Inside Edge
Detroit Tigers75% K O 2.571.4% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Framber Valdez propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
9g37.5%Over: 3-5-1
4vs O 2.5+117
vs
Guardians5/18
Guardians5/18✓✗✓✗P✗✗✓✗
H: 66.7%(3)A: 0%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Slade Cecconi
5/18Guardians hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Valdez.
★★★★★vs Christian Scott
5/13Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Valdez.
★★★★★vs Jovani Moran
5/5Pitchers with similar repertoires to Valdez have an ERA of 4.73 against the Red Sox over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-6-1 Over9g · 11 props
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Framber Valdez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Framber Valdez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 33.3% of the time in 2026, going 2-4-1 with an average actual of 2.4.
Is Framber Valdez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Framber Valdez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$199 (-22.11% ROI). The hit rate is 33.3% with an average actual of 2.4.
What is Framber Valdez's earned runs average this season?
Framber Valdez averages 2.4 earned runs per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.