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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Mitch Keller/Outs Recorded
Mitch Keller

Mitch Keller

Pittsburgh Pirates•Pitcher•2026
5.62ERA89K113.8IP7.0K/922G
5.62ERA89K113.8IP7.0K/922G
55.6% OUT O 15.555% ER O 2.552.6% HA O 5.5
Season
All Mitch Keller props

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Outs Recorded

22g
avg 15.8
54.5%Over: 12-10
6vs O 15.5+112
@Reds8/2
✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✓✗✗
H: 75%(4)A: 40%(5)
SeasonalityAll lines
100%
50%
67%
50%
0%
Mar
1-0
Apr
1-1
Jun
2-1
Jul
1-1
Aug
0-1
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(18%)
Total Matchups
22
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Keller's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Outs RecordedO 15.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★0%(0-4)75%(3-1)50%(2-2)—50%(2-2)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★28.6%(2-5)80%(4-1)42.9%(3-4)66.7%(2-1)57.1%(4-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Chase Burns
8/2

Current Reds hitters have struck out 23.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Keller over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Reds.

★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
7/27

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Keller have an ERA of 4.37 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.

★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
7/22

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Keller have an ERA of 5.06 against the Yankees over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
20-17 Over22g · 37 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/2@RedsO 15.56L+112
8/2@RedsO 14.56L-161
8/2@RedsO 11.56L—
8/2@RedsO 20.56L—
7/27vsDiamondbacksO 15.516W+130
7/27vsDiamondbacksO 14.516W—
7/27vsDiamondbacksO 20.516L—
7/27vsDiamondbacksO 11.516W—
7/22@YankeesO 15.515L+122
7/22@YankeesO 14.515W-210
7/9vsBravesO 17.59L—
7/9vsBravesO 16.59L-106
7/3@NationalsO 16.518W-110
6/28vsRedsO 16.518W—
6/28vsRedsO 17.518W-118
6/23vsMarinersO 15.518W-105
6/16@AthleticsO 15.516W+115
6/16@AthleticsO 14.516W-185
6/11vsDodgersO 15.512L+100
6/5@BravesO 16.514L-118
5/30vsTwinsO 17.512L-153
5/24@Blue JaysO 17.518W-114
5/19@CardinalsO 17.517L-155
5/13vsRockiesO 17.517L-165
5/7@DiamondbacksO 17.518W+106
5/7@DiamondbacksO 16.518W-144
5/1vsRedsO 16.521W-150
4/25@BrewersO 15.515L-125
4/25@BrewersO 16.515L+101
4/19vsRaysO 16.521W-141
4/19vsRaysO 17.521W-116
4/14vsNationalsO 17.512L+110
4/14vsNationalsO 16.512L-130
4/8vsPadresO 16.518W-134
4/8vsPadresO 17.518W-110
4/3vsOriolesO 15.518W-117
3/28@MetsO 15.518W+127

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzEsmerlyn ValdezKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler Callihan

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 55.6% of the time in 2026, going 5-4 with an average actual of 14.9.
Is Mitch Keller over 15.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 22 games in 2026, betting $100 on Mitch Keller over 15.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned +$13 (+0.59% ROI). The hit rate is 55.6% with an average actual of 14.9.
What is Mitch Keller's outs recorded average this season?
Mitch Keller averages 14.9 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 22 games. The primary line is set at 15.5.

Mitch Keller 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.22 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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