Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves82.4% SO O 0.558.8% HRR O 0.552.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Jorge Mateo propsProps — 202622 games with closing lines
Stolen Bases
21g18.8%Over: 3-13-5
0vs O 0.5+320
vs
Red Sox5/17
Red Sox5/17✗PP✗✗P✗✓✓✗
H: 0%(7)A: 21.4%(14)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(14%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 10%(1-9) | 10%(1-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 0%(0-7) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/22Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 against right-handed batters with high strikeout rates like Mateo over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
5/21Mateo has an OPS of .807 in 63 PA's since last season but has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.4% (League Avg: 20.2%) against right-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Janson Junk
5/20Mateo is slugging .455 in his last 50 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Junk over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
3-28-9 Over21g · 40 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/17 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +320 |
| 5/17 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/13 | vs Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +580 |
| 5/13 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6000 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +360 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3000 |
| 5/10 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +350 |
| 5/10 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/9 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +370 |
| 5/9 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 5/6 | @ Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +383 |
| 5/6 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +2000 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +375 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2500 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +400 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +3000 |
| 5/3 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +413 |
| 5/3 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +3500 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 5/1 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +350 |
| 5/1 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 4/30 | vs Tigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +390 |
| 4/30 | vsTigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3000 |
| 4/26 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +340 |
| 4/26 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/21 | @ Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +390 |
| 4/21 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +3000 |
| 4/20 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +310 |
| 4/20 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2000 |
| 4/18 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +433 |
| 4/18 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +3500 |
| 4/12 | vs Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +350 |
| 4/12 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2200 |
| 4/11 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +400 |
| 4/11 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +2700 |
| 4/8 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +220 |
| 4/7 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +320 |
| 4/5 | @ Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +320 |
| 4/5 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +2000 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on stolen bases 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on stolen bases 0.5 18.8% of the time in 2026, going 3-13-5 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Jorge Mateo over 0.5 stolen bases a good bet?
Based on 21 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jorge Mateo over 0.5 stolen bases at best closing odds has returned -$167 (-7.95% ROI). The hit rate is 18.8% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Jorge Mateo's stolen bases average this season?
Jorge Mateo averages 0.1 stolen bases per game in 2026 across 21 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.