Inside Edge
Atlanta Braves82.4% SO O 0.558.8% HRR O 0.552.9% H O 0.5
Season
All Jorge Mateo propsProps — 202623 games with closing lines
Home Runs
23g5.9%Over: 1-16-6
0vs O 0.5+920
vs
Nationals5/22
Nationals5/22P✗PP✗✗P✗✗✓
H: 0%(9)A: 7.1%(14)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.7★★★★★
5-Star Games
7(14%)
Total Matchups
51Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Mateo's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge hitter star rating
| Stars | HitsO 0.5 | Home RunsO 0.5 | RBIsO 0.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) | 0%(0-3) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(5-5) | 10%(1-9) | 10%(1-9) |
| ★★★★★ | 57.1%(4-3) | 0%(0-7) | 28.6%(2-5) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Miles Mikolas
5/22Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .596 against right-handed batters with high strikeout rates like Mateo over the last 2 years.
★★★★★vs Sandy Alcantara
5/21Mateo has an OPS of .807 in 63 PA's since last season but has a Well-Hit Rate of just 11.4% (League Avg: 20.2%) against right-handers with low strikeout rates over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Janson Junk
5/20Mateo is slugging .455 in his last 50 PA's against right-handers with low strikeout rates like Junk over the last 2 seasons.
Game Log
Bet
$
1-34-11 Over23g · 46 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/22 | vsNationals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 5/22 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +15000 |
| 5/17 | vs Red Sox | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/17 | vsRed Sox | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 5/13 | vs Cubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +920 |
| 5/13 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +15000 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +17500 |
| 5/12 | vsCubs | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1020 |
| 5/10 | @ Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +725 |
| 5/10 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 5/9 | @Dodgers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1220 |
| 5/9 | @Dodgers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/6 | @ Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +6000 |
| 5/6 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +1000 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1150 |
| 5/5 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +730 |
| 5/4 | @Mariners | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 5/3 | @ Rockies | O 0.5 | 1 | W | +860 |
| 5/3 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 1 | L | +10000 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 5/2 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/1 | @Rockies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +900 |
| 5/1 | @Rockies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +7500 |
| 4/30 | vs Tigers | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/30 | vsTigers | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/26 | vs Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +970 |
| 4/26 | vsPhillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/21 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +12500 |
| 4/21 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +875 |
| 4/20 | @Nationals | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/20 | @Nationals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +10000 |
| 4/18 | @Phillies | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1200 |
| 4/18 | @Phillies | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +35000 |
| 4/13 | vs Marlins | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +950 |
| 4/13 | vsMarlins | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +8000 |
| 4/13 | vsMarlins | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +9000 |
| 4/12 | vs Guardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1420 |
| 4/12 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +40000 |
| 4/11 | vsGuardians | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1420 |
| 4/11 | vsGuardians | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +25000 |
| 4/8 | @ Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | P | +575 |
| 4/7 | @Angels | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
| 4/7 | @Angels | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +880 |
| 4/5 | @ Diamondbacks | O 0.5 | 0 | L | +1000 |
| 4/5 | @Diamondbacks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | +12500 |
Atlanta Braves Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Jorge Mateo hit the over on home runs 0.5?
Jorge Mateo hits the over on home runs 0.5 5.9% of the time in 2026, going 1-16-6 with an average actual of 0.
Is Jorge Mateo over 0.5 home runs a good bet?
Based on 23 games in 2026, betting $100 on Jorge Mateo over 0.5 home runs at best closing odds has returned -$740 (-32.17% ROI). The hit rate is 5.9% with an average actual of 0.
What is Jorge Mateo's home runs average this season?
Jorge Mateo averages 0 home runs per game in 2026 across 23 games. The primary line is set at 0.5.