Texas Rangers71.4% ER O 2.571.4% HA O 5.566.7% K O 3.5
Season
All Chris Paddack propsProps — 202610 games with closing lines
Outs Recorded
8g37.5%Over: 3-5
15vs O 14.5-200
vs
Braves5/29
Braves5/29✓✓✗✗✗✗✓✗
H: 50%(4)A: 50%(2)
SeasonalityAll lines
Inside Edge
Star RatingsAvg Rating
2.2★★★★★
5-Star Games
1(8%)
Total Matchups
12Distribution
5
4
3
2
1
Prop Performance by Star Rating
How Paddack's prop overs perform at the primary line based on InsideEdge pitcher star rating
| Stars | Pitcher KsO 3.5 | Earned RunsO 2.5 | Hits AllowedO 5.5 | Walks AllowedO 1.5 | Outs RecordedO 14.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | — | 0%(0-1) | 0%(0-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 100%(1-0) | 0%(0-1) | — |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(2-2) | 66.7%(2-1) | 75%(3-1) | 50%(1-1) |
| ★★★★★ | 50%(2-2) | 50%(1-1) | 50%(2-2) | 25%(1-3) | 66.7%(2-1) |
Recent Scouting Notes
★★★★★vs Tanner Bibee
6/30Current Guardians have struck out just 11% of the time in their last 79 PA's against Paddack.
★★★★★vs Grant Holmes
5/29Right-handed starters with above-average flyball rates like Paddack have an ERA of 4.83 against the Braves since last year.
★★★★★vs Andre Pallante
5/23Current Cardinals hitters are batting .275 against bottom-tier right-handed pitchers like Paddack over the last two years.
Game Log
Bet
$
4-8 Over8g · 12 props
| Date ↓ | Opp | Line | Actual | Result | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/29 | vsBraves | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -200 |
| 5/29 | vsBraves | O 15.5 | 15 | L | +131 |
| 5/23 | vs Cardinals | O 14.5 | 15 | W | -157 |
| 5/3 | vs Phillies | O 15.5 | 8 | L | +115 |
| 5/3 | vsPhillies | O 14.5 | 8 | L | -175 |
| 4/27 | @ Dodgers | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -156 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 16.5 | 14 | L | -104 |
| 4/21 | vsCardinals | O 15.5 | 14 | L | -110 |
| 4/15 | @Braves | O 15.5 | 14 | L | +117 |
| 4/10 | @ Tigers | O 15.5 | 18 | W | +110 |
| 4/10 | @Tigers | O 14.5 | 18 | W | -210 |
| 3/30 | vs White Sox | O 14.5 | 12 | L | -164 |
Texas Rangers Teammates
View allFrequently Asked Questions
How often does Chris Paddack hit the over on outs recorded 14.5?
Chris Paddack hits the over on outs recorded 14.5 50% of the time in 2026, going 3-3 with an average actual of 13.3.
Is Chris Paddack over 14.5 outs recorded a good bet?
Based on 8 games in 2026, betting $100 on Chris Paddack over 14.5 outs recorded at best closing odds has returned -$339 (-42.37% ROI). The hit rate is 50% with an average actual of 13.3.
What is Chris Paddack's outs recorded average this season?
Chris Paddack averages 13.3 outs recorded per game in 2026 across 8 games. The primary line is set at 14.5.
Inside Edge