Connelly Early

Boston Red SoxPitcher•2026

Reg3.40 ERA / 69 K / 68.9 IP / 9.0 K/9 / 13G

92.3% K O 3.566.7% ER O 1.566.7% HA O 4.5

Season

Best Performer

Connelly Early goes over 2.5 pitcher ks 100% of the time (12-0)

Props — 202613 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

13g

avg 5.3

92.3%Over: 12-1

6vs O 3.5-362

Rays6/8

✓✓✓✓✓✓✗✓✓✓

H: 83.3%(6)A: 100%(7)

Earned Runs

13g

avg 2

53.8%Over: 7-6

2vs O 1.5-167

Rays6/8

✓✓✗✓✗✗✓✓✓✗

H: 100%(3)A: 50%(6)

Hits Allowed

13g

avg 4.6

61.5%Over: 8-5

5vs O 4.5-150

Rays6/8

✓✓✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✗

H: 60%(5)A: 71.4%(7)

Outs Recorded

13g

avg 16.4

53.8%Over: 7-6

14vs O 16.5-110

Rays6/8

✗✗✓✓✗✓✗✓✓✓

H: 50%(4)A: 75%(4)

Walks Allowed

12g

avg 2.2

58.3%Over: 7-5

4vs O 1.5-150

Rays6/8

✓✗✓✗✗✗✓✓✗✓

H: 60%(5)A: 60%(5)

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.5★★★★★

5-Star Games

3(23%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Early's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 3.5	Earned RunsO 1.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Outs RecordedO 15.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)	100%(3-0)	0%(0-2)	66.7%(2-1)
★★★★★	100%(4-0)	66.7%(2-1)	66.7%(2-1)	50%(1-1)	75%(3-1)
★★★★★	100%(3-0)	66.7%(2-1)	33.3%(1-2)	100%(2-0)	100%(1-0)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	—	50%(1-1)	100%(1-0)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Ian Seymour

6/8

Current Rays hitters have struck out 16.5% of the time against pitchers similar to Early over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Shane Baz

6/2

Current Orioles hitters have struck out 24.9% of the time against pitchers similar to Early over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Bryce Elder

5/27

Current Braves hitters have struck out 24.2% of the time against pitchers similar to Early over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

Game Log

Bet

83-88 Over171 props

Date ↓	Opp	Market	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	6	W	-153
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	6	W	+142
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	6	W	-362
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	6	W	-1100
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	6	L	+630
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	6	L	+303
6/8	@Rays	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	14	L	+118
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	6	L	+1300
6/8	@Rays	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	6	L	+1760
6/8	@Rays	Earned Runs	O 2.5	2	L	+117
6/8	@Rays	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	5	W	-150
6/8	@Rays	Earned Runs	O 1.5	2	W	-167
6/8	@Rays	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	5	L	+123
6/8	@Rays	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	14	L	-110
6/8	@Rays	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	4	W	-150
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	6	L	+550
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	6	L	+280
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	6	L	+140
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	6	W	-670
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 9.5	6	L	+930
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	6	W	-2000
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	6	W	-138
6/2	vsOrioles	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	16	L	-125
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	6	W	-283
6/2	vsOrioles	Earned Runs	O 2.5	4	W	+131
6/2	vsOrioles	Hits Allowed	O 4.5	6	W	-125
6/2	vsOrioles	Earned Runs	O 1.5	4	W	-175
6/2	vsOrioles	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	1	L	-151
6/2	vsOrioles	Pitcher Ks	O 10.5	6	L	+1720
6/2	vsOrioles	Outs Recorded	O 17.5	16	L	-105
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	7	L	+550
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	7	W	-400
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	7	W	+130
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	7	L	+1080
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	7	W	-175
5/27	vsBraves	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	21	W	-128
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	7	W	+270
5/27	vsBraves	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	7	W	-1280
5/27	vsBraves	Earned Runs	O 2.5	0	L	-105
5/27	vsBraves	Hits Allowed	O 5.5	4	L	+105
5/27	vsBraves	Walks Allowed	O 1.5	3	W	-113
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 4.5	5	W	-132
5/20	@Royals	Outs Recorded	O 16.5	19	W	-112
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 7.5	5	L	+750
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 3.5	5	W	-320
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 6.5	5	L	+360
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 8.5	5	L	+1240
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 2.5	5	W	-900
5/20	@Royals	Pitcher Ks	O 5.5	5	L	+174
5/20	@Royals	Earned Runs	O 2.5	3	W	+130

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all

Wilyer Abreu Willson Contreras Jarren Duran Ceddanne Rafaela Caleb Durbin Marcelo Mayer Trevor Story Masataka Yoshida Roman Anthony Andruw Monasterio Isiah Kiner-Falefa Connor Wong Mickey Gasper Nick Sogard Ranger Suarez

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Connelly Early hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?

Connelly Early hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 92.3% of the time in 2026, going 12-1 with an average actual of 5.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$213.

How often does Connelly Early hit the over on earned runs 1.5?

Connelly Early hits the over on earned runs 1.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$71.

How often does Connelly Early hit the over on hits allowed 4.5?

Connelly Early hits the over on hits allowed 4.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 8-4 with an average actual of 4.7. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$282.

How often does Connelly Early hit the over on outs recorded 15.5?

Connelly Early hits the over on outs recorded 15.5 62.5% of the time in 2026, going 5-3 with an average actual of 16. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$307.

How often does Connelly Early hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?

Connelly Early hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 6-4 with an average actual of 2.1. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$12.

What are Connelly Early's best prop bets in 2026?

Connelly Early's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 92.3% (12-1); Earned Runs O 1.5 at 66.7% (6-3); Hits Allowed O 4.5 at 66.7% (8-4).