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -114 |
| 7/13 | @ Red Sox | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -130 |
| 7/13 | @Red Sox | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -125 |
| 7/8 | @ Tigers | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -108 |
| 7/2 | vsAthletics | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -110 |
| 6/27 | @Orioles | O 17.5 | 5 | L | -138 |
| 6/21 | vsTigers | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -105 |
| 6/16 | vsOrioles | O 17.5 | 24 | W | -114 |
| 6/10 | @Red Sox | O 17.5 | 17 | L | +105 |
| 6/5 | vs Rangers | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -160 |
| 5/30 | @ Astros | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -114 |
| 5/25 | vsBlue Jays | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -118 |
| 5/19 | vsAstros | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -125 |
| 5/14 | @Blue Jays | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -135 |
| 5/8 | vs Phillies | O 16.5 | 18 | W | +102 |
| 5/8 | vsPhillies | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -125 |
| 5/2 | @ Yankees | O 15.5 | 13 | L | -110 |
| 4/26 | @ Padres | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -128 |
| 4/20 | vsYankees | O 15.5 | 18 | W | -115 |
| 4/15 | vsRed Sox | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -120 |
| 4/9 | vsAngels | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 4/9 | vsAngels | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -115 |
| 4/2 | vs Pirates | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -110 |
| 3/28 | vs Rockies | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +125 |
Frequently Asked Questions
How often does Ryan Pepiot hit the over on outs recorded 17.5?
Ryan Pepiot hits the over on outs recorded 17.5 68.8% of the time in 2025, going 11-5 with an average actual of 17.3.
Is Ryan Pepiot over 17.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 28 games in 2025, betting $100 on Ryan Pepiot over 17.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$770 (+27.5% ROI). The hit rate is 68.8% with an average actual of 17.3.
What is Ryan Pepiot's outs recorded average this season?
Ryan Pepiot averages 17.3 outs recorded per game in 2025 across 28 games. The primary line is set at 17.5.
Inside Edge