Texas Rangers71.4% ER O 2.571.4% HA O 5.566.7% K O 3.5
Season
Best Performer
Chris Paddack goes over 2.5 earned runs 71.4% of the time (5-2-1)
Props — 202610 games with closing lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
12Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Paddack's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
6/30Current Guardians have struck out just 11% of the time in their last 79 PA's against Paddack.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/29Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Paddack have an ERA of 4.83 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★vs Andre Pallante
5/23Current Cardinals hitters are batting .275 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Paddack over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
42-54-10 Over106 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Market | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/29 | vs Braves | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 0 | L | +1800 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 0 | L | +395 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -200 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | L | -130 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 0 | L | -320 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | L | +178 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 0 | L | +870 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 0 | L | -1240 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 4 | W | -136 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +105 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +131 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +129 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | Hits Allowed | O 4.5 | 7 | W | -200 |
| 5/23 | vs Cardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 5 | W | -138 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 5 | L | +400 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 5 | W | -350 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 5 | W | +178 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 5 | W | -1320 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 5 | L | +770 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 5 | L | +1640 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 7 | W | +103 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 3 | W | -122 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +137 |
| 5/23 | vsCardinals | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -157 |
| 5/22 | @ Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 0 | P | +182 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -389 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 0 | P | +750 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 0 | P | -138 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 0 | P | +400 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 0 | P | +1640 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 0 | P | -1480 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 0 | P | -127 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 0 | P | +148 |
| 5/22 | @Reds | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 0 | P | -103 |
| 5/3 | vs Phillies | Outs Recorded | O 15.5 | 8 | L | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -137 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 1.5 | 1 | L | -1400 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -361 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +174 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +370 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 6.5 | 1 | L | +830 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Pitcher Ks | O 7.5 | 1 | L | +1700 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Earned Runs | O 2.5 | 7 | W | -110 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Hits Allowed | O 5.5 | 6 | W | +105 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Walks Allowed | O 1.5 | 3 | W | +110 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | Outs Recorded | O 14.5 | 8 | L | -175 |
| 4/27 | @ Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 4.5 | 1 | L | +129 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 2.5 | 1 | L | -447 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 3.5 | 1 | L | -174 |
| 4/27 | @Dodgers | Pitcher Ks | O 5.5 | 1 | L | +271 |
Texas Rangers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on pitcher ks 3.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on pitcher ks 3.5 66.7% of the time in 2026, going 6-3-1 with an average actual of 3.2. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$116.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on earned runs 2.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on earned runs 2.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2-1 with an average actual of 3.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$256.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on hits allowed 5.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on hits allowed 5.5 71.4% of the time in 2026, going 5-2-1 with an average actual of 5.5. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned +$323.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on walks allowed 1.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on walks allowed 1.5 44.4% of the time in 2026, going 4-5-1 with an average actual of 1.6. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$74.
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 13.3. Based on $100 flat bets at best closing odds, this line has returned -$139.
What are Chris Paddack's best prop bets in 2026?
Chris Paddack's highest-hitting props in 2026: Earned Runs O 2.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Hits Allowed O 5.5 at 71.4% (5-2); Pitcher Ks O 3.5 at 66.7% (6-3).
Inside Edge