Luke Raley

Luke Raley

Seattle MarinersPosition Player2026
Reg0.265 / 10 HR / 27 RBI / 35 H / 1 SB / 47G
56.4% HRR O 0.553.8% H O 0.535.9% 1B O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Luke Raley goes over 0.5 strikeouts 71.4% of the time (25-10-1)

Props — 202640 games with closing lines

Hits

40g
avg 0.9
53.8%Over: 21-18-1
0vs O 0.5-137
@Royals5/24
H: 60%(20)A: 45%(20)
avg 0.2
20.5%Over: 8-31-1
0vs O 0.5+610
@Royals5/24
H: 20%(20)A: 20%(20)

RBIs

40g
avg 0.7
30.8%Over: 12-27-1
0vs O 0.5+209
@Royals5/24
H: 40%(20)A: 20%(20)
avg 0.5
30.8%Over: 12-27-1
0vs O 0.5+150
@Royals5/24
H: 30%(20)A: 30%(20)
avg 1.7
35.9%Over: 14-25-1
0vs O 1.5+180
@Royals5/24
H: 35%(20)A: 33.3%(18)
avg 0
2.6%Over: 1-38-1
0vs O 0.5+1300
@Royals5/24
H: 5%(20)A: 0%(20)
avg 0.1
12.8%Over: 5-34-1
0vs O 0.5+450
@Royals5/24
H: 10%(20)A: 15%(20)
56.4%Over: 22-17-1
0vs O 0.5-183
@Royals5/24
H: 60%(20)A: 50%(20)
avg 0.5
35.9%Over: 14-25-1
0vs O 0.5+156
@Royals5/24
H: 35%(20)A: 35%(20)
avg 0.9
29.7%Over: 11-26-1
0vs O 1.5+266
@Royals5/23
H: 25%(20)A: 33.3%(18)
avg 0.2
18.9%Over: 7-30-1
0vs O 0.5+219
@Royals5/23
H: 15%(20)A: 22.2%(18)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.2
5-Star Games
8(15%)
Total Matchups
53
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Raley's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
57.1%(4-3)42.9%(3-4)42.9%(3-4)
46.2%(6-7)15.4%(2-11)23.1%(3-10)
50%(4-4)12.5%(1-7)25%(2-6)
55.6%(5-4)0%(0-9)22.2%(2-7)
50%(1-1)50%(1-1)50%(1-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Seth Lugo
5/24

Raley batted just .244 (32-for-131) when hitting on the road over the last year.

vs Stephen Kolek
5/23

Raley has an OPS of .872 in 137 PA's since last season but is batting just .200 (26-for-130) against right-handers with high groundball rates over the last two years.

vs Noah Cameron
5/22

Raley is batting just .100 (3-for-30) against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Cameron over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
278-945-27 Over1250 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
5/24@RoyalsDoublesO 0.50L+450
5/24@RoyalsHitsO 0.50L-137
5/24@RoyalsHitsO 2.50L+2500
5/24@RoyalsHitsO 1.50L+450
5/24@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.50L+240
5/24@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-183
5/24@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.50L+457
5/24@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+126
5/24@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.50L+840
5/24@RoyalsHome RunsO 0.50L+610
5/24@RoyalsHome RunsO 1.50L+8000
5/24@RoyalsRBIsO 1.50L+610
5/24@RoyalsRBIsO 0.50L+209
5/24@RoyalsSinglesO 0.50L+156
5/24@RoyalsSinglesO 1.50L+1080
5/24@RoyalsTotal BasesO 2.50L+352
5/24@RoyalsTotal BasesO 3.50L+477
5/24@RoyalsTotal BasesO 4.50L+1200
5/24@RoyalsTotal BasesO 1.50L+180
5/24@RoyalsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+150
5/24@RoyalsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1000
5/24@RoyalsStolen BasesO 0.50L+1300
5/24@RoyalsStolen BasesO 1.50L+10000
5/24@RoyalsHitsO 3.50L+20000
5/23@RoyalsDoublesO 0.51W+420
5/23@RoyalsHitsO 0.53W-165
5/23@RoyalsHitsO 1.53W+350
5/23@RoyalsHitsO 2.53W+2200
5/23@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.53W-236
5/23@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.53W-103
5/23@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.53L+360
5/23@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.53W+190
5/23@RoyalsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.53L+630
5/23@RoyalsHome RunsO 1.50L+7500
5/23@RoyalsHome RunsO 0.50L+502
5/23@RoyalsRBIsO 1.50L+500
5/23@RoyalsRBIsO 0.50L+172
5/23@RoyalsSinglesO 1.52W+810
5/23@RoyalsSinglesO 0.52W+140
5/23@RoyalsTotal BasesO 3.54W+380
5/23@RoyalsTotal BasesO 4.54L+900
5/23@RoyalsTotal BasesO 2.54W+263
5/23@RoyalsTotal BasesO 1.54W+138
5/23@RoyalsHitsO 3.53L+15000
5/23@RoyalsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+850
5/23@RoyalsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+132
5/23@RoyalsStolen BasesO 0.50L+1250
5/23@RoyalsRBIsO 2.50L+1400
5/23@RoyalsStrikeoutsO 1.50L+266
5/23@RoyalsStrikeoutsO 0.50L-228

Seattle Mariners Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Luke Raley hit the over on hits 0.5?
Luke Raley hits the over on hits 0.5 53.8% of the time in 2026, going 21-18-1 with an average actual of 0.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$8.
How often does Luke Raley hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Luke Raley hits the over on home runs 0.5 20.5% of the time in 2026, going 8-31-1 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$1,685.
How often does Luke Raley hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Luke Raley hits the over on rbis 0.5 30.8% of the time in 2026, going 12-27-1 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$171.
How often does Luke Raley hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Luke Raley hits the over on runs scored 0.5 30.8% of the time in 2026, going 12-27-1 with an average actual of 0.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$697.
How often does Luke Raley hit the over on total bases 1.5?
Luke Raley hits the over on total bases 1.5 35.1% of the time in 2026, going 13-24-1 with an average actual of 1.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$151.
What are Luke Raley's best prop bets in 2026?
Luke Raley's highest-hitting props in 2026: Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 56.4% (22-17); Hits O 0.5 at 53.8% (21-18); Singles O 0.5 at 35.9% (14-25).

Luke Raley 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.40 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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