Inside Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates66.7% OUT O 16.557.1% HA O 4.540% ER O 2.5
Season
All Mitch Keller propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
9g33.3%Over: 3-6
1vs O 1.5-126
@
Cardinals5/19
Cardinals5/19✗✗✓✗✗✓✗✓✗
H: 40%(5)A: 33.3%(3)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.8★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(30%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Keller's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Matthew Liberatore
5/19Cardinals hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Keller.
★★★★★vs Jose Quintana
5/13Current Rockies hitters have struck out 25.3% of the time against pitchers similar to Keller over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Zac Gallen
5/7Right-handed starters have an ERA of 3.28 against the Diamondbacks in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-7 Over9g · 10 props
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 37.5% of the time in 2026, going 3-5 with an average actual of 1.6.
Is Mitch Keller over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Mitch Keller over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned -$359 (-39.89% ROI). The hit rate is 37.5% with an average actual of 1.6.
What is Mitch Keller's walks allowed average this season?
Mitch Keller averages 1.6 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.