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Players/MLB/San Diego Padres/Matt Waldron
Matt Waldron

Matt Waldron

San Diego Padres•Pitcher•2026
7.43ERA28K31.5IP8.0K/910G
7.43ERA28K31.5IP8.0K/910G
50% OUT O 14.540% K O 3.5
Season

Props — 20265 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

5g
avg 3.6
40%Over: 2-3
3vs O 3.5-145
@Brewers5/12
✗✓✗✗✓
H: 0%(1)A: 50%(4)

Outs Recorded

5g
avg 12.8
40%Over: 2-3
8vs O 14.5-161
@Brewers5/12
✗✗✓✓✗
H: 100%(1)A: 33.3%(3)

Earned Runs

4g
avg 4
75%Over: 3-1
1vs O 2.5-113
@Giants5/6
✗✓✓✓
H: 100%(1)A: 66.7%(3)

Hits Allowed

4g
avg 6
75%Over: 3-1
2vs O 5.5-104
@Giants5/6
✗✓✓✓
H: 100%(1)A: 50%(2)

Walks Allowed

3g
avg 1.7
33.3%Over: 1-2
1vs O 1.5-145
vsCubs4/29
✗✓✗
H: 0%(1)A: 50%(2)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
1.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
0(0%)
Total Matchups
26
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Waldron's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

StarsPitcher KsO 3.5Outs RecordedO 14.5Earned RunsO 2.5Hits AllowedO 5.5Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★0%(0-1)0%(0-1)———
★★★★★100%(1-0)—0%(0-1)0%(0-1)—
★★★★★0%(0-2)100%(2-0)100%(2-0)100%(2-0)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Drew Rasmussen
8/19

Opponents have an OPS of .984 against Waldron when he's pitching on the road over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Nick Martinez
8/18

Opponents have an OPS of .989 against Waldron when he's pitching on the road over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Ryan Weathers
8/16

Matchup data is limited but favors Waldron.

Game Log

Bet
$
25-31 Over56 props
Date ↓OppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 2.53W-378
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 5.53L+344
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 1.53W-1400
5/12@BrewersOuts RecordedO 14.58L-161
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 4.53L+156
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 3.53L-145
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 6.53L+750
5/12@BrewersPitcher KsO 7.53L+1560
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 3.57W+114
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 2.57W-222
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 4.57W+266
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 5.57W+610
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 1.57W-730
5/6@GiantsPitcher KsO 6.57W+1300
5/6@GiantsEarned RunsO 2.51L-113
5/6@GiantsHits AllowedO 5.52L-104
5/6@GiantsOuts RecordedO 15.515L+125
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 3.51L-119
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 2.51L-300
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 4.51L+196
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 5.51L+455
4/29vsCubsEarned RunsO 2.53W-124
4/29vsCubsHits AllowedO 5.56W+125
4/29vsCubsOuts RecordedO 14.515W-168
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 1.51L-1140
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 6.51L+990
4/29vsCubsHits AllowedO 4.56W-160
4/29vsCubsOuts RecordedO 15.515L+120
4/29vsCubsPitcher KsO 7.51L+1250
4/29vsCubsWalks AllowedO 1.51L-145
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 3.53L-158
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 2.53W-450
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 4.53L+162
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 5.53L+350
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 6.53L+700
4/23@RockiesOuts RecordedO 14.515W-140
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 1.53W-1900
4/23@RockiesPitcher KsO 7.53L+1160
4/23@RockiesHits AllowedO 6.58W+125
4/23@RockiesEarned RunsO 2.56W-133
4/23@RockiesHits AllowedO 5.58W-107
4/23@RockiesOuts RecordedO 15.515L+124
4/23@RockiesEarned RunsO 3.56W+121
4/23@RockiesWalks AllowedO 1.53W-154
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 3.54W-154
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 2.54W-400
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 4.54L+154
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 5.54L+320
4/17@AngelsPitcher KsO 6.54L+700
4/17@AngelsEarned RunsO 2.56W+108

San Diego Padres Teammates

View all
Fernando Tatis Jr.Jackson MerrillManny MachadoXander BogaertsGavin SheetsTy FranceLuis RengifoFreddy FerminJake CronenworthMiguel AndujarLuis CampusanoSung-Mun SongNick CastellanosSamad TaylorJase Bowen

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Matt Waldron hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Matt Waldron hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 2-3 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$121.
How often does Matt Waldron hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Matt Waldron hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 2-2 with an average actual of 12.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$69.
What are Matt Waldron's best prop bets in 2026?
Matt Waldron's highest-hitting props in 2026: Outs Recorded O 14.5 at 50% (2-2); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 40% (2-3).

Matt Waldron 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.5 games analyzed across 5 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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