_Framber Valdez goes over 1.5 walks allowed 81% of the time (17-4)
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How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(2-4) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 50%(3-3) | 57.1%(4-3) | 100%(6-0) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) | 100%(5-0) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) |
Royals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Valdez.
Left-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Valdez have an ERA of 4.36 against the Pirates since last year.
Current Guardians hitters are batting .235 in their last 153 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Valdez, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -106 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -135 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +122 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -354 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +235 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +900 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +470 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -3700 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -164 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1740 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -890 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Pitcher Ks | O 5 | 5 | P | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Outs Recorded | O 23.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -204 |
| 8/12 | vs Guardians | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -500 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -203 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +220 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +439 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | +107 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1620 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -1720 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 3 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +870 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -138 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -152 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +119 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 23.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 17 | L | +145 |
| 8/6 | @ Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +260 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +560 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +140 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -760 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -323 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 9.5 | 5 | L | +1580 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -2600 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +870 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Pitcher Ks | O 10.5 | 5 | L | — |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -146 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +108 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +110 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | Outs Recorded | O 18.5 | 21 | W | — |
