
71.1% SO O 0.543.9% H O 0.540% R O 0.5
Season
All Jorge Mateo propsProps — 202657 games with closing lines
Runs Scored
54g40%Over: 16-24-14
0vs O 0.5+155
vs
Mets7/5
✗✗✗P✗✓PPP✗
H: 20.8%(24)A: 36.7%(30)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.3★★★★★
5-Star Games
10(7%)
Total Matchups
151Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 40%(2-3) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.4%(8-14) | 4.5%(1-21) | 9.1%(2-20) |
| ★★★★★ | 36.8%(7-12) | 5.3%(1-18) | 15.8%(3-16) |
| ★★★★★ | 16.7%(1-5) | 0%(0-6) | 0%(0-6) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Paul Skenes
7/7Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Skenes over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Freddy Peralta
7/6Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to Peralta over the last 2 seasons.
★★★★★vs Nolan McLean
7/5Mateo is batting just .160 (4-for-25) against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to McLean over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
24-99-37 Over54g · 160 props
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on runs scored 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on runs scored 0.5 40% of the time in 2026, going 16-24-14 with an average actual of 0.4.
Is Jorge Mateo over 0.5 runs scored a good bet?
Based on 54 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jorge Mateo over 0.5 runs scored at best closing odds has returned +$467 (+8.65% ROI). The hit rate is 40% with an average actual of 0.4.
What is Jorge Mateo's runs scored average this season?
Jorge Mateo averages 0.4 runs scored per game in 2026 across 54 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Inside Edge