Detroit Tigers78.6% BBA O 1.568.8% K O 2.561.5% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Framber Valdez propsProps — 202618 games with closing lines
Earned Runs
18g43.8%Over: 7-9-2
5vs O 2.5+135
@
Rangers7/2
Rangers7/2✓✓✗✗✓✗✓✗P✓
H: 57.1%(7)A: 22.2%(9)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.9★★★★★
5-Star Games
2(11%)
Total Matchups
19Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 40%(2-3) | 40%(2-3) | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 50%(2-2) | 60%(3-2) | 100%(4-0) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Nathan Eovaldi
7/2Pitchers with similar repertoires to Valdez have an ERA of 3.30 against the Rangers over the last year.
★★★★★vs Kai-Wei Teng
6/27Astros hitters have a 1.5 star average matchup against Valdez.
★★★★★vs Gerrit Cole
6/22Left-handed starters have an ERA of 6.40 against the Yankees in the past 30 days.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-10-2 Over18g · 22 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/2 | @Rangers | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +135 |
| 7/2 | @Rangers | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -174 |
| 6/27 | vs Astros | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 6/22 | vs Yankees | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +106 |
| 6/16 | @Astros | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -125 |
| 6/10 | vs Twins | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +105 |
| 6/5 | vs Mariners | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +120 |
| 5/30 | @ White Sox | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +131 |
| 5/30 | @White Sox | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -169 |
| 5/24 | @ Orioles | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +115 |
| 5/23 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 0 | P | +115 |
| 5/18 | vs Guardians | O 2.5 | 4 | W | +117 |
| 5/13 | @ Mets | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +127 |
| 5/5 | vs Red Sox | O 2.5 | 7 | W | +120 |
| 5/5 | vsRed Sox | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -171 |
| 4/30 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 2 | L | -115 |
| 4/24 | @ Reds | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -103 |
| 4/19 | @Red Sox | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +119 |
| 4/14 | vs Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -160 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 2.5 | 1 | L | +125 |
| 4/8 | @Twins | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -156 |
| 4/3 | vs Cardinals | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -126 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Framber Valdez hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Framber Valdez hits the over on earned runs 2.5 42.9% of the time in 2026, going 6-8-2 with an average actual of 2.3.
Is Framber Valdez over 2.5 earned runs a good bet?
Based on 18 games in 2026, betting $100 on Framber Valdez over 2.5 earned runs at best closing odds has returned -$123 (-6.83% ROI). The hit rate is 42.9% with an average actual of 2.3.
What is Framber Valdez's earned runs average this season?
Framber Valdez averages 2.3 earned runs per game in 2026 across 18 games. The primary line is set at 2.5.
Inside Edge