Jorge Mateo

Jorge Mateo

Atlanta BravesTwo-Way Player2026
Reg0.248 / 4 HR / 11 RBI / 30 H / 6 SB / 48G
71.1% SO O 0.543.9% H O 0.540% R O 0.5
Season
Best Performer

Jorge Mateo goes over 0.5 strikeouts 71.1% of the time (27-11-12)

Props — 202657 games with closing lines

avg 0
12.5%Over: 5-35-16
0vs O 0.5+360
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 4%(25)A: 12.9%(31)
avg 0.4
36.6%Over: 15-26-15
0vs O 1.5+120
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 15.4%(26)A: 36.7%(30)

Hits

55g
avg 0.3
43.9%Over: 18-23-14
0vs O 0.5-155
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 25%(24)A: 38.7%(31)
avg 0.1
7.3%Over: 3-38-14
0vs O 0.5+830
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 0%(24)A: 9.7%(31)

RBIs

55g
avg 0.1
17.1%Over: 7-34-14
0vs O 0.5+220
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 4.2%(24)A: 19.4%(31)
avg 0.5
29.3%Over: 12-29-14
0vs O 1.5+185
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 8.3%(24)A: 34.5%(29)
avg 0.3
40%Over: 16-24-14
0vs O 0.5+155
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 20.8%(24)A: 36.7%(30)
avg 0
12.2%Over: 5-36-13
0vs O 0.5+550
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 4.2%(24)A: 13.3%(30)
avg 0.2
36.6%Over: 15-26-13
0vs O 0.5+110
vsMets7/5
PPPP
H: 20.8%(24)A: 33.3%(30)
avg 0.6
71.1%Over: 27-11-12
2vs O 0.5-159
vsMets7/4
PPPP
H: 57.1%(21)A: 51.7%(29)
avg 0.1
19.4%Over: 7-29-10
0vs O 0.5+310
vsMets7/4
PPPP
H: 16.7%(18)A: 14.3%(28)
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.3
5-Star Games
10(7%)
Total Matchups
151
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
40%(2-3)20%(1-4)40%(2-3)
36.4%(8-14)4.5%(1-21)9.1%(2-20)
36.8%(7-12)5.3%(1-18)15.8%(3-16)
16.7%(1-5)0%(0-6)0%(0-6)
0%(0-3)0%(0-3)0%(0-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

vs Paul Skenes
7/7

Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Skenes over the last 2 seasons.

vs Freddy Peralta
7/6

Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Peralta over the last 2 seasons.

vs Nolan McLean
7/5

Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to McLean over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
235-1060-410 Over1705 props
DateOppMarketLineActualResultOdds
7/5vsMetsDoublesO 0.50L+550
7/5vsMetsHitsO 1.50L+390
7/5vsMetsHitsO 0.50L-155
7/5vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.50L-210
7/5vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.50L+120
7/5vsMetsHome RunsO 0.50L+830
7/5vsMetsHome RunsO 1.50L+10000
7/5vsMetsRBIsO 1.50L+700
7/5vsMetsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1200
7/5vsMetsRBIsO 0.50L+220
7/5vsMetsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+155
7/5vsMetsSinglesO 0.50L+110
7/5vsMetsStolen BasesO 1.50L+2500
7/5vsMetsStolen BasesO 0.50L+360
7/5vsMetsTotal BasesO 1.50L+185
7/5vsMetsTotal BasesO 3.50L+650
7/5vsMetsTotal BasesO 4.50L+1400
7/5vsMetsTotal BasesO 2.50L+390
7/4vsMetsDoublesO 0.50L+470
7/4vsMetsHitsO 1.51L+435
7/4vsMetsHitsO 0.51W-129
7/4vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 0.51W-164
7/4vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 1.51L+137
7/4vsMetsHome RunsO 0.50L+830
7/4vsMetsHome RunsO 1.50L+15000
7/4vsMetsRBIsO 0.50L+257
7/4vsMetsRuns ScoredO 1.50L+1200
7/4vsMetsRBIsO 1.50L+750
7/4vsMetsRuns ScoredO 0.50L+171
7/4vsMetsSinglesO 0.51W+140
7/4vsMetsStolen BasesO 1.50L+2700
7/4vsMetsStolen BasesO 0.50L+360
7/4vsMetsTotal BasesO 1.51L+203
7/4vsMetsTotal BasesO 4.51L+1400
7/4vsMetsTotal BasesO 2.51L+421
7/4vsMetsTotal BasesO 3.51L+600
7/4vsMetsRBIsO 2.50L+2200
7/4vsMetsHitsO 2.51L+2500
7/4vsMetsTotal BasesO 5.51L
7/4vsMetsTotal BasesO 0.51W-145
7/4vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 3.51L+531
7/4vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 2.51L+279
7/4vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 5.51L
7/4vsMetsHits+Runs+RBIsO 4.51L+980
7/4vsMetsSinglesO 1.51L+930
7/4vsMetsHome RunsO 2.50L
7/4vsMetsRBIsO 3.50L+7500
7/4vsMetsStrikeoutsO 1.52W+425
7/4vsMetsStrikeoutsO 0.52W-159
7/4vsMetsWalksO 0.50L+310

Atlanta Braves Teammates

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Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 12.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-35-16 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,620.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 36.6% of the time in 2026, going 15-26-15 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$557.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on hits 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on hits 0.5 43.9% of the time in 2026, going 18-23-14 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$954.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-38-14 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,350.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on rbis 0.5 17.1% of the time in 2026, going 7-34-14 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,592.
What are Jorge Mateo's best prop bets in 2026?
Jorge Mateo's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 71.1% (27-11); Hits O 0.5 at 43.9% (18-23); Runs Scored O 0.5 at 40% (16-24).

Jorge Mateo 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.57 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

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