Season
All Connelly Early propsProps — 202617 games with closing lines
Walks Allowed
16g62.5%Over: 10-6
2vs O 1.5+107
vs
Nationals6/30
Nationals6/30✓✗✓✓✓✗✓✗✗✗
H: 62.5%(8)A: 66.7%(6)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
3.6★★★★★
5-Star Games
4(24%)
Total Matchups
17Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Early's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 5.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 4.5 | Outs RecordedO 16.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-4) | 100%(3-0) | 100%(3-0) | 50%(1-1) | 75%(3-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 83.3%(5-1) | 25%(1-3) | 60%(3-2) | 60%(3-2) | 66.7%(4-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 25%(1-3) | 0%(0-2) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-2) | 100%(2-0) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-2) | 50%(1-1) | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-2) |
| ★★★★★ | 0%(0-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | — |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Cade Cavalli
6/30Left-handed starters have an ERA of 3.34 against the Nationals since last season, but other matchup data favors the Nationals.
★★★★★vs Cam Schlittler
6/25Current Yankees hitters have struck out 25.6% of the time against pitchers similar to Early over the last two years (League Avg: 20%).
★★★★★vs Emerson Hancock
6/20Current Mariners hitters are batting .244 against pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Early over the the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
10-6 Over16g · 16 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30 | vsNationals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | +107 |
| 6/25 | vs Yankees | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -117 |
| 6/20 | @ Mariners | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -176 |
| 6/14 | vs Rangers | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -174 |
| 6/8 | @ Rays | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -150 |
| 6/2 | vs Orioles | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -151 |
| 5/27 | vs Braves | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -113 |
| 5/20 | @ Royals | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -120 |
| 5/15 | @Braves | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -119 |
| 5/8 | vsRays | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -166 |
| 5/2 | vs Astros | O 1.5 | 3 | W | -190 |
| 4/21 | vsYankees | O 2.5 | 3 | W | +109 |
| 4/15 | @ Twins | O 2.5 | 2 | L | +152 |
| 4/10 | @ Cardinals | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -155 |
| 4/4 | vs Padres | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -148 |
| 3/29 | @ Reds | O 1.5 | 2 | W | -148 |
Boston Red Sox Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Connelly Early hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Connelly Early hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 64.3% of the time in 2026, going 9-5 with an average actual of 2.
Is Connelly Early over 1.5 walks allowed a good bet?
Based on 16 games in 2026, betting $100 on Connelly Early over 1.5 walks allowed at best closing odds has returned +$142 (+8.88% ROI). The hit rate is 64.3% with an average actual of 2.
What is Connelly Early's walks allowed average this season?
Connelly Early averages 2 walks allowed per game in 2026 across 16 games. The primary line is set at 1.5.
Inside Edge