Inside Edge
Detroit Tigers75% K O 2.571.4% BBA O 1.550% OUT O 17.5
Season
All Framber Valdez propsProps — 20269 games with closing lines
Hits Allowed
9g37.5%Over: 3-5-1
5vs O 5.5-109
vs
Guardians5/18
Guardians5/18✗✗✓✓P✗✗✓✗
H: 25%(4)A: 25%(4)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(10%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 2.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 75%(3-1) | 25%(1-3) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) | 33.3%(1-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Slade Cecconi
5/18Guardians hitters have a 2.5 star average matchup against Valdez.
★★★★★vs Christian Scott
5/13Mets hitters have a 3.5 star average matchup against Valdez.
★★★★★vs Jovani Moran
5/5Pitchers with similar repertoires to Valdez have an ERA of 4.73 against the Red Sox over the last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
6-8-2 Over9g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | vsGuardians | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -109 |
| 5/18 | vsGuardians | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -160 |
| 5/13 | @ Mets | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -106 |
| 5/13 | @Mets | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 5/5 | vs Red Sox | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -160 |
| 5/5 | vsRed Sox | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -103 |
| 4/30 | @ Braves | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +117 |
| 4/30 | @Braves | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -158 |
| 4/24 | @ Reds | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -160 |
| 4/24 | @Reds | O 5.5 | 0 | P | -104 |
| 4/19 | @Red Sox | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -116 |
| 4/14 | vs Royals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 4/8 | @ Twins | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -130 |
| 4/3 | vs Cardinals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +122 |
| 4/3 | vsCardinals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -154 |
Detroit Tigers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Framber Valdez hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Framber Valdez hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5-1 with an average actual of 4.3.
Is Framber Valdez over 5.5 hits allowed a good bet?
Based on 9 games in 2026, betting $100 on Framber Valdez over 5.5 hits allowed at best closing odds has returned -$263 (-29.22% ROI). The hit rate is 28.6% with an average actual of 4.3.
What is Framber Valdez's hits allowed average this season?
Framber Valdez averages 4.3 hits allowed per game in 2026 across 9 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.