Pittsburgh Pirates66.7% OUT O 16.556.3% ER O 2.553.3% HA O 5.5
Season
All Mitch Keller propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
17g41.2%Over: 7-10
0vs O 1.5-122
@
Nationals7/3
Nationals7/3✗✗✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✗
H: 33.3%(9)A: 57.1%(7)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(22%)
Total Matchups
18Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Keller's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 4.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 100%(2-0) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 20%(1-4) | 100%(3-0) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 40%(2-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Foster Griffin
7/3Nationals hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Keller.
★★★★★vs Brady Singer
6/28Several hitters in the Reds lineup have a 5-star matchup against Keller today.
★★★★★vs George Kirby
6/23Mariners hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Keller.
Game Log
Bet
$
7-11 Over17g · 18 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/3 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -122 |
| 6/28 | vs Reds | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -138 |
| 6/23 | vs Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 6/16 | @ Athletics | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -173 |
| 6/11 | vs Dodgers | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -170 |
| 6/5 | @ Braves | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -118 |
| 5/30 | vs Twins | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -116 |
| 5/24 | @ Blue Jays | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -152 |
| 5/19 | @ Cardinals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -126 |
| 5/13 | vs Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -125 |
| 5/7 | @ Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -156 |
| 4/25 | @ Brewers | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +135 |
| 4/19 | vs Rays | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -158 |
| 4/14 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -104 |
| 4/8 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -144 |
| 4/3 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -124 |
| 3/28 | @ Mets | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -171 |
| 3/28 | @Mets | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +143 |
Pittsburgh Pirates Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Mitch Keller hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Mitch Keller hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 43.8% of the time in 2026, going 7-9 with an average actual of 1.9.
Is Mitch Keller over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Mitch Keller over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned -$492 (-28.94% ROI). The hit rate is 43.8% with an average actual of 1.9.
What is Mitch Keller's walks allowed average this season?
Mitch Keller averages 1.9 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge