Inside Edge
Boston Red Sox90% K O 3.562.5% OUT O 15.560% HA O 4.5
Season
All Connelly Early propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Pitcher Ks
10g90%Over: 9-1
5vs O 3.5-320
@
Royals5/20
Royals5/20✓✓✓✗✓✓✓✓✓✓
H: 75%(4)A: 100%(6)
Seasonality
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
3(30%)
Total Matchups
10Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Early's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 1.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 15.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(3-0) | 0%(0-2) | 66.7%(2-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | — | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Michael Wacha
5/20Current Royals hitters are batting .223 against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Early over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Spencer Strider
5/15Braves hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Early.
★★★★★vs Jesse Scholtens
5/8Rays hitters have a 3 star average matchup against Early.
Game Log
Bet
$
32-46 Over10g · 78 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 4.5 | 5 | W | -132 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +750 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -320 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +360 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 8.5 | 5 | L | +1240 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -900 |
| 5/20 | @Royals | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +174 |
| 5/15 | @ Braves | O 2.5 | 6 | W | -625 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +180 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 6.5 | 6 | L | +360 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 3.5 | 6 | W | -250 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 7.5 | 6 | L | +750 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 4.5 | 6 | W | -114 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 8.5 | 6 | L | +1280 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 6 | W | -3100 |
| 5/8 | vs Rays | O 6.5 | 8 | W | +545 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 2.5 | 8 | W | -511 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 3.5 | 8 | W | -191 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 7.5 | 8 | W | +1160 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 5.5 | 8 | W | +257 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 4.5 | 8 | W | +119 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 8 | W | -2100 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 8.5 | 8 | L | +1320 |
| 5/2 | vs Astros | O 4.5 | 3 | L | -104 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -690 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 3.5 | 3 | L | -246 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 5.5 | 3 | L | +210 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 6.5 | 3 | L | +430 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 7.5 | 3 | L | +870 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 8.5 | 3 | L | +1740 |
| 5/2 | vsAstros | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -3300 |
| 4/26 | @ Orioles | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -102 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -1900 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -525 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -220 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +188 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +377 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +730 |
| 4/26 | @Orioles | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +1440 |
| 4/21 | vs Yankees | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -102 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -2100 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -610 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 4.5 | 4 | L | -244 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +188 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 7.5 | 4 | L | +370 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 8.5 | 4 | L | +750 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 9.5 | 4 | L | +1400 |
| 4/15 | @ Twins | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +123 |
| 4/15 | @Twins | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -1260 |
| 4/15 | @Twins | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -418 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 90% of the time in 2026, going 9-1 with an average actual of 5.
Is Connelly Early over 3.5 pitcher ks a good bet?
Based on 10 games in 2026, betting $100 on Connelly Early over 3.5 pitcher ks at best closing odds has returned +$145 (+14.5% ROI). The hit rate is 90% with an average actual of 5.
What is Connelly Early's pitcher ks average this season?
Connelly Early averages 5 pitcher ks per game in 2026 across 10 games. The primary line is set at 3.5.