Jorge Mateo

Atlanta BravesTwo-Way Player•2026

Reg0.305 / 2 HR / 6 RBI / 18 H / 4 SB / 22G

82.4% SO O 0.558.8% HRR O 0.552.9% H O 0.5

Season

Best Performer

Jorge Mateo goes over 0.5 strikeouts 82.4% of the time (14-3-5)

Props — 202622 games with closing lines

Hits

22g

avg 0.8

52.9%Over: 9-8-5

1vs O 0.5-152

Red Sox5/17

✓PP✓✓P✗✓✓✓

H: 37.5%(8)A: 42.9%(14)

Home Runs

22g

avg 0

5.9%Over: 1-16-5

0vs O 0.5+1200

Red Sox5/17

✗PP✗✗P✗✗✓✗

H: 0%(8)A: 7.1%(14)

RBIs

22g

avg 0.2

17.6%Over: 3-14-5

0vs O 0.5+262

Red Sox5/17

✗PP✓✗P✗✗✓✗

H: 12.5%(8)A: 14.3%(14)

Runs Scored

22g

avg 0.6

47.1%Over: 8-9-5

2vs O 0.5+170

Red Sox5/17

✓PP✓✓P✗✗✓✓

H: 25%(8)A: 42.9%(14)

Strikeouts

22g

avg 0.8

82.4%Over: 14-3-5

1vs O 0.5-166

Red Sox5/17

✓PP✗✓P✓✓✓✓

H: 62.5%(8)A: 64.3%(14)

Total Bases

22g

avg 1

41.2%Over: 7-10-5

2vs O 1.5+199

Red Sox5/17

✓PP✓✓P✗✗✓✓

H: 25%(8)A: 41.7%(12)

Stolen Bases

21g

avg 0.1

18.8%Over: 3-13-5

0vs O 0.5+320

Red Sox5/17

✗PP✗✗P✗✓✓✗

H: 0%(7)A: 21.4%(14)

Doubles

21g

avg 0.1

17.6%Over: 3-14-4

1vs O 0.5+500

Red Sox5/17

✓PP✗✗P✗✗✗✓

H: 12.5%(8)A: 15.4%(13)

Hits+Runs+RBIs

21g

avg 1.7

58.8%Over: 10-7-4

3vs O 0.5-198

Red Sox5/17

✓PP✓✓P✗✓✓✓

H: 37.5%(8)A: 53.8%(13)

Singles

21g

avg 0.6

47.1%Over: 8-9-4

0vs O 0.5+117

Red Sox5/17

✗PP✓✓P✗✓✓✓

H: 25%(8)A: 46.2%(13)

Walks

17g

avg 0.2

26.7%Over: 4-11-2

1vs O 0.5+245

Red Sox5/17

✓P✓✗P✗✗✗✗✗

H: 20%(5)A: 25%(12)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.7★★★★★

5-Star Games

7(14%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

Stars	HitsO 0.5	Home RunsO 0.5	RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	50%(5-5)	10%(1-9)	10%(1-9)
★★★★★	57.1%(4-3)	0%(0-7)	28.6%(2-5)
★★★★★	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-1)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas

5/22

Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 against right-handed batters with high strikeout rates like Mateo over the last 2 years.

★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara

5/21

Mateo has an OPS of .807 in 63 PA's since last season but has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.4% (League Avg: 20.2%) against right-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two years.

★★★★★vs Janson Junk

5/20

Mateo is slugging .455 in his last 50 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Junk over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet

128-383-120 Over631 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	3	W	+126
5/17	vsRed Sox	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	L	+320
5/17	vsRed Sox	Doubles	O 0.5	1	W	+500
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits	O 1.5	1	L	+398
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits	O 2.5	1	L	+2200
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits	O 3.5	1	L	+22500
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits	O 0.5	1	W	-152
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	3	L	+541
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	3	W	+270
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	3	W	-198
5/17	vsRed Sox	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	L	+12500
5/17	vsRed Sox	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	L	+1200
5/17	vsRed Sox	RBIs	O 3.5	0	L	+7500
5/17	vsRed Sox	RBIs	O 1.5	0	L	+810
5/17	vsRed Sox	RBIs	O 2.5	0	L	+2500
5/17	vsRed Sox	RBIs	O 0.5	0	L	+262
5/17	vsRed Sox	Runs Scored	O 0.5	2	W	+170
5/17	vsRed Sox	Runs Scored	O 1.5	2	W	+1200
5/17	vsRed Sox	Singles	O 0.5	0	L	+117
5/17	vsRed Sox	Runs Scored	O 2.5	2	L	+8000
5/17	vsRed Sox	Stolen Bases	O 1.5	0	L	+2500
5/17	vsRed Sox	Total Bases	O 4.5	2	L	+1600
5/17	vsRed Sox	Total Bases	O 1.5	2	W	+199
5/17	vsRed Sox	Total Bases	O 2.5	2	L	+450
5/17	vsRed Sox	Total Bases	O 3.5	2	L	+720
5/17	vsRed Sox	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 4.5	3	L	+1080
5/17	vsRed Sox	Strikeouts	O 1.5	1	L	+384
5/17	vsRed Sox	Strikeouts	O 0.5	1	W	-166
5/17	vsRed Sox	Singles	O 1.5	0	L	+780
5/17	vsRed Sox	Walks	O 0.5	1	W	+245
5/17	vsRed Sox	RBIs	O 4.5	0	L	+6000
5/17	vsRed Sox	Total Bases	O 0.5	2	W	-160
5/13	vsCubs	Doubles	O 0.5	0	P	+500
5/13	vsCubs	Hits	O 3.5	0	P	+20000
5/13	vsCubs	Hits	O 1.5	0	P	+460
5/13	vsCubs	Hits	O 2.5	0	P	+2700
5/13	vsCubs	Hits	O 0.5	0	P	-137
5/13	vsCubs	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+145
5/13	vsCubs	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 2.5	0	P	+300
5/13	vsCubs	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 3.5	0	P	+600
5/13	vsCubs	Hits+Runs+RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	-170
5/13	vsCubs	Home Runs	O 0.5	0	P	+920
5/13	vsCubs	Home Runs	O 1.5	0	P	+15000
5/13	vsCubs	RBIs	O 1.5	0	P	+850
5/13	vsCubs	RBIs	O 0.5	0	P	+275
5/13	vsCubs	Runs Scored	O 0.5	0	P	+200
5/13	vsCubs	Runs Scored	O 1.5	0	P	+1700
5/13	vsCubs	Stolen Bases	O 0.5	0	P	+580
5/13	vsCubs	Singles	O 0.5	0	P	+139
5/13	vsCubs	Total Bases	O 2.5	0	P	+443

Atlanta Braves Teammates

View all

Matt Olson Ozzie Albies Austin Riley Michael Harris II Drake Baldwin Mike Yastrzemski Dominic Smith Eli White Jonah Heim Ha-Seong Kim Sandy León Sean Murphy Chris Sale Bryce Elder Grant Holmes

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on hits 0.5?

Jorge Mateo hits the over on hits 0.5 52.9% of the time in 2026, going 9-8-5 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$103.

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on home runs 0.5?

Jorge Mateo hits the over on home runs 0.5 5.9% of the time in 2026, going 1-16-5 with an average actual of 0. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$740.

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on rbis 0.5?

Jorge Mateo hits the over on rbis 0.5 17.6% of the time in 2026, going 3-14-5 with an average actual of 0.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$607.

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on runs scored 0.5?

Jorge Mateo hits the over on runs scored 0.5 47.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-9-5 with an average actual of 0.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$507.

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on strikeouts 0.5?

Jorge Mateo hits the over on strikeouts 0.5 82.4% of the time in 2026, going 14-3-5 with an average actual of 0.8. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$508.

What are Jorge Mateo's best prop bets in 2026?

Jorge Mateo's highest-hitting props in 2026: Strikeouts O 0.5 at 82.4% (14-3); Hits+Runs+RBIs O 0.5 at 58.8% (10-7); Hits O 0.5 at 52.9% (9-8).