Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox90% K O 3.562.5% OUT O 15.560% HA O 4.5
Season
Best Performer
Connelly Early goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (9-0)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(30%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Early's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Current Royals hitters are batting .223 against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Early over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Spencer Strider
5/15Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Early.
★★★★★vs Jesse Scholtens
5/8Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Early.
Game Log
Bet
$
62-68 Over130 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @ Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -132 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 19 | W | -112 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +750 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -320 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +360 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1240 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -900 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +174 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +130 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -153 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +115 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | Earned Runs | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -173 |
| 5/15 | @ Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -625 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +180 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +360 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -250 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +750 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -114 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 17.5 | 15 | L | -115 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1280 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -3100 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 15 | L | -142 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +106 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +122 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -155 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -119 |
| 5/8 | vs Rays | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +545 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -511 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -191 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 8 | W | +1160 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +257 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +119 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -2100 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 21 | W | -110 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 8 | L | +1320 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | L | +117 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -164 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +111 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -166 |
| 5/2 | vs Astros | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -104 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -690 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -246 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +210 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +430 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 12 | L | -103 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +870 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1740 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3300 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | +114 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$145.
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on earned runs 1.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on earned runs 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$46.
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 4.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$135.
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 16. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$307.
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 57.1% of the time in 2026, going 4-3 with an average actual of 1.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$43.
What are Connelly Early's best prop bets in 2026?
Connelly Early's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 90% (9-1); Outs Recorded O 15.5 at 62.5% (5-3); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 60% (6-4).