Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates66.7% OUT O 16.557.1% HA O 4.540% ER O 2.5
Season
Best Performer
Mitch Keller goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(30%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Keller's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
5/19Cardinals hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Keller.
★★★★★vs Jose Quintana
5/13Current Rockies hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Keller over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
5/7Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.28 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
49-68 Over117 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/19 | @ Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +108 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -550 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +930 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -2600 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +230 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -210 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +490 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1800 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -185 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -116 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -155 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 5/19 | @Cardinals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -126 |
| 5/13 | vs Rockies | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -165 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -131 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -800 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +350 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +700 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +168 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -295 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 6 | W | +125 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +108 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1340 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -150 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -125 |
| 5/13 | vsRockies | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -168 |
| 5/7 | @ Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +265 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -500 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +118 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -190 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +580 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +105 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 18 | W | +106 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -123 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +1000 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -2200 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 18 | W | -144 |
| 5/7 | @Diamondbacks | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -156 |
| 5/1 | vs Reds | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 21 | W | -150 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -144 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -900 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -325 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +162 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +320 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +680 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1160 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -125 |
| 5/1 | vsReds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -102 |
| 4/25 | @ Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 4/25 | @Brewers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -700 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 30% of the time in 2026, going 3-7 with an average actual of 4.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$390.
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on earned runs 2.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 4-6 with an average actual of 2.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$172.
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$36.
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on outs recorded 16.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on outs recorded 16.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 4-2 with an average actual of 17.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$82.
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$259.
What are Mitch Keller's best prop bets in 2026?
Mitch Keller's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 16.5 at 66.7% (4-2); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 57.1% (4-3); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 40% (4-6).