Connelly Early

Boston Red Sox•Pitcher•2026

3.54ERA93K89.1IP9.4K/917G

64.3% HA O 4.564.3% BBA O 1.547.1% K O 5.5

Season

All Connelly Early props

Props — 202617 games with closing lines

Pitcher Ks

17g

avg 5.5

47.1%Over: 8-9

5vs O 5.5-118

Nationals6/30

✗✓✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✓

H: 44.4%(9)A: 50%(8)

SeasonalityAll lines

100%

60%

67%

Mar
1-0

Apr
0-5

May
3-2

Jun
4-2

Inside Edge

Star Ratings

Avg Rating

3.6★★★★★

5-Star Games

4(24%)

Total Matchups

Distribution

Prop Performance by Star Rating

How Early's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating

Stars	Pitcher KsO 5.5	Earned RunsO 2.5	Hits AllowedO 4.5	Outs RecordedO 16.5	Walks AllowedO 1.5
★★★★★	0%(0-4)	100%(3-0)	100%(3-0)	50%(1-1)	75%(3-1)
★★★★★	83.3%(5-1)	25%(1-3)	60%(3-2)	60%(3-2)	66.7%(4-2)
★★★★★	25%(1-3)	0%(0-2)	33.3%(1-2)	0%(0-2)	100%(2-0)
★★★★★	100%(2-0)	0%(0-2)	50%(1-1)	0%(0-1)	0%(0-2)
★★★★★	0%(0-1)	100%(1-0)	100%(1-0)	—	—

Recent Scouting Notes

★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli

6/30

Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.34 against the Nationals since last season, but other matchup data favors the Nationals.

★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler

6/25

Current Yankees hitters have struck out 25.6% of the time against pitchers similar to Early over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).

★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock

6/20

Current Mariners hitters are batting .244 against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Early over the the last two years.

Game Log

Bet

64-76 Over17g · 140 props

Date ↓	Opp	Line	Actual	Result	Odds
6/30	vsNationals	O 5.5	5	L	-118
6/30	vsNationals	O 4.5	5	W	-275
6/30	vsNationals	O 2.5	5	W	-2900
6/30	vsNationals	O 8.5	5	L	+750
6/30	vsNationals	O 3.5	5	W	-650
6/30	vsNationals	O 7.5	5	L	+370
6/30	vsNationals	O 6.5	5	L	+182
6/30	vsNationals	O 9.5	5	L	+1180
6/30	vsNationals	O 1.5	5	W	—
6/30	vsNationals	O 10.5	5	L	—
6/25	vsYankees	O 2.5	9	W	-2200
6/25	vsYankees	O 8.5	9	W	+730
6/25	vsYankees	O 3.5	9	W	-600
6/25	vsYankees	O 7.5	9	W	+410
6/25	vsYankees	O 1.5	9	W	—
6/25	vsYankees	O 6.5	9	W	+220
6/25	vsYankees	O 9.5	9	L	+1460
6/25	vsYankees	O 5.5	9	W	+102
6/25	vsYankees	O 4.5	9	W	-235
6/25	vsYankees	O 10.5	9	L	—
6/20	@Mariners	O 5.5	7	W	-130
6/20	@Mariners	O 3.5	7	W	-700
6/20	@Mariners	O 2.5	7	W	-2500
6/20	@Mariners	O 4.5	7	W	-281
6/20	@Mariners	O 7.5	7	L	+302
6/20	@Mariners	O 8.5	7	L	+610
6/20	@Mariners	O 6.5	7	W	+155
6/20	@Mariners	O 9.5	7	L	+1180
6/20	@Mariners	O 10.5	7	L	—
6/20	@Mariners	O 1.5	7	W	—
6/14	vsRangers	O 2.5	3	W	-1340
6/14	vsRangers	O 7.5	3	L	+453
6/14	vsRangers	O 8.5	3	L	+920
6/14	vsRangers	O 6.5	3	L	+222
6/14	vsRangers	O 4.5	3	L	-192
6/14	vsRangers	O 3.5	3	L	-444
6/14	vsRangers	O 5.5	3	L	+110
6/14	vsRangers	O 9.5	3	L	+1740
6/8	@Rays	O 4.5	6	W	-153
6/8	@Rays	O 5.5	6	W	+142
6/8	@Rays	O 3.5	6	W	-362
6/8	@Rays	O 2.5	6	W	-1100
6/8	@Rays	O 7.5	6	L	+630
6/8	@Rays	O 6.5	6	L	+303
6/8	@Rays	O 8.5	6	L	+1300
6/8	@Rays	O 9.5	6	L	+1760
6/2	vsOrioles	O 8.5	6	L	+550
6/2	vsOrioles	O 7.5	6	L	+280
6/2	vsOrioles	O 6.5	6	L	+140
6/2	vsOrioles	O 3.5	6	W	-670

Boston Red Sox Teammates

View all

Wilyer Abreu Willson Contreras Jarren Duran Ceddanne Rafaela Caleb Durbin Marcelo Mayer Masataka Yoshida Andruw Monasterio Connor Wong Trevor Story Mickey Gasper Anthony Seigler Isiah Kiner-Falefa Roman Anthony Jahmai Jones

Frequently Asked Questions

How often does Connelly Early hit the over on pitcher ks 5.5?

Connelly Early hits the over on pitcher ks 5.5 47.1% of the time in 2026, going 8-9 with an average actual of 5.5.

Is Connelly Early over 5.5 pitcher ks a good bet?

Based on 17 games in 2026, betting $100 on Connelly Early over 5.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$132 (+7.76% ROI). The hit rate is 47.1% with an average actual of 5.5.

What is Connelly Early's pitcher ks average this season?

Connelly Early averages 5.5 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 17 games. The primary line is set at 5.5.