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Pirates8/17
How Valdez's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 17.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(3-3) | 33.3%(2-4) | 33.3%(2-4) | 40%(2-3) | 60%(3-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(4-4) | 50%(3-3) | 57.1%(4-3) | 100%(6-0) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 80%(4-1) | 40%(2-3) | 0%(0-5) | 100%(5-0) | 20%(1-4) |
| ★★★★★ | 60%(3-2) | 20%(1-4) | 40%(2-3) | 75%(3-1) | 75%(3-1) |
Royals hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Valdez.
Left-handed starters with above-average groundball rates like Valdez have an ERA of 4.36 against the Pirates since last year.
Current Guardians hitters are batting .235 in their last 153 AB's against left-handers who rely heavily on the splitter like like Valdez, but other matchup data favors the Guardians.
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/17 | @Pirates | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -135 |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | O 18.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/17 | @Pirates | O 23.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vs Guardians | O 17.5 | 17 | L | -138 |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | O 20.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | O 23.5 | 17 | L | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | O 14.5 | 17 | W | — |
| 8/12 | vsGuardians | O 18.5 | 17 | L | +145 |
| 8/6 | @ Mariners | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -146 |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | O 18.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | O 23.5 | 21 | L | — |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | O 20.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 8/6 | @Mariners | O 14.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 8/1 | @ Athletics | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -136 |
| 8/1 | @Athletics | O 18.5 | 21 | W | +115 |
| 7/26 | vs Royals | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +101 |
| 7/26 | vsRoyals | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -109 |
| 7/26 | vsRoyals | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -210 |
| 7/26 | vsRoyals | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +126 |
| 7/26 | vsRoyals | O 23.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 7/26 | vsRoyals | O 20.5 | 15 | L | — |
| 7/26 | vsRoyals | O 14.5 | 15 | W | — |
| 7/21 | @ Cubs | O 16.5 | 2 | L | — |
| 7/21 | @Cubs | O 17.5 | 2 | L | -128 |
| 7/9 | vsAthletics | O 17.5 | 21 | W | -185 |
| 7/9 | vsAthletics | O 18.5 | 21 | W | — |
| 7/2 | @ Rangers | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -172 |
| 7/2 | @Rangers | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +135 |
| 6/27 | vs Astros | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -170 |
| 6/27 | vsAstros | O 16.5 | 18 | W | — |
| 6/27 | vsAstros | O 18.5 | 18 | L | — |
| 6/22 | vs Yankees | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -154 |
| 6/22 | vsYankees | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +112 |
| 6/16 | @Astros | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -158 |
| 6/16 | @Astros | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +100 |
| 6/5 | vsMariners | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +100 |
| 6/5 | vsMariners | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -155 |
| 5/30 | @ White Sox | O 18.5 | 20 | W | +135 |
| 5/30 | @White Sox | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -175 |
| 5/24 | @ Orioles | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -160 |
| 5/24 | @Orioles | O 18.5 | 18 | L | +117 |
| 5/18 | vsGuardians | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -167 |
| 5/18 | vsGuardians | O 18.5 | 15 | L | +110 |
| 5/13 | @ Mets | O 17.5 | 20 | W | -185 |
| 5/13 | @Mets | O 18.5 | 20 | W | +122 |
| 5/5 | vs Red Sox | O 18.5 | 9 | L | +130 |
| 5/5 | vsRed Sox | O 17.5 | 9 | L | -182 |
| 4/30 | @ Braves | O 17.5 | 18 | W | -150 |
