_
LineTerminalLineTerminal
LineTerminalLineTerminal
HomeScoresResearchPropsA51TeamsPlayers
Player PulseWNBA
AllMLBWNBANFLNBANHL
HomePropsScheduleOddsLineupsWeatherBvP LabProp ScreenerLaunch CodeSwing SignalsPitcher ModelBullpen UsageInside EdgeNRFITeamsPlayers
All
HomeTeamsPlayersProps
MLBMLB
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardLineupsWeatherBvP LabProp ScreenerLaunch CodeSwing SignalsPitcher ModelNRFIBullpen UsageInside Edge
WNBAWNBA
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardLineupsShot LabMatchup LabProp Screener
NFLNFL
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersPropsOdds BoardMatchup LabProp ScreenerDepth ChartsWeatherInside Edge
NBANBA
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersProps
NHLNHL
HomeScheduleTeamsPlayersProps
Players/MLB/Tampa Bay Rays/Jorge Mateo/Home Runs
Jorge Mateo

Jorge Mateo

Tampa Bay Rays•Two-Way Player•2026
.232AVG5HR14RBI29R33H7SB56G
.232AVG5HR14RBI29R33H7SB56G
68.9% SO O 0.547.9% HRR O 0.544.2% TB O 0.5
Season
All Jorge Mateo props

Props — 202668 games with closing lines

Home Runs

65g
avg 0
8.3%Over: 4-44-17
0vs O 0.5+725
@Orioles8/21
✗✗✓✗P✗PP✗✗
H: 5%(20)A: 6.7%(45)
SeasonalityAll lines
0%
18%
0%
0%
25%
Apr
0-11
May
3-14
Jun
0-22
Jul
0-11
Aug
1-3
Inside Edge

Inside Edge

Star Ratings
Avg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
11(6%)
Total Matchups
183
Distribution
5
4
3
2
1

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating

StarsHitsO 0.5Home RunsO 0.5RBIsO 0.5
★★★★★40%(2-3)20%(1-4)40%(2-3)
★★★★★31%(9-20)3.4%(1-28)10.3%(3-26)
★★★★★38.1%(8-13)9.5%(2-19)19%(4-17)
★★★★★12.5%(1-7)0%(0-7)0%(0-7)
★★★★★0%(0-3)0%(0-3)0%(0-3)

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Shane Baz
8/23

Matchup data is limited but favors Mateo.

★★★★★vs Brandon Young
8/22

Matchup data is limited but favors Mateo.

★★★★★vs Trevor Rogers
8/21

Mateo is slugging .529 in his last 18 PA's against pitchers with a similar repertoire to Rogers over the last 2 seasons.

Game Log

Bet
$
4-108-34 Over65g · 146 props
Date ↓OppLineActualResultOdds
8/21@OriolesO 0.50L+725
8/21@OriolesO 1.50L+10000
8/20vsBlue JaysO 1.50L+15000
8/20vsBlue JaysO 0.50L+900
8/20vsBlue JaysO 2.50L—
8/17vsOriolesO 0.51W+900
8/17vsOriolesO 1.51L+10000
8/17vsOriolesO 2.51L—
8/16vsOriolesO 0.50L+850
8/16vsOriolesO 1.50L+10000
8/16vsOriolesO 2.50L—
7/27@MetsO 1.50P+5500
7/27@MetsO 0.50P—
7/24@OriolesO 1.50L+12500
7/24@OriolesO 0.50L+960
7/24@OriolesO 2.50L—
7/20@BravesO 1.50P+12500
7/20@BravesO 0.50P—
7/20@BravesO 2.50P—
7/18@BravesO 1.50P+12500
7/18@BravesO 0.50P+800
7/11@CardinalsO 0.50L+1160
7/11@CardinalsO 1.50L+25000
7/11@CardinalsO 2.50L—
7/8@PiratesO 0.50L+1080
7/8@PiratesO 1.50L+17500
7/8@PiratesO 2.50L—
7/5vsMetsO 0.50L+830
7/5vsMetsO 1.50L+10000
7/4vsMetsO 0.50L+830
7/4vsMetsO 1.50L+15000
7/4vsMetsO 2.50L—
7/3vsMetsO 1.50L+12500
7/3vsMetsO 0.50L+875
7/3vsMetsO 2.50L—
7/2@BravesO 1.50P+6600
7/2@BravesO 0.50P+950
7/1vsCardinalsO 1.50L+20000
7/1vsCardinalsO 0.50L+860
7/1vsCardinalsO 2.50L—
6/30vsCardinalsO 1.50L+10000
6/30vsCardinalsO 0.50L+790
6/30vsCardinalsO 2.50L—
6/28@GiantsO 0.50P+875
6/28@GiantsO 1.50P+6000
6/27@GiantsO 0.50P—
6/27@GiantsO 1.50P+20000
6/26@GiantsO 0.50P—
6/26@GiantsO 1.50P+35000
6/24@PadresO 1.50L+10000

Tampa Bay Rays Teammates

View all
Junior CamineroJonathan ArandaChandler SimpsonTaylor WallsCedric MullinsLiam HicksRichie PalaciosHunter FeducciaNick FortesBen WilliamsonRyan ViladeVictor Mesa Jr.Jake FraleyAustin SlaterCarson Williams

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on home runs 0.5 8.3% of the time in 2026, going 4-44-17 with an average actual of 0.1.
Is Jorge Mateo over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 65 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jorge Mateo over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$1,050 (-16.15% ROI). The hit rate is 8.3% with an average actual of 0.1.
What is Jorge Mateo's home runs average this season?
Jorge Mateo averages 0.1 home runs per game in 2026 across 65 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.

Jorge Mateo 2026 player props sourced from historical closing lines on DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM. Results graded against official MLB box scores.68 games analyzed across 11 markets. Data updates daily. Free on LineTerminal.

LineTerminal

AI-powered betting intelligence for NBA, WNBA, NHL, MLB, NFL, NCAAB, and NCAAF.

ResearchHow To UseMethodologyTerms of ServicePrivacy PolicyFAQResponsible GamblingContact

LineTerminal provides sports data and analytics for informational and entertainment purposes only. LineTerminal does not accept, place, or facilitate bets or wagers of any kind. Odds data is sourced from third-party providers and may not reflect exact lines at every sportsbook. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Sports betting involves risk — never wager more than you can afford to lose.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-MY-RESET (National Problem Gambling Helpline) or visit ncpgambling.org. Must be 21+ in most jurisdictions. Please gamble responsibly.

© 2026 LineTerminal LLC. All rights reserved.