Inside Edge
Cincinnati Reds71.4% K O 3.560% ER O 2.560% HA O 5.5
Season
Best Performer
Chris Paddack goes over 3.5 pitcher ks 71.4% of the time (5-2)
Props — 20267 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.4★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(11%)
Total Matchups
9Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Paddack's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(1-1) | 50%(1-1) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(2-0) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 66.7%(2-1) | 0%(0-1) | 33.3%(1-2) | 0%(0-3) | 50%(1-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Kyle Leahy
5/22Current Cardinals hitters are batting .275 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Paddack over the last two years.
★★★★★vs Joey Cantillo
5/16Current Guardians hitters are batting .238 against right-handed pitchers with a similar repertoire to like Paddack over the the last two years.
★★★★★vs Jesus Luzardo
5/3Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Paddack have an ERA of 4.37 against the Phillies since last year.
Game Log
Bet
$
29-43 Over72 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/3 | vs Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 8 | L | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -137 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1400 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -361 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +174 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +370 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +830 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1700 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -110 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 8 | L | -175 |
| 4/27 | @ Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +129 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -447 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +271 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +610 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +101 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 4 | L | -109 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -156 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1720 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1260 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 4/21 | vs Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 7 | W | +112 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -550 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 7 | W | -207 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +250 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 7 | W | +539 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Outs Recorded | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -104 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 7 | W | -2600 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 7 | L | +1140 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -119 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 8 | W | -105 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -114 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 14 | L | -110 |
| 4/15 | @ Braves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +117 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | +100 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -870 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -250 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +233 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 4 | L | +536 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 4 | L | +1200 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Earned Runs | O 3.5 | 2 | L | +123 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 5 | L | -110 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -118 |
| 4/10 | @ Tigers | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +110 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 4 | W | -158 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 4 | W | -1760 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -450 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 4 | L | +146 |
Cincinnati Reds Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2 with an average actual of 3.9. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$144.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on earned runs 2.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 4.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$101.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 60% of the time in 2026, going 3-2 with an average actual of 6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$115.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 28.6% of the time in 2026, going 2-5 with an average actual of 1.4. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$340.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 25% of the time in 2026, going 1-3 with an average actual of 12.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$252.
What are Chris Paddack's best prop bets in 2026?
Chris Paddack's highest-hitting props in 2026: Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Earned Runs O 2.5 at 60% (3-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 60% (3-2).