Matt Waldron

Matt Waldron

San Diego PadresPitcher2026
Reg8.84 ERA / 22 K / 22.4 IP / 8.8 K/9 / 6G
80% K O 1.550% OUT O 14.5
Season
Best Performer

Matt Waldron goes over 1.5 pitcher ks 80% of the time (4-1)

Props — 20265 games with closing lines

avg 3.6
80%Over: 4-1
3vs O 1.5-1400
@Brewers5/12
H: 0%(1)A: 100%(4)
avg 12.8
40%Over: 2-3
8vs O 14.5-161
@Brewers5/12
H: 100%(1)A: 33.3%(3)
75%Over: 3-1
1vs O 2.5-113
@Giants5/6
H: 100%(1)A: 66.7%(3)
75%Over: 3-1
2vs O 5.5-104
@Giants5/6
H: 100%(1)A: 50%(2)
avg 1.7
33.3%Over: 1-2
1vs O 1.5-145
vsCubs4/29
H: 0%(1)A: 50%(2)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.8
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
4
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Waldron's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 1.5Outs RecordedO 14.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
100%(1-0)0%(0-1)
100%(1-0)0%(0-1)0%(0-1)
50%(1-1)100%(2-0)100%(2-0)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Brandon Sproat
5/12

Current Brewers hitters have struck out 24.1% of the time against pitchers similar to Waldron over the last two years (League Avg: 20%), but other matchup data favors the Brewers.

vs Adrian Houser
5/6

Current Giants hitters have an OPS of .826 against soft-throwing right-handed pitchers like Waldron over the last two years.

vs Jameson Taillon
4/29

Right-handed starters have an ERA of 5.63 against the Cubs in the past 30 days.

Game Log

Bet
$
25-31 Over56 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/12@BrewersOuts RecordedO 14.58L-161
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 5.53L+344
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 4.53L+156
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 1.53W-1400
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 2.53W-378
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 3.53L-145
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 6.53L+750
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 7.53L+1560
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 3.57W+114
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 2.57W-222
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 4.57W+266
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 5.57W+610
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 1.57W-730
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 6.57W+1300
5/6@GiantsEarned RunsO 2.51L-113
5/6@GiantsHits AllowedO 5.52L-104
5/6@GiantsOuts RecordedO 15.515L+125
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 3.51L-119
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 2.51L-300
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 4.51L+196
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 5.51L+455
4/29vsCubsEarned RunsO 2.53W-124
4/29vsCubsHits AllowedO 5.56W+125
4/29vsCubsOuts RecordedO 14.515W-168
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 1.51L-1140
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 6.51L+990
4/29vsCubsHits AllowedO 4.56W-160
4/29vsCubsOuts RecordedO 15.515L+120
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 7.51L+1250
4/29vsCubsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-145
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 3.53L-158
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 2.53W-450
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 4.53L+162
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 5.53L+350
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 6.53L+700
4/23@RockiesOuts RecordedO 14.515W-140
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 1.53W-1900
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 7.53L+1160
4/23@RockiesHits AllowedO 6.58W+125
4/23@RockiesEarned RunsO 2.56W-133
4/23@RockiesHits AllowedO 5.58W-107
4/23@RockiesOuts RecordedO 15.515L+124
4/23@RockiesEarned RunsO 3.56W+121
4/23@RockiesWalks AllowedO 1.53W-154
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 3.54W-154
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 2.54W-400
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 4.54L+154
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 5.54L+320
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 6.54L+700
4/17@AngelsEarned RunsO 2.56W+108

San Diego Padres Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Waldron hit the over on pitcher ks 1.5?
Matt Waldron hits the over on pitcher ks 1.5 80% of the time in 2026, going 4-1 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$68.
How often does Matt Waldron hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Matt Waldron hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 12.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$69.
What are Matt Waldron's best prop bets in 2026?
Matt Waldron's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 1.5 at 80% (4-1); Outs Recorded O 14.5 at 50% (2-2).

Matt Waldron 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.5 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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Matt Waldron 2026 Props | LineTerminal