Mitch Keller

Pittsburgh PiratesPitcher•2026

Reg5.38 ERA / 74 K / 98.7 IP / 6.7 K/9 / 18G

66.7% OUT O 16.556.3% ER O 2.553.3% HA O 5.5

Season

All Mitch Keller props

Props — 202618 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

18g

avg 4.1

33.3%Over: 6-12

1vs O 4.5+162

Nationals7/3

✗✗✗✓✗✗✓✓✗✗

H: 30%(10)A: 37.5%(8)

SeasonalityAll lines

40%

50%

20%

Mar
0-1

Apr
2-3

May
3-3

Jun
1-4

Jul
0-1

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

2.9★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(22%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Keller's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 4.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 5.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	25%(1-3)	66.7%(2-1)	100%(2-0)	33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★	0%(0-4)	75%(3-1)	50%(2-2)	50%(1-1)	50%(2-2)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-1)
★★★★★	50%(2-2)	50%(2-2)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	20%(1-4)	100%(3-0)	60%(3-2)	66.7%(2-1)	40%(2-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Foster Griffin

7/3

Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Keller.

★★★★★vs Brady Singer

6/28

Several hitters in the Reds lineup have a 5-star matchup against Keller today.

★★★★★vs George Kirby

6/23

Mariners hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Keller.

Game Log

Bet

50-82 Over18g · 132 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
7/3	@Nationals	O 3.5	1	L	-147
7/3	@Nationals	O 9.5	1	L	—
7/3	@Nationals	O 6.5	1	L	+800
7/3	@Nationals	O 7.5	1	L	+1740
7/3	@Nationals	O 1.5	1	L	-1420
7/3	@Nationals	O 2.5	1	L	-385
7/3	@Nationals	O 8.5	1	L	—
7/3	@Nationals	O 4.5	1	L	+162
7/3	@Nationals	O 5.5	1	L	+359
6/28	vsReds	O 5.5	4	L	+134
6/28	vsReds	O 3.5	4	W	-325
6/28	vsReds	O 7.5	4	L	+610
6/28	vsReds	O 2.5	4	W	-900
6/28	vsReds	O 6.5	4	L	+283
6/28	vsReds	O 4.5	4	L	-155
6/28	vsReds	O 8.5	4	L	+1300
6/28	vsReds	O 1.5	4	W	—
6/28	vsReds	O 9.5	4	L	—
6/28	vsReds	O 10.5	4	L	—
6/23	vsMariners	O 4.5	4	L	-105
6/23	vsMariners	O 8.5	4	L	—
6/23	vsMariners	O 6.5	4	L	+469
6/23	vsMariners	O 5.5	4	L	+212
6/23	vsMariners	O 7.5	4	L	+1020
6/23	vsMariners	O 1.5	4	W	-3000
6/23	vsMariners	O 3.5	4	W	-225
6/23	vsMariners	O 2.5	4	W	-600
6/23	vsMariners	O 9.5	4	L	—
6/16	@Athletics	O 4.5	7	W	+131
6/16	@Athletics	O 5.5	7	W	+292
6/16	@Athletics	O 2.5	7	W	-447
6/16	@Athletics	O 6.5	7	W	+630
6/16	@Athletics	O 3.5	7	W	-175
6/16	@Athletics	O 1.5	7	W	-1660
6/16	@Athletics	O 7.5	7	L	+1380
6/16	@Athletics	O 8.5	7	L	+1680
6/11	vsDodgers	O 2.5	3	W	-450
6/11	vsDodgers	O 6.5	3	L	+650
6/11	vsDodgers	O 3.5	3	L	-165
6/11	vsDodgers	O 5.5	3	L	+295
6/11	vsDodgers	O 4.5	3	L	+132
6/11	vsDodgers	O 7.5	3	L	+1440
6/11	vsDodgers	O 1.5	3	W	-1720
6/5	@Braves	O 4.5	4	L	+130
6/5	@Braves	O 2.5	4	W	-400
6/5	@Braves	O 6.5	4	L	+550
6/5	@Braves	O 3.5	4	W	-165
6/5	@Braves	O 5.5	4	L	+270
6/5	@Braves	O 8.5	4	L	+1680
6/5	@Braves	O 7.5	4	L	+1100

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all

Bryan Reynolds Brandon Lowe Nick Gonzales Ryan O'Hearn Marcell Ozuna Oneil Cruz Henry Davis Spencer Horwitz Konnor Griffin Jake Mangum Jared Triolo Joey Bart Tyler Callihan Esmerlyn Valdez Nick Yorke

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on pitcher ks 4.5?

Mitch Keller hits the over on pitcher ks 4.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 6-12 with an average actual of 4.1.

Is Mitch Keller over 4.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Mitch Keller over 4.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned -$523 (-29.06% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 4.1.

What is Mitch Keller's pitcher ks average this season?

Mitch Keller averages 4.1 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 4.5.