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Pirates8/17
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(2-4) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 50%(3-3) | 57.1%(4-3) | 100%(6-0) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) | 100%(5-0) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) |
Royals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Valdez.
Left-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Valdez have an ERA of 4.36 against the Pirates since last year.
Current Guardians hitters are batting .235 in their last 153 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Valdez, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/17 | @Pirates | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -106 |
| 8/12 | vs Guardians | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +100 |
| 8/6 | @ Mariners | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +108 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -150 |
| 8/1 | @ Athletics | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -133 |
| 7/26 | vs Royals | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -105 |
| 7/21 | @ Cubs | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -108 |
| 7/21 | @Cubs | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -220 |
| 7/9 | vsAthletics | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -135 |
| 7/2 | @ Rangers | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -109 |
| 6/27 | vs Astros | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -105 |
| 6/22 | vs Yankees | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -111 |
| 6/16 | @Astros | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -120 |
| 6/16 | @Astros | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +114 |
| 6/10 | vs Twins | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -110 |
| 6/5 | vsMariners | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -115 |
| 5/30 | @ White Sox | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +110 |
| 5/30 | @White Sox | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -175 |
| 5/24 | @ Orioles | O 5.5 | 2 | L | +115 |
| 5/24 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 2 | L | -150 |
| 5/23 | @Orioles | O 5.5 | 0 | P | +100 |
| 5/18 | vsGuardians | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -109 |
| 5/18 | vsGuardians | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -160 |
| 5/13 | @ Mets | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -106 |
| 5/13 | @Mets | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -190 |
| 5/5 | vs Red Sox | O 4.5 | 9 | W | -160 |
| 5/5 | vsRed Sox | O 5.5 | 9 | W | -103 |
| 4/30 | @ Braves | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +117 |
| 4/30 | @Braves | O 5.5 | 6 | W | -158 |
| 4/24 | @ Reds | O 4.5 | 0 | P | -160 |
| 4/24 | @Reds | O 5.5 | 0 | P | -104 |
| 4/19 | @Red Sox | O 5.5 | 3 | L | -116 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +105 |
| 4/14 | vsRoyals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -160 |
| 4/8 | @Twins | O 4.5 | 10 | W | -130 |
| 4/3 | vs Cardinals | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +122 |
| 4/3 | vsCardinals | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -154 |
