
71.1% SO O 0.543.9% H O 0.540% R O 0.5
Season
Best Performer
Jorge Mateo goes over 0.5 strikeouts 71.1% of the time (27-11-12)
Props — 202657 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(7%)
Total Matchups
151Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(8-14) | 4.5%(1-21) | 9.1%(2-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.8%(7-12) | 5.3%(1-18) | 15.8%(3-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
7/7Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Skenes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Peralta over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
7/5Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to McLean over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
235-1060-410 Over1705 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/5 | vs | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +550 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -155 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | -210 |
| 7/5 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +120 |
| 7/5 | vs | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 7/5 | vs | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +700 |
| 7/5 | vs | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 7/5 | vs | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +220 |
| 7/5 | vs | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +155 |
| 7/5 | vs | Singles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 7/5 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 7/5 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +360 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +185 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +650 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +1400 |
| 7/5 | vs | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 7/4 | vs | Doubles | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +470 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +435 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -129 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -164 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +137 |
| 7/4 | vs | Home Runs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +830 |
| 7/4 | vs | Home Runs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +15000 |
| 7/4 | vs | RBIs | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +257 |
| 7/4 | vs | Runs Scored | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 7/4 | vs | RBIs | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +750 |
| 7/4 | vs | Runs Scored | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +171 |
| 7/4 | vs | Singles | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +140 |
| 7/4 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 7/4 | vs | Stolen Bases | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +360 |
| 7/4 | vs | Total Bases | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +203 |
| 7/4 | vs | Total Bases | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +1400 |
| 7/4 | vs | Total Bases | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +421 |
| 7/4 | vs | Total Bases | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +600 |
| 7/4 | vs | RBIs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +2500 |
| 7/4 | vs | Total Bases | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Total Bases | O 0.5 | 1 | W | -145 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 3.5 | 1 | L | +531 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +279 |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 5.5 | 1 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | Hits+Runs+RBIs | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +980 |
| 7/4 | vs | Singles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +930 |
| 7/4 | vs | Home Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | — |
| 7/4 | vs | RBIs | O 3.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 7/4 | vs | Strikeouts | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +425 |
| 7/4 | vs | Strikeouts | O 0.5 | 2 | W | -159 |
| 7/4 | vs | Walks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 12.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-35-16 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,620.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on hits+runs+rbis 1.5 36.6% of the time in 2026, going 15-26-15 with an average actual of 1.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$557.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on hits 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on hits 0.5 43.9% of the time in 2026, going 18-23-14 with an average actual of 0.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$954.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on home runs 0.5 7.3% of the time in 2026, going 3-38-14 with an average actual of 0.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,350.
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on rbis 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on rbis 0.5 17.1% of the time in 2026, going 7-34-14 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$1,592.
What are Jorge Mateo's best prop bets in 2026?
Jorge Mateo's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 71.1% (27-11); Hits O 0.5 at 43.9% (18-23); Runs Scored O 0.5 at 40% (16-24).

Inside Edge