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Players/MLB/Pittsburgh Pirates/Mitch Keller/Walks Allowed
Mitch Keller

Mitch Keller

Pittsburgh Pirates•Pitcher•2026
5.62ERA89K113.8IP7.0K/922G
5.62ERA89K113.8IP7.0K/922G
55.6% OUT O 15.555% ER O 2.552.6% HA O 5.5
Season
All Mitch Keller props

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Walks Allowed

20g
avg 2
50%Over: 10-10
4vs O 1.5-149
@Reds8/2
✓✓✓✗✗✗✓✓✓✗
H: 40%(10)A: 66.7%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
50%
40%
60%
67%
100%
Mar
0-1
Apr
2-2
May
2-3
Jun
3-2
Jul
2-1
Aug
1-0
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
2.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(18%)
Total Matchups
22
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Keller's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 4.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Outs RecordedO 15.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★50%(2-2)25%(1-3)66.7%(2-1)100%(1-0)33.3%(1-2)
★★★★★0%(0-4)75%(3-1)50%(2-2)—50%(2-2)
★★★★★33.3%(1-2)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)
★★★★★50%(2-2)50%(2-2)50%(1-1)33.3%(1-2)66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★28.6%(2-5)80%(4-1)42.9%(3-4)66.7%(2-1)57.1%(4-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Chase Burns
8/2

Current Reds hitters have struck out 23.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Keller over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Reds.

★★★★★vs Merrill Kelly
7/27

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Keller have an ERA of 4.37 against the Diamondbacks over the last year.

★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
7/22

Pitchers with similar repertoires to Keller have an ERA of 5.06 against the Yankees over the last year.

Game Log

Bet
$
10-11 Over20g · 21 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/2@RedsO 1.54W-149
7/22@YankeesO 1.52W-139
7/9vsBravesO 1.52W+103
7/3@NationalsO 1.50L-122
6/28vsRedsO 1.51L-138
6/23vsMarinersO 1.51L-160
6/16@AthleticsO 1.54W-173
6/11vsDodgersO 1.54W-170
6/5@BravesO 1.53W-118
5/30vsTwinsO 1.51L-116
5/24@Blue JaysO 1.53W-152
5/19@CardinalsO 1.51L-126
5/13vsRockiesO 1.51L-125
5/7@DiamondbacksO 1.52W-156
4/25@BrewersO 2.52L+135
4/19vsRaysO 1.50L-158
4/14vsNationalsO 1.54W-104
4/8vsPadresO 1.51L-144
4/3vsOriolesO 1.54W-124
3/28@MetsO 1.50L-171
3/28@MetsO 2.50L+143

Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates

View all
Bryan ReynoldsBrandon LoweNick GonzalesHenry DavisJake MangumRyan O'HearnJared TrioloMarcell OzunaSpencer HorwitzOneil CruzEsmerlyn ValdezKonnor GriffinJacob GonzalezJoey BartTyler Callihan

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 52.6% of the time in 2026, going 10-9 with an average actual of 2.
Is Mitch Keller over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 20 games in 2026, betting $100 on Mitch Keller over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned -$250 (-12.5% ROI). The hit rate is 52.6% with an average actual of 2.
What is Mitch Keller's walks allowed average this season?
Mitch Keller averages 2 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 20 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.

Mitch Keller 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.22 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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